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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-418u
ROI
-4.9%
win rate
42%
bets
898
drawdown
46.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-60u
period 6top-up-188u
period 5top-up-121u
period 4profit withdrawn+196u
period 3top-up-172u
period 2top-up-34u
period 1top-up-39u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale44143%+1445+6.5%68.6%Select
1% of bankroll89842%-418-4.9%46.9%Select
Flat (10 units)89842%-426-4.7%48.4%Select
2% of bankroll89842%-809-5%86%Select
5% of bankroll89842%-1721-5.1%165.6%Select
10% of bankroll89842%-2565-5.2%248.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 898, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.579lost-9582
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0110lost-10592
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.299won+12601
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1110lost-10589
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.049won+10599
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6110lost-10589
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.129won+20598
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.459won+13578
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.559lost-9565
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.379lost-9574
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.1310lost-10584
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0910lost-10593
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.5110lost-10603
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.4510lost-10613
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.7010lost-10622
10.10.26Ground Zero – KZGKZG2.3810lost-10632
10.10.26regain – VillainousVillainous2.2610lost-10642
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritFalcons2.2910lost-10652
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZFURIA2.3410lost-10663
09.10.26WBT Academy – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters2.4710won+15673
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsBORING PLAYERS2.1310lost-10658
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSGamerLegion2.2410won+13668
09.10.26HOTU – AcendAcend2.7010lost-10656
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyAzuolas2.8910won+19666
09.10.26mellren – BebopBebop3.0810won+20647
09.10.26MEIA NOITE – QUINTESSÊNCIAMEIA NOITE2.1810won+11626
08.10.26Lilmix – Fire FluxLilmix4.1010lost-10615
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0710won+10625
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4310lost-10614
08.10.26Rare Atom – Just SwingJust Swing2.3710won+13624
08.10.26Legion – NasLegion2.2910lost-10611
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.8110won+17621
08.10.26Azuolas – Noir VerseAzuolas2.5310lost-10603
08.10.26G2 Ares – RBLSG2 Ares2.0510won+10613
08.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.5110lost-10603
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorNuclear TigeRES2.0210won+10613
08.10.26Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.6910lost-10603
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Starsex-Keyd Stars2.0410won+10613
07.10.26SAW – RBLSRBLS2.259won+12603
07.10.26Sangal – SAWSAW2.0910lost-10591
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECIberian Soul2.409won+13600
07.10.26Just Players – HYPERSPIRITHYPERSPIRIT2.4010lost-10587
07.10.26Ryvex – mellrenRyvex2.5410lost-10597
07.10.26Chinggis Warriors – Vitalem AeremVitalem Aerem2.2410lost-10606
07.10.26Falcons Force – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.1110lost-10616
07.10.26OG – Falcons ForceFalcons Force2.3810won+13626
07.10.26OG – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.3210lost-10613
07.10.26Gothic – LPHGothic2.2910won+12622
06.10.26Falcons – Natus VincereNatus Vincere2.6510lost-10610
06.10.26Spirit – 1win1win2.4110won+14620
05.10.26Leo – ex-Zero TenacityLeo2.499won+14606
05.10.26Galorys – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode2.059won+10592
04.10.26ex-RUSTEC – EnjoyEnjoy2.129lost-9582
04.10.26Banda Chuya – LavkedBanda Chuya2.019won+10592
04.10.26SAW – NTNT2.369won+13582
04.10.26FORZE Reload – Spirit AcademySpirit Academy2.059won+10569
04.10.26Falcons – AuroraAurora2.159lost-9560
04.10.26MASONIC – Phantom AcademyMASONIC2.119won+10569
03.10.26Aurora – 9z9z2.279lost-9559
03.10.26NT – Lazer CatsNT2.159won+11568
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.