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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:1
nounsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Mars
Marsoften banned
JT- · 5 games
60%
Mirana
Mirana
XinQ · 5 games
40%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
XinQ · 4 games
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Xxs · 4 games
100%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
XinQ · 4 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Xm · 4 games
50%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Dy · 4 games
75%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
XinQ · 3 games
100%

nouns

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Fly · 18 games
61%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Fly · 16 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Stormstormer · 14 games
64%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Stormstormer · 13 games
69%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
YamSun · 13 games
46%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Yuma · 12 games
75%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Gunnar · 11 games
55%
Techies
Techiessignature
Fly · 11 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
370 picks · 562 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
327 picks · 283 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
325 picks · 266 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
316 picks · 463 bans
49%
Magnus
Magnus
283 picks · 457 bans
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
280 picks · 460 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
280 picks · 411 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
277 picks · 780 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% nouns
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:17
Xtreme Gaming 51%nouns 49%
The model gave 51% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 35:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-MageAme
52% · 80 games51% · 309 games
DoomGunnar
Doom
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainXm
47% · 167 games50% · 76 games
Troll WarlordYuma
Troll Warlord
Primal Beast
Primal BeastXxs
51% · 348 games46% · 321 game
PangolierStormstormer
Pangolier
Techies
TechiesDy
49% · 303 games57% · 232 games
ClockwerkLelis
Clockwerk
Monkey King
Monkey KingXinQ
50% · 224 games47% · 184 games
Shadow DemonFly
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction missed10:44
Xtreme Gaming 51%nouns 49%
The model gave 51% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by nouns in 26:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyerXm
45% · 26 games48% · 21 game
MeepoYuma
Meepo
Pangolier
PangolierXxs
56% · 295 games46% · 27 games
Winter WyvernGunnar
Winter Wyvern
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordAme
55% · 59 games48% · 276 games
Ember SpiritStormstormer
Ember Spirit
Snapfire
SnapfireXinQ
43% · 159 games52% · 201 game
TinyLelis
Tiny
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorDy
61% · 15 games41% · 29 games
Ancient ApparitionFly
Ancient Apparition
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2