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BLAST Slam VI. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brothersloss 0:2
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tearlamentswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 32 games
47%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Poloson · 23 games
65%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Emo · 23 games
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
flyfly · 19 games
42%
Bane
Bane
Oli · 18 games
44%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
天命 · 18 games
28%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Emo · 17 games
29%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 16 games
25%

Tearlaments

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
7e · 16 games
63%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
7e · 15 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Srf · 14 games
43%
Sand King
Sand King
Echo · 13 games
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Srf · 11 games
45%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
7e · 10 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
zzq · 8 games
75%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
poyoyo · 7 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
589 picks · 628 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
511 picks · 332 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
503 picks · 689 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
490 picks · 188 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
444 picks · 531 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
444 picks · 223 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
397 picks · 543 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
383 picks · 538 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)21% vs 39%
Hero pool strength55% Tearlaments
Head-to-head7 – 1
Model total51% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:25
Yakult Brothers 51%Tearlaments 49%
The model gave 51% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Tearlaments in 42:42.
Game 2prediction missed11:20
Yakult Brothers 51%Tearlaments 49%
The model gave 51% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Tearlaments in 39:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 51%
Series resultTearlaments 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2