Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-73u
ROI
-0.6%
win rate
46%
bets
129
drawdown
55%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
10% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-729u
period 3profit withdrawn+44u
period 2profit withdrawn+710u
period 1top-up-98u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 129 | 46% | -5 | -0.4% | 12.7% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 129 | 46% | -6 | -0.5% | 13% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 129 | 46% | -9 | -0.3% | 22.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 129 | 46% | -17 | -0.3% | 39.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 129 | 46% | -73 | -0.6% | 55% | Select |
| Martingale | 117 | 47% | -343 | -6.7% | 64.8% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 129, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 30 | lost | -30 | 927 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.50 | 33 | lost | -33 | 957 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – ex-MANA | Fortress | 2.03 | 37 | lost | -37 | 991 |
| 17.08.26 | Atreides – ex-Sashi Academy | Atreides | 2.06 | 41 | lost | -41 | 1028 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo – Misa | Misa | 2.28 | 37 | won | +47 | 1069 |
| 15.08.26 | Misa – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.07 | 41 | lost | -41 | 1022 |
| 14.08.26 | Mai Tai – UNiTY | Mai Tai | 2.34 | 45 | lost | -45 | 1063 |
| 14.08.26 | EAC – benched gods | EAC | 2.09 | 41 | won | +44 | 1108 |
| 14.08.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetBoom | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.14 | 37 | won | +41 | 1064 |
| 13.08.26 | Falcons – Astralis | Astralis | 2.44 | 41 | lost | -41 | 1022 |
| 13.08.26 | The Last Resort – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 2.01 | 37 | won | +37 | 1063 |
| 12.08.26 | Falcons – K27 | K27 | 2.03 | 41 | lost | -41 | 1025 |
| 10.08.26 | Ground Zero – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.13 | 45 | lost | -45 | 1066 |
| 09.08.26 | HEROIC – fnatic | HEROIC | 2.44 | 51 | lost | -51 | 1112 |
| 09.08.26 | DEPO – Game Point | Game Point | 2.23 | 56 | lost | -56 | 1162 |
| 08.08.26 | eSuba – BRUTE | eSuba | 2.29 | 62 | lost | -62 | 1218 |
| 08.08.26 | 100 Thieves – NADE | NADE | 2.05 | 69 | lost | -69 | 1281 |
| 07.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sangal | Sangal | 2.62 | 77 | lost | -77 | 1350 |
| 06.08.26 | MAYBE – Jam | MAYBE | 2.02 | 86 | lost | -86 | 1427 |
| 06.08.26 | BET-M – SPARTA | BET-M | 2.16 | 77 | won | +89 | 1513 |
| 06.08.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.21 | 85 | lost | -85 | 1424 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-MANA – Bushido Wildcats | ex-MANA | 2.46 | 95 | lost | -95 | 1509 |
| 04.08.26 | Eternal Fire – INOX Division | Eternal Fire | 2.14 | 105 | lost | -105 | 1604 |
| 04.08.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.43 | 92 | won | +132 | 1709 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.64 | 102 | lost | -102 | 1577 |
| 03.08.26 | los kogutos – BASEMENT BOYS | los kogutos | 2.16 | 114 | lost | -114 | 1680 |
| 03.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.43 | 126 | lost | -126 | 1793 |
| 03.08.26 | ARCRED – Butterfly | ARCRED | 2.05 | 140 | lost | -140 | 1920 |
| 03.08.26 | NRG – SportsBetExpert | NRG | 2.14 | 126 | won | +144 | 2060 |
| 01.08.26 | mellren – Spirit Academy | Spirit Academy | 2.16 | 113 | won | +131 | 1916 |
| 01.08.26 | atputies – The Last Resort | atputies | 2.45 | 125 | lost | -125 | 1785 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | SINNERS | 3.60 | 99 | won | +259 | 1911 |
| 01.08.26 | Trouble makers – ZWAW | ZWAW | 2.02 | 111 | lost | -111 | 1652 |
| 01.08.26 | DONSTU – ALTAY | DONSTU | 2.06 | 100 | won | +106 | 1762 |
| 31.07.26 | Banda Chuya – mellren | Banda Chuya | 2.19 | 116 | lost | -116 | 1657 |
| 31.07.26 | K27 – Just Players | K27 | 2.22 | 129 | lost | -129 | 1773 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.67 | 111 | won | +184 | 1902 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – XCLAN | XCLAN | 2.54 | 123 | lost | -123 | 1718 |
| 30.07.26 | 3DMAX – MOUZ | 3DMAX | 2.42 | 136 | lost | -136 | 1840 |
| 30.07.26 | KUUSAMO – BOJONG | KUUSAMO | 2.02 | 124 | won | +127 | 1977 |
| 27.07.26 | Atreides – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.19 | 111 | won | +132 | 1850 |
| 27.07.26 | ASTRAL – atputies | atputies | 2.11 | 123 | lost | -123 | 1718 |
| 27.07.26 | Noir Verse – atputies | atputies | 2.09 | 111 | won | +121 | 1841 |
| 27.07.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Entropy | Entropy | 2.03 | 123 | lost | -123 | 1720 |
| 26.07.26 | los kogutos – megoshort | megoshort | 2.04 | 111 | won | +116 | 1843 |
| 26.07.26 | HOTU – Aurora | Aurora | 2.22 | 99 | won | +121 | 1727 |
| 25.07.26 | FERAX – Aimhaus | Aimhaus | 2.02 | 90 | won | +92 | 1606 |
| 25.07.26 | Just Players – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 2.07 | 81 | won | +87 | 1515 |
| 25.07.26 | Rune Eaters – Omega | Rune Eaters | 2.15 | 73 | won | +84 | 1427 |
| 25.07.26 | Omega – NOVAQ | NOVAQ | 2.20 | 65 | won | +78 | 1343 |
| 24.07.26 | DENDELE – FURIA | DENDELE | 2.15 | 59 | won | +67 | 1265 |
| 24.07.26 | Fake do Biru – BORRACHEIROS | Fake do Biru | 2.02 | 65 | lost | -65 | 1198 |
| 23.07.26 | Entropy – Subtop De France | Subtop De France | 2.05 | 72 | lost | -72 | 1263 |
| 22.07.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Mai Tai | 2.39 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1335 |
| 22.07.26 | Nemiga – G2 | Nemiga | 2.04 | 89 | lost | -89 | 1415 |
| 21.07.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – MOUZ | MOUZ | 2.32 | 79 | won | +104 | 1505 |
| 21.07.26 | Atreides – los kogutos | los kogutos | 2.09 | 88 | lost | -88 | 1401 |
| 21.07.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 2.42 | 97 | lost | -97 | 1488 |
| 21.07.26 | Mai Tai – eternal premium | Mai Tai | 2.01 | 88 | won | +90 | 1586 |
| 19.07.26 | Strael Bora – Julie&Cie | Julie&Cie | 2.21 | 79 | won | +95 | 1496 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.