Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
+1921u
ROI
+14.2%
win rate
43%
bets
325
drawdown
36%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-101u
period 3profit withdrawn+1060u
period 2profit withdrawn+629u
period 1profit withdrawn+333u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 325 | 43% | +1921 | +14.2% | 36% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 325 | 43% | -190 | -5.9% | 29.4% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 325 | 43% | -192 | -6.2% | 29.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 325 | 43% | -386 | -6.5% | 52% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 325 | 43% | -953 | -7.3% | 98% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 325 | 43% | -1759 | -8.4% | 140.5% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 325, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Falcons – The MongolZ | The MongolZ | 2.49 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2921 |
| 20.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Raccoons | Raccoons | 2.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2941 |
| 19.08.26 | EAC – Color | Color | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 2951 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Black Phoenix | 2.78 | 20 | won | +36 | 2941 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – EAC | Permitta | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2906 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Lavked | 2.17 | 160 | won | +187 | 2916 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – The Last Resort | Misa | 2.19 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2729 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 Ares – ex-Zero Tenacity | G2 Ares | 2.00 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2809 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.54 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2849 |
| 19.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Endless Journey | Endless Journey | 2.73 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2869 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Vexar | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 2879 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 10 | won | +13 | 2869 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 20 | won | +28 | 2856 |
| 18.08.26 | Bebop – benched gods | Bebop | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2828 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | HAVU | 2.66 | 40 | won | +67 | 2838 |
| 17.08.26 | NEW VISION – Vexar | NEW VISION | 2.10 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2771 |
| 17.08.26 | paiN Academy – QUINTESSÊNCIA | paiN Academy | 2.16 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2791 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy – MIBR | Legacy | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 2801 |
| 16.08.26 | Keyd Stars – Imperial | Keyd Stars | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2781 |
| 16.08.26 | INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.21 | 320 | won | +387 | 2791 |
| 16.08.26 | FORZE Reload – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.08 | 160 | lost | -160 | 2403 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-MANA – ex-RUSTEC | ex-MANA | 2.35 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2563 |
| 16.08.26 | paiN Academy – ALKA | paiN Academy | 2.18 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2643 |
| 15.08.26 | SINQU – BASEMENT BOYS | SINQU | 2.11 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2683 |
| 15.08.26 | BESTIA – ALKA | ALKA | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2703 |
| 14.08.26 | Lavked – BASEMENT BOYS | Lavked | 2.43 | 20 | won | +29 | 2713 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 2.67 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2685 |
| 14.08.26 | FUT – MOUZ | FUT | 2.30 | 10 | won | +13 | 2695 |
| 14.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – Lazer Cats | MOUZ NXT | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 2682 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Misa | 2.55 | 40 | won | +62 | 2671 |
| 14.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – Enjoy | MOUZ NXT | 2.44 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2609 |
| 14.08.26 | Pugdesonesto – ALKA | Pugdesonesto | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2629 |
| 13.08.26 | BERG – Endless Journey | BERG | 2.16 | 20 | won | +23 | 2639 |
| 12.08.26 | 9z – paiN | paiN | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2615 |
| 12.08.26 | Spirit – JiJieHao | JiJieHao | 2.23 | 10 | won | +12 | 2625 |
| 11.08.26 | Abyssal – Ground Zero | Abyssal | 2.24 | 40 | won | +49 | 2613 |
| 10.08.26 | BORRACHEIROS – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.01 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2564 |
| 10.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – MEIA NOITE | METANOIA Wolves | 2.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2584 |
| 09.08.26 | HOTU – JiJieHao | JiJieHao | 2.44 | 234 | won | +337 | 2594 |
| 09.08.26 | DEPO – Game Point | Game Point | 2.23 | 640 | lost | -640 | 2256 |
| 09.08.26 | 9INE – HOTU | 9INE | 2.50 | 320 | lost | -320 | 2896 |
| 09.08.26 | Fluxo – fnatic | Fluxo | 2.13 | 160 | lost | -160 | 3216 |
| 09.08.26 | SINNERS – EYEBALLERS | SINNERS | 2.05 | 80 | lost | -80 | 3376 |
| 08.08.26 | ALKA – paiN Academy | paiN Academy | 2.03 | 40 | lost | -40 | 3456 |
| 08.08.26 | Iberian Soul – 6666 | 6666 | 2.26 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3496 |
| 08.08.26 | INFINITE – Giant Pandas | Giant Pandas | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3516 |
| 08.08.26 | Procyon – ODDIK Academy | Procyon | 2.15 | 20 | won | +23 | 3526 |
| 08.08.26 | eSuba – BRUTE | eSuba | 2.34 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3503 |
| 08.08.26 | EYEBALLERS – Phantom | EYEBALLERS | 2.33 | 320 | won | +425 | 3513 |
| 08.08.26 | Dhala – Prestige | Dhala | 2.07 | 160 | lost | -160 | 3089 |
| 08.08.26 | Echo – OG | OG | 2.11 | 80 | lost | -80 | 3249 |
| 08.08.26 | ASTRAL – Kreazion | Kreazion | 2.08 | 40 | lost | -40 | 3329 |
| 08.08.26 | Imperial – Galorys | Galorys | 2.10 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3369 |
| 07.08.26 | Acend – Vandulken | Vandulken | 2.12 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3389 |
| 07.08.26 | BRUTE – NAVI Junior | NAVI Junior | 2.52 | 320 | won | +485 | 3399 |
| 07.08.26 | Inner Circle – ASTRAL | ASTRAL | 2.27 | 160 | lost | -160 | 2913 |
| 07.08.26 | Walczaki – Black Phoenix | Walczaki | 2.07 | 80 | lost | -80 | 3073 |
| 07.08.26 | DUSTY – Fluxo | DUSTY | 2.28 | 40 | lost | -40 | 3153 |
| 07.08.26 | HOTU – Galactik rebels | Galactik rebels | 2.35 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3193 |
| 07.08.26 | INFINITE – Aogiri | Aogiri | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3213 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.