Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-109u
ROI
-8.2%
win rate
42%
bets
132
drawdown
12.1%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-93u
period 3profit withdrawn+51u
period 2top-up-44u
period 1top-up-21u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 132 | 42% | -109 | -8.2% | 12.1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 132 | 42% | -109 | -8.3% | 12.1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 132 | 42% | -220 | -8.5% | 23.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 132 | 42% | -562 | -8.9% | 58.3% | Select |
| Martingale | 59 | 39% | -764 | -25.6% | 81.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 132 | 42% | -1163 | -9.7% | 114.6% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 132, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 891 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 901 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | DragonClaw | 2.72 | 10 | lost | -10 | 911 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy – MIBR | Legacy | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 921 |
| 16.08.26 | BERG – HAVU | HAVU | 2.19 | 10 | won | +12 | 911 |
| 15.08.26 | Enjoy – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 899 |
| 15.08.26 | ex-MANA – Misa | Misa | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 909 |
| 14.08.26 | Fire Flux – BAKS | BAKS | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 899 |
| 14.08.26 | Fire Flux – GUESS | GUESS | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 889 |
| 13.08.26 | Aurora – M80 | M80 | 2.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 899 |
| 12.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.24 | 10 | lost | -10 | 909 |
| 09.08.26 | UNO MILLE – paiN Academy | paiN Academy | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 919 |
| 09.08.26 | HEROIC – ASTRAL | HEROIC | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 908 |
| 09.08.26 | Fluxo – fnatic | Fluxo | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 898 |
| 08.08.26 | INFINITE – Giant Pandas | Giant Pandas | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 908 |
| 08.08.26 | 100 Thieves – NADE | NADE | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 918 |
| 07.08.26 | Walczaki – Black Phoenix | Walczaki | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 928 |
| 07.08.26 | FKOMAR – fnatic | FKOMAR | 2.53 | 10 | lost | -10 | 938 |
| 06.08.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 948 |
| 06.08.26 | Lavked – Black Phoenix | Lavked | 2.36 | 10 | lost | -10 | 958 |
| 06.08.26 | Imperial – ALKA | ALKA | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | 968 |
| 04.08.26 | Eternal Fire – INOX Division | Eternal Fire | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 978 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | EAC | 2.62 | 10 | lost | -10 | 988 |
| 04.08.26 | Just Players – Enjoy | Just Players | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 998 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 3.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 987 |
| 03.08.26 | Isurus – ODDIK Academy | ODDIK Academy | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 997 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.76 | 10 | won | +18 | 1007 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – Enjoy | Mai Tai | 2.59 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
| 01.08.26 | Fluxo – BESTIA | BESTIA | 2.06 | 10 | won | +11 | 1000 |
| 01.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE – megoshort | megoshort | 2.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 989 |
| 01.08.26 | Trouble makers – ZWAW | ZWAW | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 999 |
| 01.08.26 | Betclic – The Last Resort | Betclic | 2.25 | 10 | won | +13 | 1009 |
| 01.08.26 | LP – BESTIA | BESTIA | 2.18 | 10 | won | +12 | 997 |
| 31.07.26 | Spirit Academy – sleepers | Spirit Academy | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 985 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.67 | 10 | won | +17 | 975 |
| 31.07.26 | INFINITE – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.17 | 10 | won | +12 | 958 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-RUBY – Lavked | Lavked | 2.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | 946 |
| 30.07.26 | WW – TDK | WW | 2.75 | 10 | won | +18 | 956 |
| 30.07.26 | Butterfly – Atreides | Atreides | 2.24 | 10 | lost | -10 | 939 |
| 27.07.26 | ex-RUBY – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 2.63 | 10 | lost | -10 | 949 |
| 26.07.26 | EAC – Atreides | EAC | 2.43 | 10 | won | +14 | 959 |
| 26.07.26 | los kogutos – megoshort | megoshort | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 944 |
| 26.07.26 | INOX Division – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 934 |
| 26.07.26 | INOX Division – Phantom | Phantom | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 944 |
| 26.07.26 | NEW VISION – ex-MANA | NEW VISION | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 954 |
| 25.07.26 | los kogutos – Entropy | los kogutos | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 964 |
| 25.07.26 | HOTU – INFINITE | INFINITE | 2.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 974 |
| 25.07.26 | STATE – Fortress | Fortress | 2.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 984 |
| 25.07.26 | Omega – NOVAQ | NOVAQ | 2.20 | 10 | won | +12 | 994 |
| 24.07.26 | Privateer – Misa | Misa | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 982 |
| 24.07.26 | megoshort – ROUNDS | megoshort | 2.24 | 10 | lost | -10 | 971 |
| 22.07.26 | 100 Thieves – Falcons | 100 Thieves | 2.29 | 10 | won | +13 | 981 |
| 21.07.26 | Procyon – ALKA | Procyon | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 968 |
| 21.07.26 | 3DMAX – Gentle Mates | 3DMAX | 2.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 978 |
| 21.07.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 2.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 988 |
| 21.07.26 | Honvéd – Misa | Misa | 2.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 998 |
| 21.07.26 | Mai Tai – eternal premium | Mai Tai | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1008 |
| 20.07.26 | Misa – Lilmix | Lilmix | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 998 |
| 19.07.26 | Mai Tai – ROUNDS | Mai Tai | 2.27 | 10 | won | +13 | 1008 |
| 18.07.26 | HEROIC – K27 | HEROIC | 2.25 | 10 | won | +12 | 995 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.