Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-5u
ROI
-0.4%
win rate
46%
bets
129
drawdown
12.7%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-105u
period 3profit withdrawn+28u
period 2profit withdrawn+72u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 129 | 46% | -5 | -0.4% | 12.7% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 129 | 46% | -6 | -0.5% | 13% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 129 | 46% | -9 | -0.3% | 22.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 129 | 46% | -17 | -0.3% | 39.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 129 | 46% | -73 | -0.6% | 55% | Select |
| Martingale | 117 | 47% | -343 | -6.7% | 64.8% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 129, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 9 | lost | -9 | 995 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.50 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1004 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – ex-MANA | Fortress | 2.03 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1013 |
| 17.08.26 | Atreides – ex-Sashi Academy | Atreides | 2.06 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1022 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo – Misa | Misa | 2.28 | 9 | won | +12 | 1031 |
| 15.08.26 | Misa – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.07 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1020 |
| 14.08.26 | Mai Tai – UNiTY | Mai Tai | 2.34 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1029 |
| 14.08.26 | EAC – benched gods | EAC | 2.09 | 9 | won | +10 | 1038 |
| 14.08.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetBoom | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.14 | 9 | won | +10 | 1028 |
| 13.08.26 | Falcons – Astralis | Astralis | 2.44 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1018 |
| 13.08.26 | The Last Resort – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 2.01 | 9 | won | +9 | 1027 |
| 12.08.26 | Falcons – K27 | K27 | 2.03 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1018 |
| 10.08.26 | Ground Zero – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.13 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1027 |
| 09.08.26 | HEROIC – fnatic | HEROIC | 2.44 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1036 |
| 09.08.26 | DEPO – Game Point | Game Point | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1046 |
| 08.08.26 | eSuba – BRUTE | eSuba | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1055 |
| 08.08.26 | 100 Thieves – NADE | NADE | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1065 |
| 07.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sangal | Sangal | 2.62 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1075 |
| 06.08.26 | MAYBE – Jam | MAYBE | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1084 |
| 06.08.26 | BET-M – SPARTA | BET-M | 2.16 | 10 | won | +11 | 1094 |
| 06.08.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1083 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-MANA – Bushido Wildcats | ex-MANA | 2.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1093 |
| 04.08.26 | Eternal Fire – INOX Division | Eternal Fire | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1103 |
| 04.08.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.43 | 10 | won | +14 | 1113 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.64 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1099 |
| 03.08.26 | los kogutos – BASEMENT BOYS | los kogutos | 2.16 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1109 |
| 03.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1119 |
| 03.08.26 | ARCRED – Butterfly | ARCRED | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1129 |
| 03.08.26 | NRG – SportsBetExpert | NRG | 2.14 | 10 | won | +12 | 1140 |
| 01.08.26 | mellren – Spirit Academy | Spirit Academy | 2.16 | 10 | won | +12 | 1128 |
| 01.08.26 | atputies – The Last Resort | atputies | 2.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1116 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | SINNERS | 3.60 | 10 | won | +26 | 1127 |
| 01.08.26 | Trouble makers – ZWAW | ZWAW | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1101 |
| 01.08.26 | DONSTU – ALTAY | DONSTU | 2.06 | 10 | won | +11 | 1111 |
| 31.07.26 | Banda Chuya – mellren | Banda Chuya | 2.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1100 |
| 31.07.26 | K27 – Just Players | K27 | 2.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1110 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.67 | 10 | won | +17 | 1121 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – XCLAN | XCLAN | 2.54 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1104 |
| 30.07.26 | 3DMAX – MOUZ | 3DMAX | 2.42 | 11 | lost | -11 | 1114 |
| 30.07.26 | KUUSAMO – BOJONG | KUUSAMO | 2.02 | 10 | won | +11 | 1125 |
| 27.07.26 | Atreides – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.19 | 10 | won | +12 | 1114 |
| 27.07.26 | ASTRAL – atputies | atputies | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1102 |
| 27.07.26 | Noir Verse – atputies | atputies | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 1112 |
| 27.07.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Entropy | Entropy | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1101 |
| 26.07.26 | los kogutos – megoshort | megoshort | 2.04 | 10 | won | +11 | 1111 |
| 26.07.26 | HOTU – Aurora | Aurora | 2.22 | 10 | won | +12 | 1101 |
| 25.07.26 | FERAX – Aimhaus | Aimhaus | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1088 |
| 25.07.26 | Just Players – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 1078 |
| 25.07.26 | Rune Eaters – Omega | Rune Eaters | 2.15 | 10 | won | +11 | 1067 |
| 25.07.26 | Omega – NOVAQ | NOVAQ | 2.20 | 10 | won | +12 | 1056 |
| 24.07.26 | DENDELE – FURIA | DENDELE | 2.15 | 10 | won | +11 | 1044 |
| 24.07.26 | Fake do Biru – BORRACHEIROS | Fake do Biru | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1033 |
| 23.07.26 | Entropy – Subtop De France | Subtop De France | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1043 |
| 22.07.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Mai Tai | 2.39 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1053 |
| 22.07.26 | Nemiga – G2 | Nemiga | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1063 |
| 21.07.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – MOUZ | MOUZ | 2.32 | 10 | won | +13 | 1073 |
| 21.07.26 | Atreides – los kogutos | los kogutos | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1060 |
| 21.07.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 2.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1070 |
| 21.07.26 | Mai Tai – eternal premium | Mai Tai | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1080 |
| 19.07.26 | Strael Bora – Julie&Cie | Julie&Cie | 2.21 | 10 | won | +12 | 1070 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.