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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO1
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:1
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Wildcard Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Poloson · 30 games
70%
Muerta
Muerta
Pyw · 20 games
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 20 games
65%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Pyw · 20 games
65%
Puck
Pucksignature
Xm · 19 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
niu · 17 games
65%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 16 games
69%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 15 games
60%

Wildcard Gaming

Magnus
Magnussignature
YamSun · 13 games
69%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Bignum · 9 games
67%
Muerta
Muerta
Bignum · 8 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Speeed · 7 games
57%
Chen
Chensignature
Speeed · 6 games
100%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
YamSun · 6 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 6 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Bignum · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
475 picks · 418 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
437 picks · 567 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
435 picks · 534 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
434 picks · 230 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
430 picks · 504 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
422 picks · 750 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
371 picks · 586 bans
46%
Tiny
Tiny
366 picks · 417 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 65%
Hero pool strength53% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed3:21
Xtreme Gaming 70%Wildcard Gaming 30%
The model gave 70% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 24:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealerlou
53% · 104 games53% · 59 games
BroodmotherFayde
Broodmother
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakerniu
45% · 113 games51% · 207 games
Ember SpiritRCY
Ember Spirit
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritXm
57% · 181 game39% · 38 games
VenomancerSpeeed
Venomancer
Pugna
PugnaPoloson
40% · 101 game55% · 59 games
Night StalkerYamSun
Night Stalker
Dark Willow
Dark WillowPyw
52% · 188 games49% · 324 games
GyrocopterBignum
Gyrocopter
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 86%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1