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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
+227u
ROI
+8.9%
win rate
50%
bets
128
drawdown
15.1%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰
Stake size

2% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-211u
period 3profit withdrawn+182u
period 2profit withdrawn+197u
period 1profit withdrawn+59u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll12850%+1443+11.4%33.2%Select
5% of bankroll12850%+653+10.3%25.6%Select
2% of bankroll12850%+227+8.9%15.1%Select
1% of bankroll12850%+106+8.3%9.3%Select
Flat (10 units)12850%+99+7.7%9.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Martingale11253%-435-11.1%64.5%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 128, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
19.08.26G2 – AstralisAstralis2.0616lost-161227
18.08.26Color – MisaMisa2.0616lost-161243
18.08.26ENCE – Mai TaiMai Tai2.4617lost-171259
16.08.26eternal premium – Phantom Academyeternal premium2.0317lost-171276
15.08.26ex-Sashi Academy – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters2.1417won+191293
14.08.26SINQU – LavkedLavked2.1416won+191274
14.08.26METANOIA Wolves – paiN AcademyMETANOIA Wolves2.3617lost-171256
13.08.26BIG – G2G22.1616won+191272
12.08.26ROUNDS – Subtop De FranceSubtop De France2.0117lost-171253
09.08.26Grêmio – ProcyonProcyon2.0517lost-171270
09.08.26Virtus.pro – SashiSashi2.1717won+191287
09.08.26Inner Circle – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.6817lost-171268
08.08.26Jam – UNiTYUNiTY2.2817lost-171284
08.08.26GenOne – Galactik rebelsGalactik rebels2.7218lost-181302
08.08.26100 Thieves – NADENADE2.0518lost-181319
07.08.26BET-M – ex-RUSTECBET-M2.4617won+261337
07.08.26GenOne – lafoxlafox2.9818lost-181312
06.08.26Lavked – Black PhoenixLavked2.3618lost-181330
05.08.26GamersLab – JamGamersLab2.1119lost-191348
04.08.26fnatic – EACEAC2.6219lost-191366
04.08.26Nemiga – GenOneNemiga2.8919lost-191385
04.08.26Rooster – FURYFURY2.0520lost-201405
02.08.26Mai Tai – BASEMENT BOYSMai Tai2.4420lost-201424
02.08.26SINNERS – SPARTASINNERS2.2320won+241445
02.08.26Leo – VexarVexar2.0420lost-201420
01.08.26mellren – Spirit AcademySpirit Academy2.1620won+231440
01.08.26FaZe – SpiritFaZe2.2820lost-201418
31.07.26Spirit Academy – sleepersSpirit Academy2.0123won+231438
31.07.26XCLAN – EACEAC2.0223won+231414
31.07.26SINNERS – Rune EatersSINNERS2.7722won+391391
31.07.26INFINITE – SPARTASPARTA2.1721won+251352
31.07.26ex-RUSTEC – ex-MANAex-MANA2.4322lost-221327
30.07.26Iowa Stormboar – LAGLAG2.0321won+221349
27.07.26SPARTA – HonvédSPARTA2.3621won+281327
27.07.26PURE – atputiesPURE2.0720won+221298
27.07.26CYBERSHOKE – ComancheComanche2.0121lost-211277
26.07.26EAC – AtreidesEAC2.4320won+291297
26.07.26Fluxo – IsurusIsurus2.2120won+241268
26.07.26INOX Division – PhantomPhantom2.0220lost-201245
25.07.26Honvéd – VexarVexar2.0220won+201265
25.07.26NEW VISION – benched godsNEW VISION2.5519won+301245
25.07.26CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Endless JourneyCYBERSHOKE Prospects2.0219won+191215
25.07.26DEPO – ZWAWDEPO2.0118won+191196
24.07.26Bounty Hunters – ODDIKODDIK2.0118won+181177
22.07.26QUAZAR – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters2.3418lost-181159
22.07.26SPARTA – SAW YoungstersSPARTA2.4918won+271177
21.07.26Alliance – WildcardWildcard2.5017won+261151
21.07.263DMAX – Gentle Mates3DMAX2.4818lost-181125
21.07.26HOTU – HEROICHEROIC2.4318lost-181142
21.07.26Nemesis – AstralisAstralis2.5518won+271160
21.07.26Honvéd – Julie&CieJulie&Cie2.2218lost-181133
21.07.26CYBERSHOKE Prospects – G2 AresG2 Ares2.1618won+201151
19.07.26Myth – Strael BoraStrael Bora2.0317won+181131
19.07.26BIG Academy – VexarVexar2.0517won+181113
18.07.26Imperial – ShindeNShindeN2.1017lost-171096
18.07.26THUNDER dOWNUNDER – Ground ZeroTHUNDER dOWNUNDER2.1117won+191113
17.07.26NEW VISION – Just PlayersNEW VISION2.5117lost-171094
16.07.26Red Feet – VascoVasco2.4017lost-171111
16.07.26Entropy – Inner Circle AcademyEntropy2.2218lost-181129
16.07.26ROUNDS – megoshortmegoshort2.0518lost-181146
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.