PGL Wallachia Season 6. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
wwwin 2:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TBThe Bjorne Identityloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ww
No games played over 6 months.
The Bjorne Identity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
371 picks · 333 bans
Puck
339 picks · 846 bans
Snapfire
321 picks · 163 bans
Pugna
293 picks · 332 bans
Tusk
281 picks · 247 bans
Dawnbreaker
280 picks · 788 bans
Warlock
276 picks · 124 bans
Batrider
272 picks · 686 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% ww
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% The Bjorne Identity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
ww 46%The Bjorne Identity 54%
The model gave 54% on The Bjorne Identity — the game was taken by ww.
Game 2prediction missed
ww 46%The Bjorne Identity 54%
The model gave 54% on The Bjorne Identity — the game was taken by ww.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Bjorne Identity · 54%
Series resultww 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2