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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
+569u
ROI
+5.7%
win rate
49%
bets
129
drawdown
40.2%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰
Stake size

10% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-255u
period 3top-up-183u
period 2profit withdrawn+40u
period 1profit withdrawn+967u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll12949%+569+5.7%40.2%Select
5% of bankroll12949%+388+6.8%27.3%Select
2% of bankroll12949%+183+7.4%14.8%Select
Flat (10 units)12949%+101+7.8%8.7%Select
1% of bankroll12949%+96+7.6%8.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Martingale6648%-640-29.1%74.6%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 129, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
19.08.26Black Phoenix – Bushido WildcatsBlack Phoenix2.7863won+1121569
18.08.26Omega – Fire FluxFire Flux2.2956won+721456
17.08.26Enjoy – HAVUHAVU2.6648won+801384
17.08.26paiN Academy – QUINTESSÊNCIApaiN Academy2.1653lost-531304
16.08.26Keyd Stars – ImperialKeyd Stars2.2159lost-591357
16.08.26FORZE Reload – DONSTUDONSTU2.0866lost-661417
14.08.26FUT – MOUZFUT2.3058won+761483
14.08.26Misa – LeoMisa2.5550won+781407
14.08.26Pugdesonesto – ALKAPugdesonesto2.0956lost-561328
13.08.26BERG – Endless JourneyBERG2.1650won+581384
12.08.269z – paiNpaiN2.2956lost-561326
12.08.26Spirit – JiJieHaoJiJieHao2.2350won+611382
09.08.26HOTU – JiJieHaoJiJieHao2.4443won+631321
09.08.269INE – HOTU9INE2.5048lost-481258
09.08.26Fluxo – fnaticFluxo2.1354lost-541307
08.08.26ALKA – paiN AcademypaiN Academy2.0360lost-601360
08.08.26Iberian Soul – 666666662.2666lost-661420
08.08.26Procyon – ODDIK AcademyProcyon2.1559won+681486
08.08.26EYEBALLERS – PhantomEYEBALLERS2.3352won+701418
08.08.26Dhala – PrestigeDhala2.0758lost-581348
07.08.26BRUTE – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior2.5251won+771407
07.08.26Walczaki – Black PhoenixWalczaki2.0756lost-561330
07.08.26INFINITE – AogiriAogiri2.0562lost-621386
06.08.26BESTIA – GrêmioGrêmio2.3269lost-691448
04.08.26Just Players – EnjoyJust Players2.0963won+681518
03.08.26Bushido Wildcats – Noir VerseNoir Verse2.4370lost-701450
03.08.26Leo – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy2.4977lost-771519
03.08.26fnatic – MetizportMetizport2.2686lost-861596
02.08.26Leo – ex-MANAex-MANA2.7673won+1291682
02.08.26MOUZ NXT – WBTMOUZ NXT2.4081lost-811553
02.08.26Omega – DEPODEPO2.1790lost-901634
01.08.26Black Phoenix – Just PlayersBlack Phoenix2.0282won+841725
01.08.26The Last Resort – BetclicBetclic2.2173won+881641
01.08.26Trouble makers – ZWAWZWAW2.0281lost-811553
01.08.26Liquid – atputiesatputies2.0190lost-901634
01.08.26DEPO – DONSTUDONSTU2.02100lost-1001724
31.07.26CYBERSHOKE – STATECYBERSHOKE2.0474won+771824
31.07.26HOTU – G2 AresG2 Ares2.6763won+1061747
31.07.26BASEMENT BOYS – Lazer CatsLazer Cats2.3656won+761641
31.07.26regain – Chicken Coopregain2.2250won+611565
30.07.26Liquid – SpiritLiquid2.6655lost-551504
30.07.26NRG – MarsborneNRG2.0950won+551559
27.07.26Virtus.pro – WWWW2.4555lost-551505
27.07.26PURE – atputiesPURE2.0750won+531560
26.07.26Fluxo – IsurusIsurus2.2145won+541507
26.07.26los kogutos – megoshortmegoshort2.0440won+421453
26.07.26SPARTA – AtreidesSPARTA2.2745lost-451411
26.07.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – paiNpaiN2.1740won+471456
25.07.26ex-MANA – megoshortmegoshort2.3236won+471409
25.07.26HOTU – INFINITEINFINITE2.2840lost-401362
25.07.26STATE – FortressFortress2.4244lost-441402
25.07.26Rune Eaters – ALTAYRune Eaters2.0140won+401445
24.07.263DMAX – magic3DMAX2.6334won+561405
23.07.26SINNERS – FUTSINNERS2.4738lost-381349
22.07.26Butterfly – benched godsButterfly2.0834won+371387
22.07.26Enjoy – FortressFortress2.2338lost-381350
22.07.26EYEBALLERS – FaZeEYEBALLERS2.0242lost-421388
21.07.26Fortress – SAW YoungstersFortress2.1647lost-471431
21.07.26HOTU – HEROICHEROIC2.4352lost-521478
21.07.26Nemesis – AstralisAstralis2.5545won+701530
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.