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BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
YBN Teamwin 2:0
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TpaBoMaH Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YBN Team

Snapfire
Snapfire
ybicanoooobov · 4 games
0%
Alchemist
Alchemist
nesfeer · 3 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
ybicanoooobov · 3 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Shishak · 3 games
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 3 games
0%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Shishak · 3 games
33%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
dabex · 3 games
0%
Sand King
Sand King
ybicanoooobov · 3 games
33%

TpaBoMaH Team

Windranger
Windranger
byun · 3 games
67%
Abaddon
Abaddon
TpaBoMaH · 2 games
50%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Егор · 2 games
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
TpaBoMaH · 2 games
0%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Егор · 2 games
50%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
TpaBoMaH · 2 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
FrostNova · 2 games
50%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
TpaBoMaH · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
501 picks · 299 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
384 picks · 169 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
370 picks · 164 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 492 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
310 picks · 309 bans
55%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
301 picks · 283 bans
59%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
291 picks · 486 bans
53%
Undying
Undying
274 picks · 363 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)21% vs 71%
Hero pool strength56% TpaBoMaH Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% TpaBoMaH Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:20
YBN Team 44%TpaBoMaH Team 56%
The model gave 56% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 51:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinnesfeer
42% · 91 game52% · 66 games
LifestealerMariachi
Lifestealer
Slardar
Slardartakizawa
50% · 199 games47% · 88 games
LeshracTpaBoMaH
Leshrac
Omniknight
Omniknightybicanoooobov
46% · 16 games61% · 136 games
Largo9pasha
Largo
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magibalod9l
55% · 29 games42% · 59 games
LichVasilisa
Lich
Dark Willow
Dark WillowEARTHQ
48% · 165 games57% · 151 game
Baney0nd
Bane
Game 2prediction missed30:32
YBN Team 47%TpaBoMaH Team 53%
The model gave 53% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 52:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
Clinkznesfeer
58% · 54 games50% · 63 games
Dark Seer9pasha
Dark Seer
Doom
Doomtakizawa
55% · 152 games50% · 238 games
WindrangerMariachi
Windranger
Rubick
RubickEARTHQ
47% · 200 games40% · 12 games
Outworld DestroyerTpaBoMaH
Outworld Destroyer
Kunkka
Kunkkaybicanoooobov
50% · 36 games48% · 60 games
VenomancerVasilisa
Venomancer
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinbalod9l
52% · 61 game46% · 130 games
Liony0nd
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteTpaBoMaH Team · 57%
Series resultYBN Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2