Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-509u
ROI
-8%
win rate
40%
bets
347
drawdown
72.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+113u
period 6top-up-438u
period 5profit withdrawn+62u
period 4profit withdrawn+48u
period 3top-up-164u
period 2top-up-53u
period 1top-up-78u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 347 | 40% | -273 | -8.2% | 38% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 347 | 40% | -294 | -8.5% | 40.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 347 | 40% | -509 | -8% | 72.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 347 | 40% | -1097 | -7.8% | 159.1% | Select |
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1150 | -100% | 115% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 347 | 40% | -2025 | -8.5% | 285.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 347, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 23 | lost | -23 | 491 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Yawara | 2.61 | 23 | lost | -23 | 513 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 22 | won | +47 | 537 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Misa | 2.55 | 23 | lost | -23 | 490 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 23 | lost | -23 | 512 |
| 10.10.26 | Ground Zero – KZG | KZG | 2.38 | 24 | lost | -24 | 535 |
| 09.10.26 | WBT Academy – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.47 | 23 | won | +34 | 559 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.89 | 22 | won | +42 | 525 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 21 | won | +44 | 483 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 21 | won | +22 | 439 |
| 08.10.26 | Rare Atom – Just Swing | Just Swing | 2.37 | 20 | won | +28 | 417 |
| 08.10.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Stars | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.04 | 20 | won | +21 | 389 |
| 07.10.26 | SAW – RBLS | RBLS | 2.25 | 19 | won | +24 | 369 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – SAW | SAW | 2.09 | 20 | lost | -20 | 345 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 19 | won | +27 | 364 |
| 07.10.26 | Just Players – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 2.40 | 20 | lost | -20 | 338 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.11 | 20 | lost | -20 | 357 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.38 | 19 | won | +27 | 377 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | Gothic | 2.29 | 19 | won | +24 | 350 |
| 06.10.26 | Spirit – 1win | 1win | 2.41 | 18 | won | +26 | 326 |
| 03.10.26 | NT – Lazer Cats | NT | 2.15 | 18 | won | +21 | 300 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.41 | 18 | lost | -18 | 279 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 19 | lost | -19 | 297 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 2.26 | 19 | lost | -19 | 316 |
| 02.10.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Glitch | Glitch | 2.15 | 20 | lost | -20 | 335 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 20 | lost | -20 | 355 |
| 02.10.26 | Nexus – 6yuBoJlbl | 6yuBoJlbl | 2.24 | 19 | won | +24 | 375 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Sashi | Sashi | 2.27 | 20 | lost | -20 | 351 |
| 02.10.26 | UNiTY – aimclub | aimclub | 2.04 | 20 | lost | -20 | 371 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | BBL | 3.02 | 19 | won | +39 | 391 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | 1337 | 2.44 | 20 | lost | -20 | 351 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 20 | lost | -20 | 371 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | EAC | 2.71 | 20 | won | +33 | 392 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | ex-ODDIK | 2.29 | 20 | lost | -20 | 358 |
| 30.09.26 | PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRES | PRIVATE | 2.59 | 11 | lost | -11 | 378 |
| 29.09.26 | Privateer – eternal premium | Privateer | 2.38 | 12 | lost | -12 | 390 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | DNK | 2.24 | 11 | won | +14 | 401 |
| 29.09.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.17 | 12 | lost | -12 | 387 |
| 28.09.26 | Leo – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.21 | 11 | won | +14 | 399 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | FarmVille | 2.84 | 12 | lost | -12 | 385 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.21 | 12 | lost | -12 | 397 |
| 27.09.26 | Nemiga – Color | Color | 2.30 | 12 | lost | -12 | 408 |
| 27.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – magic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.27 | 12 | won | +15 | 421 |
| 27.09.26 | Mai Tai – BIG Academy | Mai Tai | 3.22 | 12 | lost | -12 | 406 |
| 27.09.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Sementes do Mal | Sementes do Mal | 2.29 | 12 | lost | -12 | 418 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | INFINITE | 2.76 | 13 | lost | -13 | 430 |
| 26.09.26 | magic – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 2.33 | 13 | lost | -13 | 442 |
| 26.09.26 | Spirit Academy Green – Young TigeRES | Young TigeRES | 2.10 | 13 | won | +14 | 455 |
| 26.09.26 | Noir Verse – Illyrians | Noir Verse | 2.54 | 12 | won | +19 | 441 |
| 26.09.26 | HAVU – Inner Circle Academy | HAVU | 2.23 | 12 | lost | -12 | 423 |
| 26.09.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | EAC | 2.41 | 12 | won | +17 | 435 |
| 26.09.26 | EYEBALLERS – K27 | EYEBALLERS | 2.44 | 12 | lost | -12 | 418 |
| 26.09.26 | LAG – Overtake Sector | Overtake Sector | 2.24 | 13 | lost | -13 | 430 |
| 26.09.26 | Villainous – DETONATE | DETONATE | 2.14 | 12 | won | +14 | 443 |
| 25.09.26 | regain – Marsborne | regain | 2.42 | 13 | lost | -13 | 429 |
| 25.09.26 | Lynn Vision – The Huns | The Huns | 2.14 | 13 | lost | -13 | 441 |
| 25.09.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – ex-Zero Tenacity | Nuclear TigeRES | 2.03 | 13 | won | +13 | 454 |
| 25.09.26 | 100 Thieves – BBL | BBL | 2.24 | 13 | lost | -13 | 441 |
| 25.09.26 | PCIFIC – Bebop | Bebop | 2.00 | 13 | lost | -13 | 454 |
| 25.09.26 | Villainous – NuTorious | NuTorious | 2.25 | 13 | lost | -13 | 467 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.