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European Pro League Season 33 · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 2:0
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
VP.Prodigyloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zero Tenacity

Puck
Puckoften banned
Mirage · 46 games
57%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Se · 43 games
58%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Se · 35 games
60%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Nefrit · 26 games
69%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Nande · 26 games
42%
Tusk
Tusk
yamich · 26 games
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
dEsire · 25 games
64%
Underlord
Underlord
Nefrit · 25 games
56%

VP.Prodigy

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
takizawa · 8 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfire
armageddon · 8 games
13%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Serenada · 7 games
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
armageddon · 7 games
14%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
JANTER · 6 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
takizawa · 6 games
33%
Axe
Axe
takizawa · 5 games
20%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
cutie · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
741 picks · 320 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
607 picks · 590 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
595 picks · 297 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
582 picks · 742 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
555 picks · 336 bans
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
539 picks · 514 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
515 picks · 605 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
506 picks · 741 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 33%
Hero pool strength61% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 89%VP.Prodigy 11%
The model gave 89% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Game 2prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 89%VP.Prodigy 11%
The model gave 89% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 89%
Series resultZero Tenacity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2