Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
+3u
ROI
+0.1%
win rate
46%
bets
331
drawdown
20.9%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-132u
period 3profit withdrawn+125u
period 2top-up-50u
period 1profit withdrawn+60u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 331 | 46% | +3 | +0.1% | 20.9% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 331 | 46% | +3 | +0% | 33.6% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 331 | 46% | +3 | +0.1% | 20.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 331 | 46% | -28 | -0.2% | 60.3% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 331 | 46% | -344 | -1.1% | 92.1% | Select |
| Martingale | 107 | 48% | -729 | -14.5% | 84.5% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 331, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | FaZe – Vitality | Vitality | 2.14 | 10 | won | +11 | 1003 |
| 20.08.26 | B8 – Spirit | B8 | 2.38 | 10 | lost | -10 | 992 |
| 20.08.26 | Honvéd – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.16 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1002 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1012 |
| 19.08.26 | EAC – Color | Color | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1002 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 991 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 981 |
| 19.08.26 | Entropy – Fire Flux | Entropy | 2.16 | 10 | lost | -10 | 991 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1001 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Entropy | 2.68 | 10 | won | +17 | 1011 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 994 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1004 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1014 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 10 | won | +13 | 1024 |
| 18.08.26 | Metizport – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1011 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – ex-MANA | Fortress | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1021 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.86 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1031 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 10 | won | +10 | 1041 |
| 17.08.26 | Atreides – ex-Sashi Academy | Atreides | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1031 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1041 |
| 16.08.26 | BERG – HAVU | HAVU | 2.19 | 10 | won | +12 | 1051 |
| 16.08.26 | paiN Academy – ALKA | paiN Academy | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1039 |
| 15.08.26 | magic – 3DMAX | 3DMAX | 2.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1049 |
| 15.08.26 | FURIA – 9z | FURIA | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 1059 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo – Misa | Misa | 2.28 | 10 | won | +13 | 1048 |
| 15.08.26 | SINQU – BASEMENT BOYS | SINQU | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1036 |
| 15.08.26 | Atreides – LPH | Atreides | 2.39 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1046 |
| 15.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – ENCE | MOUZ NXT | 2.16 | 10 | won | +12 | 1056 |
| 15.08.26 | Misa – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1044 |
| 15.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – MEIA NOITE | METANOIA Wolves | 2.52 | 10 | won | +15 | 1054 |
| 14.08.26 | Mai Tai – UNiTY | Mai Tai | 2.34 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1039 |
| 14.08.26 | The Last Resort – Honvéd | Honvéd | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 1049 |
| 14.08.26 | EAC – benched gods | EAC | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 1038 |
| 14.08.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetBoom | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.14 | 10 | won | +11 | 1027 |
| 13.08.26 | Falcons – Astralis | Astralis | 2.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1015 |
| 13.08.26 | The Last Resort – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1025 |
| 12.08.26 | Vitality – 100 Thieves | Vitality | 2.48 | 10 | won | +15 | 1015 |
| 12.08.26 | Endless Journey – HAVU | HAVU | 2.60 | 10 | won | +16 | 1000 |
| 12.08.26 | Falcons – K27 | K27 | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 984 |
| 12.08.26 | magic – The MongolZ | The MongolZ | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 994 |
| 12.08.26 | FUT – TYLOO | FUT | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 984 |
| 12.08.26 | DONSTU – FORZE Reload | DONSTU | 2.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 974 |
| 11.08.26 | Isurus – Grêmio | Grêmio | 2.27 | 10 | lost | -10 | 984 |
| 10.08.26 | Ground Zero – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 994 |
| 09.08.26 | Grêmio – Procyon | Procyon | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1004 |
| 09.08.26 | HEROIC – fnatic | HEROIC | 2.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1014 |
| 09.08.26 | DEPO – Game Point | Game Point | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1024 |
| 09.08.26 | SINNERS – EYEBALLERS | SINNERS | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1034 |
| 08.08.26 | Jam – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1044 |
| 08.08.26 | GamersLab – LPH | GamersLab | 2.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1054 |
| 08.08.26 | Eternal Fire – NADE | NADE | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1064 |
| 08.08.26 | eSuba – BRUTE | eSuba | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1074 |
| 08.08.26 | SadFamous – Eternal Fire | SadFamous | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1084 |
| 08.08.26 | 100 Thieves – NADE | NADE | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1094 |
| 08.08.26 | K27 – SINNERS | SINNERS | 2.12 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1104 |
| 08.08.26 | FOKUS – Sashi | FOKUS | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 1114 |
| 07.08.26 | BESTIA – Yawara | Yawara | 2.17 | 10 | won | +12 | 1103 |
| 07.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sangal | Sangal | 2.62 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1091 |
| 07.08.26 | BET-M – ex-RUSTEC | BET-M | 2.46 | 10 | won | +15 | 1101 |
| 07.08.26 | Inner Circle – ASTRAL | ASTRAL | 2.27 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1086 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.