?
arrow_backBack to match
European Pro League Season 25 · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 2:0
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
End Gameloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zero Tenacity

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
LeBronDota · 36 games
36%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
DaaD- · 33 games
52%
Lion
Lion
Pablo · 27 games
44%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Nefrit · 27 games
41%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Stojkov · 26 games
46%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Nefrit · 25 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Nefrit · 24 games
29%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
jAMES · 24 games
38%

End Game

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Jeezy · 5 games
60%
Warlock
Warlock
SsaSpartan · 4 games
25%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
W1sh- · 3 games
33%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 2 games
100%
Faceless Void
Faceless Void
Nande · 2 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
W1sh- · 2 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 2 games
50%
Axe
Axe
MinD_ContRoL · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
569 picks · 807 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
441 picks · 297 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
431 picks · 815 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
422 picks · 650 bans
51%
Bristleback
Bristleback
405 picks · 860 bans
54%
Magnus
Magnus
387 picks · 1017 bans
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
384 picks · 351 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
379 picks · 519 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 46%
Hero pool strength53% End Game
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total70% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 70%End Game 30%
The model gave 70% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Game 2prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 70%End Game 30%
The model gave 70% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 70%
Series resultZero Tenacity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2