Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-1346u
ROI
-4.8%
win rate
42%
bets
353
drawdown
246.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+769u
period 6top-up-922u
period 5profit withdrawn+353u
period 4top-up-87u
period 3top-up-694u
period 2top-up-421u
period 1top-up-344u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 353 | 42% | -160 | -4.6% | 28.5% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 353 | 42% | -167 | -4.7% | 29.5% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 353 | 42% | -306 | -4.6% | 55.4% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 353 | 42% | -691 | -4.4% | 130% | Select |
| Martingale | 78 | 38% | -953 | -23.4% | 96.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 353 | 42% | -1346 | -4.8% | 246.1% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 353, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Gothic – Lavked | Lavked | 2.05 | 160 | won | +169 | -346 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 178 | lost | -178 | -515 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 198 | lost | -198 | -337 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | BORRACHEIROS | 2.09 | 220 | lost | -220 | -139 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 181 | won | +384 | 80 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.10 | 163 | won | +179 | -304 |
| 10.10.26 | Club 333 – DETONATE | DETONATE | 2.01 | 148 | won | +150 | -483 |
| 10.10.26 | ALKA – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.27 | 132 | won | +167 | -633 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | 6666 | 2.07 | 119 | won | +127 | -799 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.89 | 100 | won | +189 | -926 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Leo | 2.05 | 111 | lost | -111 | -1116 |
| 09.10.26 | New Legends – Wanted Goons | Wanted Goons | 2.35 | 98 | won | +132 | -1005 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Privateer | 3.78 | 109 | lost | -109 | -1137 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 98 | won | +105 | -1028 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | megoshort | 2.56 | 109 | lost | -109 | -1133 |
| 08.10.26 | Alter Ego – Kaleido | Kaleido | 2.20 | 97 | won | +117 | -1024 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | Privateer | 2.81 | 83 | won | +149 | -1141 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Famalicão | 2.55 | 92 | lost | -92 | -1290 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – SAW | SAW | 2.09 | 102 | lost | -102 | -1198 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 89 | won | +125 | -1096 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Privateer | 3.36 | 72 | won | +171 | -1221 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.29 | 64 | won | +82 | -1392 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | SINQU | 2.85 | 71 | lost | -71 | -1475 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | SINQU | 2.54 | 79 | lost | -79 | -1403 |
| 07.10.26 | PURE – SINQU | SINQU | 2.45 | 88 | lost | -88 | -1324 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | Gothic | 2.29 | 78 | won | +100 | -1236 |
| 06.10.26 | Spirit – 1win | 1win | 2.41 | 68 | won | +96 | -1337 |
| 05.10.26 | PARIVISION – FURIA | PARIVISION | 2.32 | 76 | lost | -76 | -1433 |
| 03.10.26 | NT – Lazer Cats | NT | 2.15 | 68 | won | +78 | -1357 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.41 | 76 | lost | -76 | -1435 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 84 | lost | -84 | -1360 |
| 02.10.26 | FOKUS – BBL | BBL | 2.09 | 76 | won | +83 | -1276 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Prestige | Prestige | 2.64 | 84 | lost | -84 | -1359 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 93 | lost | -93 | -1274 |
| 02.10.26 | Nexus – 6yuBoJlbl | 6yuBoJlbl | 2.24 | 83 | won | +103 | -1181 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Sashi | Sashi | 2.27 | 92 | lost | -92 | -1284 |
| 02.10.26 | UNiTY – aimclub | aimclub | 2.04 | 103 | lost | -103 | -1192 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | BBL | 3.02 | 85 | won | +172 | -1090 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | 1337 | 2.44 | 95 | lost | -95 | -1262 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 105 | lost | -105 | -1167 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | EAC | 2.71 | 90 | won | +154 | -1062 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | ex-ODDIK | 2.29 | 100 | lost | -100 | -1215 |
| 30.09.26 | Leo – mellren | Leo | 2.15 | 9 | lost | -9 | -1115 |
| 29.09.26 | MAYBE – Illyrians | MAYBE | 2.40 | 8 | won | +11 | -1107 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | DNK | 2.24 | 7 | won | +8 | -1117 |
| 29.09.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.17 | 8 | lost | -8 | -1126 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.21 | 8 | lost | -8 | -1118 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | FarmVille | 2.84 | 9 | lost | -9 | -1110 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Procyon | 2.77 | 8 | won | +14 | -1101 |
| 27.09.26 | Nemiga – Color | Color | 2.30 | 9 | lost | -9 | -1115 |
| 27.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – magic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.27 | 8 | won | +10 | -1106 |
| 27.09.26 | Phantom Academy – Illyrians | Phantom Academy | 2.10 | 7 | won | +8 | -1116 |
| 27.09.26 | Rare Atom – The Huns | The Huns | 2.62 | 6 | won | +10 | -1123 |
| 27.09.26 | benched gods – eternal premium | eternal premium | 2.18 | 7 | lost | -7 | -1133 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | INFINITE | 2.76 | 7 | lost | -7 | -1126 |
| 26.09.26 | magic – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 2.33 | 8 | lost | -8 | -1119 |
| 26.09.26 | Lilmix – overTIME | Lilmix | 2.61 | 9 | lost | -9 | -1111 |
| 26.09.26 | M80 – Voca | M80 | 2.44 | 8 | won | +12 | -1102 |
| 26.09.26 | HAVU – Inner Circle Academy | HAVU | 2.23 | 9 | lost | -9 | -1113 |
| 26.09.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | EAC | 2.41 | 8 | won | +11 | -1104 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.