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BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarineloss 0:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Rune Eaterswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yellow Submarine

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Htrd · 32 games
63%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 25 games
56%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Mirele · 21 game
33%
Warlock
Warlock
Htrd · 20 games
55%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Infernal · 18 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
bottega · 17 games
53%
Muerta
Muerta
bottega · 17 games
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Infernal · 16 games
56%

Rune Eaters

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 55 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
monodrama · 45 games
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 41 game
46%
Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 36 games
56%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
ani-san · 33 games
39%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 31 game
58%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 31 game
81%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kidaro · 30 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
674 picks · 843 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
499 picks · 426 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
416 picks · 1132 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 684 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1027 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 619 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 57%
Hero pool strength51% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total63% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Yellow Submarine 63%Rune Eaters 37%
The model gave 63% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 63%
Series resultRune Eaters 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1