BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xtreme Gaming
Mirana
XinQ · 5 games
Earthshaker
XinQ · 4 games
Marsoften banned
JT- · 4 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Xm · 4 games
Vengeful Spirit
Dy · 4 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
XinQ · 3 games
Gyrocopter
Ghost · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
Ghost · 3 games
Team Spirit
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 11 games
Dark Willowsignature
Mira · 10 games
Grimstrokesignature
Mira · 10 games
Kunkkasignature
Larl · 10 games
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Miposhka · 9 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Mira · 8 games
Skywrath Magesignature
Mira · 8 games
Pucksignature
Larl · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
362 picks · 559 bans
Lion
318 picks · 276 bans
Vengeful Spirit
318 picks · 249 bans
Phoenix
315 picks · 457 bans
Magnus
279 picks · 446 bans
Nature's Prophet
275 picks · 775 bans
Grimstroke
274 picks · 459 bans
Faceless Void
272 picks · 664 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 80%
Hero pool strength67% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total70% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:38
Xtreme Gaming 36%Team Spirit 64%
The model gave 64% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 45:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaAme
Dragon KnightCollapse
MagnusXxs
Faceless VoidYatoro
VenomancerXm
DazzleLarl
HoodwinkXinQ
GrimstrokeMiposhka
BaneDy
LionMira
Game 2prediction missed28:12
Xtreme Gaming 35%Team Spirit 65%
The model gave 65% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 30:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaAme
MorphlingYatoro
Void SpiritXm
PuckLarl
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
TimbersawCollapse
BatriderXinQ
RubickMira
Death ProphetDy
Vengeful SpiritMiposhka
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 70%
Accuracy by game1 of 2