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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vici Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ame · 28 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
XinQ · 23 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
天命 · 22 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
lou · 21 game
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Ame · 21 game
62%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 20 games
65%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
天命 · 19 games
63%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 19 games
47%

Vici Gaming

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Kaka · 3 games
67%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Ori · 2 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Dy · 2 games
50%
Lion
Lion
Kaka · 2 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Yang · 2 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Dy · 2 games
100%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ori · 2 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Yang · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
523 picks · 587 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
484 picks · 437 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
468 picks · 235 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
370 picks · 753 bans
48%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
336 picks · 771 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
336 picks · 512 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
323 picks · 291 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
306 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 57%
Hero pool strength52% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:25
Xtreme Gaming 73%Vici Gaming 27%
The model gave 73% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 36:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackXxs
67% · 174 games48% · 38 games
SpectrePaparazi
Spectre
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritXm
53% · 161 game38% · 84 games
Queen of PainOri
Queen of Pain
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerAme
44% · 29 games38% · 151 game
TimbersawYang
Timbersaw
Elder Titan
Elder TitanPoloson
61% · 71 game39% · 138 games
Nature's ProphetDy
Nature's Prophet
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanXinQ
62% · 99 games45% · 123 games
EarthshakerKaka
Earthshaker
Game 2prediction correct32:20
Xtreme Gaming 69%Vici Gaming 31%
The model gave 69% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 46:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingAme
54% · 268 games48% · 117 games
UrsaPaparazi
Ursa
Bristleback
BristlebackXxs
57% · 291 game39% · 348 games
PangolierOri
Pangolier
Viper
ViperXm
57% · 38 games51% · 116 games
TidehunterYang
Tidehunter
Silencer
SilencerPoloson
52% · 125 games48% · 131 game
Shadow ShamanKaka
Shadow Shaman
Dark Willow
Dark WillowXinQ
47% · 253 games51% · 263 games
PhoenixDy
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 85%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2