Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-627u
ROI
-19.3%
win rate
35%
bets
349
drawdown
64.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
1% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-110u
period 6top-up-279u
period 5top-up-65u
period 4profit withdrawn+104u
period 3top-up-129u
period 2top-up-99u
period 1top-up-49u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 349 | 35% | -627 | -19.3% | 64.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 349 | 35% | -683 | -19.6% | 69.9% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 349 | 35% | -1154 | -18.9% | 117.8% | Select |
| Martingale | 8 | 0% | -1310 | -100% | 131% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 349 | 35% | -2282 | -17.7% | 231.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 349 | 35% | -3241 | -15.7% | 326.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 349, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Gothic – Lavked | Lavked | 2.05 | 9 | won | +9 | 373 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 9 | lost | -9 | 364 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 9 | lost | -9 | 373 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Yawara | 2.61 | 9 | lost | -9 | 382 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 9 | won | +19 | 391 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 9 | won | +13 | 372 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Misa | 2.55 | 9 | lost | -9 | 359 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 9 | lost | -9 | 368 |
| 10.10.26 | Ground Zero – KZG | KZG | 2.38 | 9 | lost | -9 | 377 |
| 10.10.26 | ALKA – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.27 | 9 | won | +11 | 386 |
| 09.10.26 | Acend – Nexus | Acend | 2.01 | 9 | lost | -9 | 375 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 9 | won | +18 | 384 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Leo | 2.05 | 9 | lost | -9 | 365 |
| 08.10.26 | Lilmix – Fire Flux | Lilmix | 4.10 | 9 | lost | -9 | 374 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 9 | won | +10 | 383 |
| 08.10.26 | Legion – Nas | Legion | 2.29 | 9 | lost | -9 | 374 |
| 08.10.26 | Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 2.69 | 9 | lost | -9 | 383 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | NAVI Junior | 2.81 | 9 | won | +16 | 392 |
| 07.10.26 | RBLS – Famalicão | Famalicão | 2.40 | 9 | lost | -9 | 376 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 9 | won | +12 | 385 |
| 07.10.26 | Just Players – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 2.40 | 9 | lost | -9 | 372 |
| 07.10.26 | The KnockoutX – The Huns | The KnockoutX | 2.11 | 9 | won | +10 | 381 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | SINQU | 2.85 | 9 | lost | -9 | 371 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | SINQU | 2.54 | 9 | lost | -9 | 380 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.32 | 9 | lost | -9 | 389 |
| 07.10.26 | benched gods – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 2.19 | 9 | lost | -9 | 399 |
| 06.10.26 | G2 – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.48 | 9 | won | +14 | 408 |
| 03.10.26 | Aurora – 9z | 9z | 2.27 | 9 | lost | -9 | 394 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.41 | 9 | lost | -9 | 404 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 9 | lost | -9 | 413 |
| 02.10.26 | FOKUS – BBL | BBL | 2.09 | 9 | won | +10 | 422 |
| 02.10.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Glitch | Glitch | 2.15 | 9 | lost | -9 | 412 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 9 | lost | -9 | 422 |
| 02.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 431 |
| 02.10.26 | Fire Flux – benched gods | benched gods | 2.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 441 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Sangal | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 450 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | 1337 | 2.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 460 |
| 01.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 470 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | EAC | 2.71 | 10 | won | +17 | 480 |
| 01.10.26 | SAW – NT | NT | 2.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 463 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | ex-ODDIK | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 473 |
| 30.09.26 | Leo – mellren | Leo | 2.15 | 7 | lost | -7 | 483 |
| 29.09.26 | MAYBE – Illyrians | MAYBE | 2.40 | 7 | won | +10 | 490 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | DNK | 2.24 | 7 | won | +9 | 480 |
| 29.09.26 | DEPO – PAQT | PAQT | 2.36 | 7 | won | +10 | 471 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | FarmVille | 2.84 | 7 | lost | -7 | 462 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.21 | 7 | lost | -7 | 469 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Procyon | 2.77 | 7 | won | +12 | 476 |
| 27.09.26 | Imperial – paiN | paiN | 3.48 | 7 | lost | -7 | 464 |
| 27.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – magic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.27 | 7 | won | +9 | 471 |
| 27.09.26 | Mai Tai – BIG Academy | Mai Tai | 3.22 | 7 | lost | -7 | 462 |
| 27.09.26 | Bounty Hunters – Galorys | Bounty Hunters | 2.32 | 7 | lost | -7 | 469 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | INFINITE | 2.76 | 7 | lost | -7 | 476 |
| 26.09.26 | magic – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 2.33 | 7 | lost | -7 | 483 |
| 26.09.26 | Lilmix – overTIME | Lilmix | 2.61 | 7 | lost | -7 | 491 |
| 26.09.26 | M80 – Voca | M80 | 2.44 | 7 | won | +10 | 498 |
| 26.09.26 | HAVU – Inner Circle Academy | HAVU | 2.23 | 7 | lost | -7 | 488 |
| 26.09.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | EAC | 2.41 | 7 | won | +10 | 495 |
| 26.09.26 | Nemesis – Sashi | Sashi | 2.22 | 7 | lost | -7 | 485 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 7 | lost | -7 | 492 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.