Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-177u
ROI
-5.6%
win rate
43%
bets
333
drawdown
27.9%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-319u
period 3profit withdrawn+95u
period 2top-up-36u
period 1profit withdrawn+83u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 333 | 43% | -177 | -5.6% | 27.9% | Selected |
| Flat (10 units) | 333 | 43% | -230 | -6.9% | 33% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 333 | 43% | -271 | -4.5% | 42.6% | Select |
| Martingale | 176 | 45% | -271 | -4.2% | 63.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 333 | 43% | -327 | -2.4% | 59.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 333 | 43% | -459 | -1.9% | 78.6% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 333, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | B8 – Spirit | B8 | 2.37 | 7 | lost | -7 | 823 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 2.02 | 7 | won | +7 | 830 |
| 19.08.26 | Drip Too Hard – HYPERSPIRIT | Drip Too Hard | 2.16 | 7 | lost | -7 | 823 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 7 | lost | -7 | 830 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.17 | 7 | won | +8 | 837 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – EAC | Permitta | 2.09 | 7 | lost | -7 | 829 |
| 19.08.26 | Noir Verse – ENCE | Noir Verse | 2.20 | 7 | won | +8 | 836 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Permitta | Permitta | 2.01 | 7 | lost | -7 | 828 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 Ares – ex-Zero Tenacity | G2 Ares | 2.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | 835 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.54 | 7 | lost | -7 | 842 |
| 18.08.26 | DONSTU – MOUZ NXT | DONSTU | 2.02 | 7 | lost | -7 | 849 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 7 | lost | -7 | 856 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 7 | lost | -7 | 863 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | Fortress | 2.69 | 7 | lost | -7 | 870 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 7 | won | +10 | 878 |
| 18.08.26 | MASONIC – Bebop | Bebop | 2.01 | 7 | lost | -7 | 868 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 7 | lost | -7 | 875 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Permitta | 2.77 | 7 | lost | -7 | 882 |
| 17.08.26 | Noir Verse – ex-RUSTEC | Noir Verse | 2.19 | 8 | lost | -8 | 890 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | EAC | 2.17 | 7 | won | +9 | 897 |
| 16.08.26 | eternal premium – Phantom Academy | eternal premium | 2.03 | 8 | lost | -8 | 889 |
| 16.08.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.19 | 8 | lost | -8 | 896 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.32 | 8 | lost | -8 | 904 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 2.62 | 8 | lost | -8 | 911 |
| 15.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.14 | 8 | won | +9 | 919 |
| 15.08.26 | SINQU – BASEMENT BOYS | SINQU | 2.11 | 8 | lost | -8 | 910 |
| 15.08.26 | ex-MANA – Misa | Misa | 2.03 | 8 | won | +8 | 918 |
| 15.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – MEIA NOITE | METANOIA Wolves | 2.52 | 8 | won | +12 | 910 |
| 15.08.26 | BESTIA – ALKA | ALKA | 2.04 | 8 | lost | -8 | 899 |
| 14.08.26 | EAC – benched gods | EAC | 2.09 | 8 | won | +8 | 906 |
| 14.08.26 | SINQU – Lavked | Lavked | 2.14 | 7 | won | +9 | 898 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Misa | 2.55 | 7 | won | +11 | 890 |
| 14.08.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetBoom | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.13 | 7 | won | +8 | 878 |
| 14.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – paiN Academy | METANOIA Wolves | 2.36 | 7 | lost | -7 | 870 |
| 13.08.26 | BIG – G2 | G2 | 2.16 | 7 | won | +8 | 877 |
| 12.08.26 | Endless Journey – HAVU | HAVU | 2.60 | 7 | won | +11 | 869 |
| 12.08.26 | MIBR – Astralis | Astralis | 2.14 | 7 | won | +8 | 857 |
| 12.08.26 | los kogutos – BERG | los kogutos | 2.08 | 7 | won | +8 | 849 |
| 12.08.26 | ROUNDS – Subtop De France | Subtop De France | 2.01 | 7 | lost | -7 | 842 |
| 12.08.26 | Ground Zero – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.08 | 7 | lost | -7 | 849 |
| 12.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.63 | 7 | lost | -7 | 856 |
| 10.08.26 | paiN Academy – Keyd Stars | paiN Academy | 2.08 | 7 | lost | -7 | 863 |
| 09.08.26 | Grêmio – Procyon | Procyon | 2.05 | 7 | lost | -7 | 871 |
| 09.08.26 | Sashi – BIG | BIG | 2.14 | 7 | won | +8 | 878 |
| 09.08.26 | HEROIC – fnatic | HEROIC | 2.45 | 7 | lost | -7 | 870 |
| 09.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sashi | Sashi | 2.17 | 7 | won | +9 | 877 |
| 09.08.26 | Fluxo – fnatic | Fluxo | 2.13 | 7 | lost | -7 | 868 |
| 09.08.26 | Echo – GenOne | Echo | 2.27 | 7 | lost | -7 | 876 |
| 09.08.26 | Inner Circle – Iberian Soul | Iberian Soul | 2.68 | 7 | lost | -7 | 883 |
| 08.08.26 | Jam – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.28 | 8 | lost | -8 | 891 |
| 08.08.26 | Fluxo – DUSTY | DUSTY | 2.23 | 8 | lost | -8 | 898 |
| 08.08.26 | GenOne – Galactik rebels | Galactik rebels | 2.72 | 8 | lost | -8 | 906 |
| 08.08.26 | Partizan – Sashi | Partizan | 2.28 | 8 | lost | -8 | 914 |
| 08.08.26 | Eternal Fire – NADE | NADE | 2.07 | 8 | lost | -8 | 921 |
| 08.08.26 | Dark Tigre – SINNERS | SINNERS | 2.11 | 8 | won | +9 | 929 |
| 08.08.26 | SadFamous – Eternal Fire | SadFamous | 2.08 | 8 | lost | -8 | 921 |
| 08.08.26 | 100 Thieves – NADE | NADE | 2.05 | 8 | lost | -8 | 928 |
| 08.08.26 | Vandulken – Spirit HU | Spirit HU | 2.09 | 8 | won | +9 | 936 |
| 08.08.26 | Virtus.pro – JiJieHao | JiJieHao | 2.65 | 8 | lost | -8 | 928 |
| 08.08.26 | ASTRAL – Kreazion | Kreazion | 2.08 | 8 | lost | -8 | 936 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.