Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
+1443u
ROI
+11.4%
win rate
50%
bets
128
drawdown
33.2%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
10% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-730u
period 3profit withdrawn+842u
period 2profit withdrawn+1132u
period 1profit withdrawn+199u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 128 | 50% | +1443 | +11.4% | 33.2% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 128 | 50% | +653 | +10.3% | 25.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 128 | 50% | +227 | +8.9% | 15.1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 128 | 50% | +106 | +8.3% | 9.3% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 128 | 50% | +99 | +7.7% | 9.8% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 112 | 53% | -435 | -11.1% | 64.5% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 128, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 30 | lost | -30 | 2443 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 33 | lost | -33 | 2473 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 37 | lost | -37 | 2507 |
| 16.08.26 | eternal premium – Phantom Academy | eternal premium | 2.03 | 41 | lost | -41 | 2544 |
| 15.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.14 | 37 | won | +42 | 2585 |
| 14.08.26 | SINQU – Lavked | Lavked | 2.14 | 33 | won | +38 | 2543 |
| 14.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – paiN Academy | METANOIA Wolves | 2.36 | 37 | lost | -37 | 2505 |
| 13.08.26 | BIG – G2 | G2 | 2.16 | 33 | won | +38 | 2542 |
| 12.08.26 | ROUNDS – Subtop De France | Subtop De France | 2.01 | 37 | lost | -37 | 2503 |
| 09.08.26 | Grêmio – Procyon | Procyon | 2.05 | 41 | lost | -41 | 2540 |
| 09.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sashi | Sashi | 2.17 | 37 | won | +43 | 2581 |
| 09.08.26 | Inner Circle – Iberian Soul | Iberian Soul | 2.68 | 41 | lost | -41 | 2538 |
| 08.08.26 | Jam – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.28 | 45 | lost | -45 | 2579 |
| 08.08.26 | GenOne – Galactik rebels | Galactik rebels | 2.72 | 50 | lost | -50 | 2624 |
| 08.08.26 | 100 Thieves – NADE | NADE | 2.05 | 56 | lost | -56 | 2674 |
| 07.08.26 | BET-M – ex-RUSTEC | BET-M | 2.46 | 49 | won | +71 | 2730 |
| 07.08.26 | GenOne – lafox | lafox | 2.98 | 54 | lost | -54 | 2659 |
| 06.08.26 | Lavked – Black Phoenix | Lavked | 2.36 | 60 | lost | -60 | 2713 |
| 05.08.26 | GamersLab – Jam | GamersLab | 2.11 | 67 | lost | -67 | 2773 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | EAC | 2.62 | 74 | lost | -74 | 2839 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | Nemiga | 2.89 | 82 | lost | -82 | 2913 |
| 04.08.26 | Rooster – FURY | FURY | 2.05 | 91 | lost | -91 | 2995 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – BASEMENT BOYS | Mai Tai | 2.44 | 102 | lost | -102 | 3087 |
| 02.08.26 | SINNERS – SPARTA | SINNERS | 2.23 | 90 | won | +111 | 3188 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – Vexar | Vexar | 2.04 | 100 | lost | -100 | 3077 |
| 01.08.26 | mellren – Spirit Academy | Spirit Academy | 2.16 | 90 | won | +105 | 3177 |
| 01.08.26 | FaZe – Spirit | FaZe | 2.28 | 100 | lost | -100 | 3073 |
| 31.07.26 | Spirit Academy – sleepers | Spirit Academy | 2.01 | 167 | won | +169 | 3173 |
| 31.07.26 | XCLAN – EAC | EAC | 2.02 | 152 | won | +155 | 3004 |
| 31.07.26 | SINNERS – Rune Eaters | SINNERS | 2.77 | 129 | won | +229 | 2849 |
| 31.07.26 | INFINITE – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.17 | 115 | won | +135 | 2620 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-RUSTEC – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.43 | 128 | lost | -128 | 2484 |
| 30.07.26 | Iowa Stormboar – LAG | LAG | 2.03 | 116 | won | +119 | 2612 |
| 27.07.26 | SPARTA – Honvéd | SPARTA | 2.36 | 102 | won | +139 | 2493 |
| 27.07.26 | PURE – atputies | PURE | 2.07 | 92 | won | +99 | 2354 |
| 27.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Comanche | Comanche | 2.01 | 103 | lost | -103 | 2255 |
| 26.07.26 | EAC – Atreides | EAC | 2.43 | 90 | won | +128 | 2358 |
| 26.07.26 | Fluxo – Isurus | Isurus | 2.21 | 80 | won | +97 | 2230 |
| 26.07.26 | INOX Division – Phantom | Phantom | 2.02 | 89 | lost | -89 | 2133 |
| 25.07.26 | Honvéd – Vexar | Vexar | 2.02 | 81 | won | +83 | 2222 |
| 25.07.26 | NEW VISION – benched gods | NEW VISION | 2.55 | 70 | won | +108 | 2139 |
| 25.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Endless Journey | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 2.02 | 63 | won | +65 | 2031 |
| 25.07.26 | DEPO – ZWAW | DEPO | 2.01 | 58 | won | +58 | 1966 |
| 24.07.26 | Bounty Hunters – ODDIK | ODDIK | 2.01 | 52 | won | +53 | 1908 |
| 22.07.26 | QUAZAR – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.34 | 58 | lost | -58 | 1855 |
| 22.07.26 | SPARTA – SAW Youngsters | SPARTA | 2.49 | 51 | won | +75 | 1913 |
| 21.07.26 | Alliance – Wildcard | Wildcard | 2.50 | 44 | won | +66 | 1838 |
| 21.07.26 | 3DMAX – Gentle Mates | 3DMAX | 2.48 | 49 | lost | -49 | 1772 |
| 21.07.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 2.43 | 54 | lost | -54 | 1821 |
| 21.07.26 | Nemesis – Astralis | Astralis | 2.55 | 47 | won | +73 | 1875 |
| 21.07.26 | Honvéd – Julie&Cie | Julie&Cie | 2.22 | 52 | lost | -52 | 1802 |
| 21.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.16 | 47 | won | +54 | 1854 |
| 19.07.26 | Myth – Strael Bora | Strael Bora | 2.03 | 43 | won | +44 | 1800 |
| 19.07.26 | BIG Academy – Vexar | Vexar | 2.05 | 38 | won | +40 | 1756 |
| 18.07.26 | Imperial – ShindeN | ShindeN | 2.10 | 43 | lost | -43 | 1716 |
| 18.07.26 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER – Ground Zero | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 2.11 | 38 | won | +43 | 1759 |
| 17.07.26 | NEW VISION – Just Players | NEW VISION | 2.51 | 43 | lost | -43 | 1716 |
| 16.07.26 | Red Feet – Vasco | Vasco | 2.40 | 48 | lost | -48 | 1759 |
| 16.07.26 | Entropy – Inner Circle Academy | Entropy | 2.22 | 53 | lost | -53 | 1806 |
| 16.07.26 | ROUNDS – megoshort | megoshort | 2.05 | 59 | lost | -59 | 1859 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.