The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarinewin 1:0series probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Famous Team 9loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yellow Submarine
Ringmastersignature
Htrd · 40 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Mirele · 20 games
Batridersignature
not me · 18 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Infernal · 18 games
Hoodwink
not me · 15 games
Windrangersignature
Shigetsu · 15 games
Void Spirit
Rain · 12 games
Warlock
Htrd · 11 games
Famous Team 9
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
607 picks · 389 bans
Rubick
508 picks · 281 bans
Phoenix
480 picks · 578 bans
Tiny
463 picks · 383 bans
Pangolier
417 picks · 583 bans
Puck
341 picks · 946 bans
Tusk
338 picks · 278 bans
Ember Spirit
331 picks · 490 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:12
Yellow Submarine 92%Famous Team 9 8%
The model gave 92% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 26:35.
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 92%
Series resultYellow Submarine 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1