BLAST Slam VII. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0series probability
99%1%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Cloud Risingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xtreme Gaming
Warlock
xNova · 29 games
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 28 games
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 25 games
Tusk
fy · 25 games
Phoenix
xNova · 23 games
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 23 games
Slardarsignature
Xxs · 22 games
Jakirooften banned
xNova · 21 game
Cloud Rising
Clinkzoften banned
Yumeyume · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Q7 · 2 games
Clockwerk
Undyne_ · 1 game
Crystal Maiden
Undyne_ · 1 game
Dazzleoften banned
Undyne_ · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
Q7 · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Yumeyume · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
Yumeyume · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
678 picks · 844 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
Tusk
502 picks · 431 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
418 picks · 1146 bans
Ember Spirit
406 picks · 690 bans
Mars
396 picks · 622 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1029 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total99% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Xtreme Gaming 99%Cloud Rising 1%
The model gave 99% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming.
Game 2prediction correct
Xtreme Gaming 99%Cloud Rising 1%
The model gave 99% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 99%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2