Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-3791u
ROI
-18.1%
win rate
39%
bets
358
drawdown
380.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-734u
period 6top-up-832u
period 5top-up-498u
period 4top-up-61u
period 3top-up-739u
period 2top-up-584u
period 1top-up-344u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 358 | 39% | -425 | -11.9% | 44.4% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 358 | 39% | -426 | -12.5% | 44.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 358 | 39% | -851 | -13.2% | 87.7% | Select |
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1150 | -100% | 115% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 358 | 39% | -2077 | -15% | 211% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 358 | 39% | -3791 | -18.1% | 380.9% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 358, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 30 | lost | -30 | -2791 |
| 14.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Alter Ego | Lynn Vision | 2.03 | 27 | won | +28 | -2762 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 30 | lost | -30 | -2789 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 33 | lost | -33 | -2759 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 37 | lost | -37 | -2726 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | BORRACHEIROS | 2.09 | 41 | lost | -41 | -2690 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 34 | won | +71 | -2649 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.10 | 30 | won | +33 | -2720 |
| 10.10.26 | Ground Zero – KZG | KZG | 2.38 | 34 | lost | -34 | -2753 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | 6666 | 2.07 | 30 | won | +33 | -2720 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 25 | won | +52 | -2752 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Leo | 2.05 | 28 | lost | -28 | -2805 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 25 | won | +27 | -2777 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Misa | Azuolas | 2.43 | 28 | lost | -28 | -2804 |
| 08.10.26 | Rare Atom – Just Swing | Just Swing | 2.37 | 25 | won | +34 | -2776 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 27 | lost | -27 | -2809 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Famalicão | 2.55 | 31 | lost | -31 | -2782 |
| 07.10.26 | RBLS – Famalicão | Famalicão | 2.40 | 34 | lost | -34 | -2751 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 30 | won | +42 | -2717 |
| 07.10.26 | MAYBE – ENCE | MAYBE | 2.35 | 33 | lost | -33 | -2759 |
| 07.10.26 | THE UNIT – XDM | XDM | 2.00 | 37 | lost | -37 | -2726 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.11 | 41 | lost | -41 | -2689 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.38 | 36 | won | +50 | -2648 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.32 | 40 | lost | -40 | -2698 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | Gothic | 2.29 | 35 | won | +46 | -2658 |
| 06.10.26 | Spirit – 1win | 1win | 2.41 | 31 | won | +44 | -2704 |
| 05.10.26 | PARIVISION – FURIA | PARIVISION | 2.32 | 34 | lost | -34 | -2747 |
| 03.10.26 | Aurora – 9z | 9z | 2.27 | 38 | lost | -38 | -2713 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.41 | 42 | lost | -42 | -2675 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 47 | lost | -47 | -2632 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.52 | 52 | lost | -52 | -2585 |
| 02.10.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Glitch | Glitch | 2.15 | 58 | lost | -58 | -2532 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 65 | lost | -65 | -2474 |
| 02.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.23 | 72 | lost | -72 | -2409 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.56 | 62 | won | +97 | -2337 |
| 02.10.26 | Fire Flux – benched gods | benched gods | 2.15 | 69 | lost | -69 | -2435 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Sangal | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.09 | 77 | lost | -77 | -2366 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | 1337 | 2.44 | 85 | lost | -85 | -2289 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 95 | lost | -95 | -2203 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | EAC | 2.71 | 81 | won | +138 | -2108 |
| 01.10.26 | Astralis – Alliance | Astralis | 2.08 | 90 | lost | -90 | -2247 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | ex-ODDIK | 2.29 | 100 | lost | -100 | -2157 |
| 30.09.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.45 | 19 | lost | -19 | -2057 |
| 29.09.26 | MAYBE – Illyrians | MAYBE | 2.40 | 16 | won | +23 | -2038 |
| 29.09.26 | DEPO – PAQT | PAQT | 2.36 | 14 | won | +20 | -2061 |
| 28.09.26 | Leo – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.21 | 13 | won | +16 | -2081 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.21 | 14 | lost | -14 | -2096 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | FarmVille | 2.84 | 16 | lost | -16 | -2082 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Procyon | 2.77 | 14 | won | +24 | -2066 |
| 27.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – magic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.27 | 12 | won | +15 | -2090 |
| 27.09.26 | Phantom Academy – Illyrians | Phantom Academy | 2.10 | 11 | won | +12 | -2105 |
| 27.09.26 | Bounty Hunters – Galorys | Bounty Hunters | 2.32 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2117 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | INFINITE | 2.76 | 13 | lost | -13 | -2105 |
| 26.09.26 | magic – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 2.33 | 15 | lost | -15 | -2092 |
| 26.09.26 | Spirit Academy Green – Young TigeRES | Young TigeRES | 2.10 | 13 | won | +15 | -2077 |
| 26.09.26 | M80 – Voca | M80 | 2.44 | 12 | won | +17 | -2092 |
| 26.09.26 | HAVU – Inner Circle Academy | HAVU | 2.23 | 13 | lost | -13 | -2109 |
| 26.09.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | EAC | 2.41 | 11 | won | +16 | -2096 |
| 26.09.26 | EYEBALLERS – K27 | EYEBALLERS | 2.44 | 13 | lost | -13 | -2112 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 14 | lost | -14 | -2099 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.