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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brothersloss 1:2
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Vici Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Tiny
Tinysignature
Moon · 21 game
62%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Moon · 15 games
47%
Muerta
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 14 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
天命 · 14 games
57%
Weaver
Weaversignature
flyfly · 13 games
77%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
BoBoKa · 12 games
58%
Jakiro
Jakiro
天命 · 12 games
42%
Largo
Largooften banned
天命 · 12 games
42%

Vici Gaming

Windranger
Windranger
shiro · 29 games
48%
Tiny
Tinysignature
shiro · 22 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 18 games
39%
Mars
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 18 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 17 games
41%
Jakiro
Jakiro
y` · 15 games
40%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
y` · 14 games
36%
Rubick
Rubick
XinQ · 14 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
635 picks · 439 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
574 picks · 316 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
483 picks · 579 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
451 picks · 388 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
447 picks · 655 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
355 picks · 525 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
348 picks · 1032 bans
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
341 picks · 409 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% Yakult Brothers
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total77% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:8
Yakult Brothers 36%Vici Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 37:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladelou
49% · 252 games47% · 255 games
Shadow Fiendshiro
Shadow Fiend
Puck
PuckSetsu
53% · 457 games50% · 170 games
UnderlordFaith_bian
Underlord
Marci
MarciXiangyu
47% · 163 games44% · 312 games
SlardarXm
Slardar
Mirana
Mirana天命
54% · 49 games45% · 163 games
RubickXinQ
Rubick
Lion
LionKaka
55% · 200 games56% · 221 game
Phoenixy`
Phoenix
Game 2prediction correct12:34
Yakult Brothers 33%Vici Gaming 67%
The model gave 67% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 34:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinlou
48% · 224 games51% · 225 games
Ursashiro
Ursa
Timbersaw
TimbersawXiangyu
48% · 231 game49% · 280 games
SnapfireXm
Snapfire
Pangolier
PangolierSetsu
45% · 391 game55% · 208 games
DoomFaith_bian
Doom
Lion
LionKaka
44% · 156 games54% · 203 games
WindrangerXinQ
Windranger
Silencer
Silencer天命
49% · 160 games56% · 246 games
Baney`
Bane
Game 3prediction correct44:33
Yakult Brothers 34%Vici Gaming 66%
The model gave 66% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 1:32:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pangolier
PangolierXiangyu
50% · 216 games40% · 62 games
SniperXm
Sniper
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendlou
52% · 252 games47% · 280 games
TimbersawFaith_bian
Timbersaw
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritSetsu
54% · 344 games47% · 544 games
Tinyshiro
Tiny
Rubick
RubickKaka
45% · 178 games53% · 66 games
Ancient Apparitiony`
Ancient Apparition
Treant Protector
Treant Protector天命
58% · 146 games52% · 184 games
LionXinQ
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 77%
Series resultVici Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3