Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Entityloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xtreme Gaming
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 29 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 24 games
Marssignature
Xxs · 21 game
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 21 game
Shadow Demonsignature
XinQ · 19 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Dy · 17 games
Grimstrokesignature
XinQ · 17 games
Snipersignature
Xm · 17 games
Entity
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
DM · 1 game
Chaos Knightoften banned
Watson · 1 game
Crystal Maiden
Fishman · 1 game
Dark Seeroften banned
DM · 1 game
Elder Titan
Fishman · 1 game
Grimstroke
Kataomi · 1 game
Hoodwink
Kataomi · 1 game
Sand Kingoften banned
No[o]ne · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
386 picks · 678 bans
Gyrocopter
322 picks · 373 bans
Clockwerk
321 picks · 458 bans
Weaver
314 picks · 599 bans
Dark Willow
313 picks · 352 bans
Rubick
310 picks · 198 bans
Hoodwink
308 picks · 232 bans
Pangolier
291 picks · 541 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 74%
Hero pool strength59% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:30
Xtreme Gaming 45%Entity 55%
The model gave 55% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 40:38.
Game 2prediction missed39:15
Xtreme Gaming 45%Entity 55%
The model gave 55% on Entity — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 51:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2