?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 22. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangzhiganluwin 2:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Bammysoyloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yangzhiganlu

No games played over 6 months.

Bammysoy

Tusk
Tusk
Husky · 8 games
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
BliNcc · 7 games
43%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Mo13ei · 4 games
25%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Sammyboy · 4 games
25%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
BliNcc · 4 games
75%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Moo · 3 games
33%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Husky · 3 games
67%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
BliNcc · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
257 picks · 428 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
250 picks · 381 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
247 picks · 342 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
216 picks · 204 bans
46%
Muerta
Muerta
204 picks · 285 bans
49%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
202 picks · 512 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
198 picks · 98 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
181 picks · 324 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 64%
Hero pool strength50% Yangzhiganlu
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total52% Bammysoy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:29
Yangzhiganlu 48%Bammysoy 52%
The model gave 52% on Bammysoy — the game was taken by Bammysoy in 50:54.
Game 2prediction correct50:25
Yangzhiganlu 48%Bammysoy 52%
The model gave 52% on Bammysoy — the game was taken by Bammysoy in 46:14.
Game 3prediction correct26:45
Yangzhiganlu 48%Bammysoy 52%
The model gave 52% on Bammysoy — the game was taken by Bammysoy in 56:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteBammysoy · 52%
Series resultYangzhiganlu 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game3 of 3