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DreamLeague Season 28. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Kukuyswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yangon Galacticos

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
0%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
75%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 3 games
33%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
33%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
67%

Team Kukuys

Tusk
Tusk
DJ · 8 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kuku · 6 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Gabbi · 6 games
67%
Mars
Marssignature
JG · 6 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
DJ · 6 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Kuku · 4 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshrac
Armel · 4 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Armel · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
559 picks · 688 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
508 picks · 339 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
482 picks · 662 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
446 picks · 534 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
422 picks · 146 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
403 picks · 192 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
376 picks · 517 bans
49%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
372 picks · 508 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 75%
Hero pool strength54% Team Kukuys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Team Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:31
Yangon Galacticos 33%Team Kukuys 67%
The model gave 67% on Team Kukuys — the game was taken by Team Kukuys in 32:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenKsh
44% · 175 games53% · 174 games
GyrocopterGabbi
Gyrocopter
Tiny
TinyYoung PH
49% · 328 games54% · 150 games
PuckArmel
Puck
46% · 112 games
MarsJG
Mars
61% · 63 games
Keeper of the LightDJ
Keeper of the Light
50% · 4 games
Treant ProtectorKuku
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction correct23:26
Yangon Galacticos 34%Team Kukuys 66%
The model gave 66% on Team Kukuys — the game was taken by Team Kukuys in 37:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinKsh
50% · 256 games54% · 85 games
Shadow FiendGabbi
Shadow Fiend
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritYoung PH
50% · 284 games52% · 142 games
PuckArmel
Puck
47% · 94 games
AxeJG
Axe
50% · 125 games
Shadow DemonDJ
Shadow Demon
48% · 94 games
ClockwerkKuku
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Kukuys · 76%
Series resultTeam Kukuys 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2