Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Китай 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 1:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Dragonloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xtreme Gaming
Death Prophetoften banned
Storm · 6 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Storm · 6 games
Linaoften banned
Storm · 4 games
Windranger
Storm · 4 games
Puckoften banned
bLink · 3 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Storm · 2 games
Ursaoften banned
Storm · 2 games
Viperoften banned
Storm · 2 games
Dragon
Marsoften banned
ghost · 4 games
Pangolieroften banned
ghost · 4 games
Lion
Azrael · 3 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
ghost · 2 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
ghost · 2 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
斗圣 · 2 games
Tidehunteroften banned
ghost · 2 games
Timbersawoften banned
ghost · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
416 picks · 943 bans
Void Spirit
381 picks · 538 bans
Death Prophet
346 picks · 707 bans
Mars
329 picks · 548 bans
Grimstroke
312 picks · 303 bans
Tusk
294 picks · 220 bans
Lion
279 picks · 154 bans
Earth Spirit
275 picks · 283 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 42%
Hero pool strength52% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total52% Dragon
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteDragon · 52%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 1:0
Series predictionmissed