Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
+106u
ROI
+8.3%
win rate
50%
bets
128
drawdown
9.3%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-110u
period 3profit withdrawn+90u
period 2profit withdrawn+96u
period 1profit withdrawn+30u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 128 | 50% | +1443 | +11.4% | 33.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 128 | 50% | +653 | +10.3% | 25.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 128 | 50% | +227 | +8.9% | 15.1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 128 | 50% | +106 | +8.3% | 9.3% | Selected |
| Flat (10 units) | 128 | 50% | +99 | +7.7% | 9.8% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 112 | 53% | -435 | -11.1% | 64.5% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 128, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1106 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1115 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1124 |
| 16.08.26 | eternal premium – Phantom Academy | eternal premium | 2.03 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1134 |
| 15.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.14 | 9 | won | +10 | 1143 |
| 14.08.26 | SINQU – Lavked | Lavked | 2.14 | 9 | won | +10 | 1132 |
| 14.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – paiN Academy | METANOIA Wolves | 2.36 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1122 |
| 13.08.26 | BIG – G2 | G2 | 2.16 | 9 | won | +10 | 1131 |
| 12.08.26 | ROUNDS – Subtop De France | Subtop De France | 2.01 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1121 |
| 09.08.26 | Grêmio – Procyon | Procyon | 2.05 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1130 |
| 09.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sashi | Sashi | 2.17 | 9 | won | +11 | 1139 |
| 09.08.26 | Inner Circle – Iberian Soul | Iberian Soul | 2.68 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1128 |
| 08.08.26 | Jam – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.28 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1138 |
| 08.08.26 | GenOne – Galactik rebels | Galactik rebels | 2.72 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1147 |
| 08.08.26 | 100 Thieves – NADE | NADE | 2.05 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1156 |
| 07.08.26 | BET-M – ex-RUSTEC | BET-M | 2.46 | 9 | won | +14 | 1166 |
| 07.08.26 | GenOne – lafox | lafox | 2.98 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1152 |
| 06.08.26 | Lavked – Black Phoenix | Lavked | 2.36 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1162 |
| 05.08.26 | GamersLab – Jam | GamersLab | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1171 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | EAC | 2.62 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1181 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | Nemiga | 2.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1191 |
| 04.08.26 | Rooster – FURY | FURY | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1200 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – BASEMENT BOYS | Mai Tai | 2.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1210 |
| 02.08.26 | SINNERS – SPARTA | SINNERS | 2.23 | 10 | won | +12 | 1220 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – Vexar | Vexar | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1208 |
| 01.08.26 | mellren – Spirit Academy | Spirit Academy | 2.16 | 10 | won | +12 | 1218 |
| 01.08.26 | FaZe – Spirit | FaZe | 2.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1207 |
| 31.07.26 | Spirit Academy – sleepers | Spirit Academy | 2.01 | 11 | won | +11 | 1217 |
| 31.07.26 | XCLAN – EAC | EAC | 2.02 | 11 | won | +11 | 1206 |
| 31.07.26 | SINNERS – Rune Eaters | SINNERS | 2.77 | 10 | won | +19 | 1195 |
| 31.07.26 | INFINITE – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.17 | 10 | won | +12 | 1176 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-RUSTEC – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1164 |
| 30.07.26 | Iowa Stormboar – LAG | LAG | 2.03 | 10 | won | +11 | 1174 |
| 27.07.26 | SPARTA – Honvéd | SPARTA | 2.36 | 10 | won | +14 | 1164 |
| 27.07.26 | PURE – atputies | PURE | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 1150 |
| 27.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Comanche | Comanche | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1139 |
| 26.07.26 | EAC – Atreides | EAC | 2.43 | 10 | won | +14 | 1149 |
| 26.07.26 | Fluxo – Isurus | Isurus | 2.21 | 10 | won | +12 | 1135 |
| 26.07.26 | INOX Division – Phantom | Phantom | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1123 |
| 25.07.26 | Honvéd – Vexar | Vexar | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1133 |
| 25.07.26 | NEW VISION – benched gods | NEW VISION | 2.55 | 10 | won | +15 | 1123 |
| 25.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Endless Journey | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1108 |
| 25.07.26 | DEPO – ZWAW | DEPO | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1098 |
| 24.07.26 | Bounty Hunters – ODDIK | ODDIK | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1088 |
| 22.07.26 | QUAZAR – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.34 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1078 |
| 22.07.26 | SPARTA – SAW Youngsters | SPARTA | 2.49 | 9 | won | +14 | 1088 |
| 21.07.26 | Alliance – Wildcard | Wildcard | 2.50 | 9 | won | +14 | 1074 |
| 21.07.26 | 3DMAX – Gentle Mates | 3DMAX | 2.48 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1060 |
| 21.07.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 2.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1069 |
| 21.07.26 | Nemesis – Astralis | Astralis | 2.55 | 9 | won | +15 | 1079 |
| 21.07.26 | Honvéd – Julie&Cie | Julie&Cie | 2.22 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1064 |
| 21.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.16 | 9 | won | +11 | 1074 |
| 19.07.26 | Myth – Strael Bora | Strael Bora | 2.03 | 9 | won | +10 | 1063 |
| 19.07.26 | BIG Academy – Vexar | Vexar | 2.05 | 9 | won | +10 | 1053 |
| 18.07.26 | Imperial – ShindeN | ShindeN | 2.10 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1044 |
| 18.07.26 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER – Ground Zero | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 2.11 | 9 | won | +10 | 1053 |
| 17.07.26 | NEW VISION – Just Players | NEW VISION | 2.51 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1043 |
| 16.07.26 | Red Feet – Vasco | Vasco | 2.40 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1052 |
| 16.07.26 | Entropy – Inner Circle Academy | Entropy | 2.22 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1061 |
| 16.07.26 | ROUNDS – megoshort | megoshort | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1071 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.