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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
Yakult Brothersloss 1:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
BoBoKa · 33 games
58%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
天命 · 24 games
58%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
BoBoKa · 21 game
43%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Emo · 21 game
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 21 game
76%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 21 game
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 17 games
59%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 17 games
71%

BOOM Esports

Lion
Lionsignature
Tims · 24 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jaunuel · 20 games
75%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Mac · 20 games
60%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Fbz · 20 games
55%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Mac · 20 games
60%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Tims · 19 games
58%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Mac · 16 games
69%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
JaCkky · 15 games
47%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
528 picks · 784 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
503 picks · 601 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
501 picks · 524 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
481 picks · 592 bans
49%
Muerta
Muerta
458 picks · 389 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
438 picks · 1000 bans
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
427 picks · 793 bans
56%
Bristleback
Bristleback
392 picks · 904 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 54%
Hero pool strength52% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:31
Yakult Brothers 50%BOOM Esports 50%
The model gave 50% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 30:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritEmo
48% · 186 games48% · 22 games
AbaddonJaCkky
Abaddon
Lifestealer
LifestealerAme
50% · 124 games46% · 358 games
PangolierMac
Pangolier
Primal Beast
Primal Beastzeal
47% · 244 games57% · 99 games
EnigmaFbz
Enigma
Warlock
Warlock天命
53% · 63 games53% · 91 game
Nyx AssassinTims
Nyx Assassin
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterBoBoKa
60% · 63 games41% · 110 games
ZeusJaunuel
Zeus
Game 2prediction correct30:11
Yakult Brothers 52%BOOM Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 29:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterAme
48% · 374 games49% · 127 games
Phantom AssassinJaCkky
Phantom Assassin
Tiny
TinyEmo
52% · 460 games51% · 238 games
TimbersawFbz
Timbersaw
Dark Seer
Dark Seerzeal
48% · 146 games45% · 466 games
PangolierMac
Pangolier
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterBoBoKa
56% · 67 games52% · 223 games
LionTims
Lion
Elder Titan
Elder Titan天命
63% · 132 games38% · 125 games
ZeusJaunuel
Zeus
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 52%
Accuracy by game2 of 2