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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO1
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 1:0
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Liquidloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
BoBoKa · 34 games
56%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
天命 · 24 games
58%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 23 games
70%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 23 games
61%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
BoBoKa · 22 games
45%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Emo · 21 game
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 20 games
55%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 18 games
67%

Team Liquid

Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 26 games
69%
Muerta
Muerta
Boxi · 26 games
46%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
SabeRLight- · 25 games
72%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 24 games
58%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
iNSaNiA · 23 games
61%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 22 games
64%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 22 games
68%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Nisha · 21 game
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
515 picks · 810 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
514 picks · 627 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
491 picks · 496 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
465 picks · 569 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
435 picks · 368 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
429 picks · 1021 bans
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
409 picks · 776 bans
56%
Lich
Lich
392 picks · 210 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 44%
Hero pool strength51% Team Liquid
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total70% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:11
Yakult Brothers 41%Team Liquid 59%
The model gave 59% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 30:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkAme
42% · 58 games48% · 48 games
PudgemiCKe
Pudge
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritEmo
45% · 145 games47% · 72 games
SlardarNisha
Slardar
Mars
Marszeal
49% · 180 games54% · 141 game
BristlebackSabeRLight-
Bristleback
Rubick
RubickBoBoKa
49% · 231 game55% · 313 games
Crystal MaideniNSaNiA
Crystal Maiden
Elder Titan
Elder Titan天命
50% · 99 games55% · 139 games
MiranaBoxi
Mirana
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 70%
Series resultYakult Brothers 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1