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Streamers League #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
zxcursed Teamloss 1:2
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 1:2
VooDooSh Teamwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

zxcursed Team

Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
zxcursed · 4 games
25%
Bane
Bane
dabbackwood · 3 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Mindfvck · 1 game
0%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Mindfvck · 1 game
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Mindfvck · 1 game
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
akumaqqe · 1 game
0%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Shigetsu · 1 game
0%
Lina
Lina
zxcursed · 1 game
0%

VooDooSh Team

Axe
Axeoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 1 game
100%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Shishak · 1 game
100%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 1 game
100%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 1 game
100%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
VooDooSh · 1 game
100%
Sven
Sven
Mariachi · 1 game
100%
Techies
Techies
Shishak · 1 game
100%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Mariachi · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
632 picks · 446 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
597 picks · 340 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
434 picks · 641 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
422 picks · 486 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
397 picks · 357 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 381 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 496 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
318 picks · 976 bans
61%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 67%
Hero pool strength63% VooDooSh Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% VooDooSh Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:78
zxcursed Team 36%VooDooSh Team 64%
The model gave 64% on VooDooSh Team — the game was taken by VooDooSh Team in 1:11:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerShigetsu
57% · 68 games41% · 48 games
Brewmasterkolya_kaBAN68
Brewmaster
Lina
Linazxcursed
44% · 20 games52% · 105 games
Shadow FiendMariachi
Shadow Fiend
Tidehunter
TidehunterMindfvck
51% · 168 games44% · 103 games
Snapfireybicanoooobov
Snapfire
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakerdabbackwood
48% · 91 game50% · 105 games
RingmasterShishak
Ringmaster
Techies
Techiesakumaqqe
57% · 70 games50% · 56 games
Shadow ShamanVooDooSh
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction missed49:51
zxcursed Team 33%VooDooSh Team 67%
The model gave 67% on VooDooSh Team — the game was taken by zxcursed Team in 52:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidShigetsu
48% · 39 games57% · 176 games
Shadow FiendMariachi
Shadow Fiend
Lina
Linazxcursed
34% · 9 games67% · 39 games
Ogre MagiVooDooSh
Ogre Magi
Axe
AxeMindfvck
45% · 144 games44% · 75 games
TechiesShishak
Techies
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mageakumaqqe
40% · 48 games59% · 41 game
Necrophosybicanoooobov
Necrophos
Bane
Banedabbackwood
50% · 120 games45% · 29 games
Night Stalkerkolya_kaBAN68
Night Stalker
Game 3prediction correct46:64
zxcursed Team 37%VooDooSh Team 63%
The model gave 63% on VooDooSh Team — the game was taken by VooDooSh Team in 1:04:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendzxcursed
51% · 188 games53% · 72 games
Drow RangerMariachi
Drow Ranger
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerShigetsu
52% · 21 game45% · 54 games
Pudgekolya_kaBAN68
Pudge
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerMindfvck
49% · 91 game50% · 78 games
TechiesShishak
Techies
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakerdabbackwood
45% · 51 game48% · 210 games
WarlockVooDooSh
Warlock
Lion
Lionakumaqqe
64% · 88 games35% · 25 games
Death Prophetybicanoooobov
Death Prophet
Model check result
Model favoriteVooDooSh Team · 76%
Series resultVooDooSh Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3