Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-201u
ROI
-15.7%
win rate
38%
bets
133
drawdown
30%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-89u
period 3top-up-32u
period 2top-up-125u
period 1profit withdrawn+45u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 133 | 38% | -201 | -15.7% | 30% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 133 | 38% | -207 | -15.6% | 31.4% | Select |
| Martingale | 114 | 39% | -244 | -4.9% | 58.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 133 | 38% | -389 | -15.8% | 54.3% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 133 | 38% | -881 | -15.9% | 103.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 133 | 38% | -1491 | -16% | 142.4% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 133, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Lavked | 2.17 | 9 | won | +11 | 799 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 9 | won | +11 | 789 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 9 | won | +12 | 777 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.85 | 9 | lost | -9 | 765 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy – MIBR | Legacy | 2.02 | 9 | won | +9 | 774 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Nexus | 2.41 | 9 | lost | -9 | 765 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo – Misa | Misa | 2.28 | 9 | won | +11 | 773 |
| 15.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – ENCE | MOUZ NXT | 2.15 | 9 | won | +10 | 762 |
| 14.08.26 | PARIVISION – 100 Thieves | PARIVISION | 2.32 | 9 | won | +11 | 752 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.61 | 9 | lost | -9 | 741 |
| 13.08.26 | ENCE – Enjoy | ENCE | 2.02 | 9 | lost | -9 | 750 |
| 13.08.26 | Luminosity – Spirit | Luminosity | 2.99 | 9 | lost | -9 | 758 |
| 12.08.26 | Wildcard – FURIA | Wildcard | 2.03 | 9 | lost | -9 | 767 |
| 09.08.26 | Jam – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.33 | 9 | lost | -9 | 776 |
| 09.08.26 | Fluxo – fnatic | Fluxo | 2.13 | 9 | lost | -9 | 785 |
| 09.08.26 | SINNERS – EYEBALLERS | SINNERS | 2.05 | 9 | lost | -9 | 794 |
| 08.08.26 | GenOne – Galactik rebels | Galactik rebels | 2.72 | 9 | lost | -9 | 803 |
| 08.08.26 | NAVI Junior – LPH | NAVI Junior | 2.23 | 9 | lost | -9 | 812 |
| 08.08.26 | K27 – SINNERS | SINNERS | 2.12 | 9 | lost | -9 | 822 |
| 08.08.26 | Echo – OG | OG | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 831 |
| 07.08.26 | Inner Circle – NIO | NIO | 2.57 | 10 | lost | -10 | 841 |
| 07.08.26 | Just Players – Butterfly | Just Players | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 850 |
| 05.08.26 | GamersLab – Jam | GamersLab | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 860 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | Nemiga | 2.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 870 |
| 03.08.26 | Walczaki – ex-RUSTEC | Walczaki | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 880 |
| 03.08.26 | ARCRED – Butterfly | ARCRED | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 890 |
| 02.08.26 | Vexar – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.34 | 10 | won | +13 | 900 |
| 02.08.26 | 6666 – 9INE | 6666 | 2.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 886 |
| 01.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE – megoshort | megoshort | 2.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 897 |
| 01.08.26 | ex-1win – INOX Division | ex-1win | 2.64 | 10 | won | +16 | 907 |
| 01.08.26 | Betclic – The Last Resort | Betclic | 2.25 | 10 | won | +12 | 890 |
| 01.08.26 | DEPO – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 878 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 888 |
| 31.07.26 | Voca – SportsBetExpert | Voca | 2.06 | 10 | won | +10 | 898 |
| 31.07.26 | Atreides – Honvéd | Atreides | 2.17 | 10 | lost | -10 | 887 |
| 30.07.26 | Nordic Partners – INOX Division | Nordic Partners | 2.65 | 10 | lost | -10 | 897 |
| 29.07.26 | Chicken Coop – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 2.18 | 10 | won | +12 | 907 |
| 27.07.26 | flacons – CYBERSHOKE | flacons | 2.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 896 |
| 27.07.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Entropy | Entropy | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 905 |
| 26.07.26 | Fluxo – Isurus | Isurus | 2.25 | 10 | won | +12 | 915 |
| 26.07.26 | Honvéd – Privateer | Privateer | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 903 |
| 26.07.26 | 100 Thieves – Spirit | 100 Thieves | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 913 |
| 26.07.26 | INOX Division – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 923 |
| 26.07.26 | Rune Eaters – NOVAQ | Rune Eaters | 2.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 933 |
| 26.07.26 | Fortress – Inner Circle Academy | Fortress | 2.18 | 10 | won | +12 | 943 |
| 26.07.26 | ex-RUBY – CYBERSHOKE Prospects | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 2.39 | 10 | won | +14 | 931 |
| 25.07.26 | Orda – Omega | Orda | 2.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 917 |
| 25.07.26 | LP – MAGICOS | MAGICOS | 2.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 928 |
| 24.07.26 | Liquid – Vitality | Liquid | 2.20 | 10 | won | +12 | 938 |
| 24.07.26 | EAC – Black Phoenix | EAC | 2.19 | 10 | won | +12 | 926 |
| 24.07.26 | INOX Division – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 2.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 914 |
| 22.07.26 | HOTU – Astralis | Astralis | 2.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 924 |
| 22.07.26 | Black Phoenix – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 934 |
| 21.07.26 | Astralis – FOKUS | Astralis | 2.23 | 10 | won | +12 | 944 |
| 21.07.26 | Honvéd – Julie&Cie | Julie&Cie | 2.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 932 |
| 21.07.26 | magic – Walczaki | magic | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 942 |
| 21.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.16 | 10 | won | +12 | 931 |
| 20.07.26 | Inner Circle Academy – Endless Journey | Inner Circle Academy | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 919 |
| 20.07.26 | BIG Academy – Entropy | Entropy | 2.31 | 10 | won | +13 | 930 |
| 18.07.26 | ex-RUBY – PsychoFace | PsychoFace | 3.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 916 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.