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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-490u
ROI
-5.9%
win rate
42%
bets
877
drawdown
58.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-3u
period 6top-up-139u
period 5top-up-185u
period 4profit withdrawn+111u
period 3top-up-186u
period 2top-up-60u
period 1top-up-29u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale16941%-94-1%60.2%Select
1% of bankroll87742%-490-5.9%58.3%Select
Flat (10 units)87742%-492-5.6%61.2%Select
2% of bankroll87742%-969-6.3%113.5%Select
5% of bankroll87742%-2264-7.3%254.3%Select
10% of bankroll87742%-3902-9.4%412.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 877, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10LFO 102.6410lost-10510
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUfnatic2.0310won+10520
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.9810lost-10510
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.5710lost-10520
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.4110won+14530
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0110lost-10516
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2910won+13526
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1110lost-10513
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0410won+10523
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.1110lost-10513
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4510lost-10523
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.1810lost-10533
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6110lost-10543
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1210won+22554
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.2010won+12532
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4510won+14520
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5510lost-10506
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.3710lost-10516
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.4910lost-10526
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0910lost-10536
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.1010won+11546
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.5110lost-10535
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.7010lost-10546
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEDETONATE2.0110won+10556
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.2710won+13545
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritFalcons2.2910lost-10533
09.10.26Saint Sinners – Just PlayersSaint Sinners2.3510lost-10543
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZFURIA2.3411lost-11553
09.10.26Misa – 666666662.0710won+11564
09.10.26Saint Sinners – MOUZ NXTMOUZ NXT2.1311lost-11553
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSGamerLegion2.2410won+13563
09.10.26HOTU – AcendAcend2.7010lost-10550
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyAzuolas2.8910won+19561
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoLeo2.0510lost-10541
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveVillainous2.2010won+12552
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeLP2.2910won+13539
08.10.26Saint Sinners – mellrenSaint Sinners2.5410won+15526
08.10.26Lilmix – Fire FluxLilmix4.1010lost-10511
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0710won+11521
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4310lost-10510
08.10.26megoshort – Fire Fluxmegoshort2.5610lost-10520
08.10.26ENCE – LFO 10LFO 102.1910lost-10531
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.8110won+18541
08.10.26Enjoy – 666666662.5010won+15523
08.10.26G2 Ares – RBLSG2 Ares2.0510won+10508
08.10.26Acend – ex-Zero TenacityAcend2.5210won+15497
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorNuclear TigeRES2.0210won+10483
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarWanted Goons2.9310lost-10473
08.10.26Galorys – GrêmioGrêmio2.9410won+18482
08.10.26METANOIA Wolves – LPMETANOIA Wolves3.1310lost-10464
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsFamalicão2.5510lost-10474
07.10.26RBLS – FamalicãoFamalicão2.4010lost-10483
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECIberian Soul2.4010won+14493
07.10.26LFO 10 – MOUZ NXTMOUZ NXT2.3110won+12480
07.10.26Revise – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya2.319won+12467
07.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.9710lost-10455
07.10.26Vexar – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.299won+12464
07.10.26OG – SINQUSINQU2.859lost-9452
07.10.26OG – Falcons ForceFalcons Force2.389won+13462
07.10.26OG – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.329lost-9449
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.