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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-325u
ROI
-3.7%
win rate
43%
bets
880
drawdown
33.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-119u
period 6top-up-27u
period 5top-up-33u
period 4profit withdrawn+129u
period 3top-up-209u
period 2top-up-35u
period 1top-up-30u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Flat (10 units)88043%-311-3.5%32.8%Select
1% of bankroll88043%-325-3.7%33.3%Selected
2% of bankroll88043%-676-4%68.5%Select
Martingale1414%-1019-80.4%101.9%Select
5% of bankroll88043%-1834-4.8%183.4%Select
10% of bankroll88043%-3680-6.5%368%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 880, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadBET-M2.139lost-9675
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.989lost-9684
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.579lost-9693
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.019lost-9702
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.299won+12712
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.119lost-9700
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.049won+9709
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.189lost-9700
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.619lost-9709
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.129won+19718
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.209won+11699
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.459won+13688
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.849lost-9675
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.379lost-9684
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.139lost-9693
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.099lost-9702
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.459lost-9712
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.519lost-9721
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.709lost-9730
10.10.26Ground Zero – KZGKZG2.3810lost-10740
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEDETONATE2.019won+10749
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritFalcons2.2910lost-10740
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZFURIA2.3410lost-10749
09.10.26Acend – NexusAcend2.0110lost-10759
09.10.26Vitalem Aerem – Rare AtomVitalem Aerem2.4810won+14769
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSGamerLegion2.249won+12754
09.10.26HOTU – AcendAcend2.7010lost-10743
09.10.26mellren – BebopBebop3.089won+19752
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoLeo2.059lost-9733
08.10.26FaZe – SangalFaZe2.589won+15742
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.079won+10727
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.439lost-9718
08.10.26megoshort – Fire Fluxmegoshort2.569lost-9727
08.10.26Alter Ego – KaleidoKaleido2.209won+11736
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.819won+17725
08.10.26Enjoy – 666666662.509won+14709
08.10.26G2 Ares – RBLSG2 Ares2.059won+9695
08.10.26Banda Chuya – IllyriansBanda Chuya2.199lost-9686
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorNuclear TigeRES2.029won+9695
08.10.26Villainous – FarmVilleVillainous2.069lost-9686
08.10.26Isurus – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.079lost-9695
08.10.26Galorys – GrêmioGrêmio2.949won+17704
07.10.26Sangal – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior2.819won+16686
07.10.26RBLS – FamalicãoFamalicão2.409lost-9671
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECIberian Soul2.409won+12679
07.10.26Ryvex – mellrenRyvex2.549lost-9667
07.10.26Just Players – HYPERSPIRITHYPERSPIRIT2.409lost-9676
07.10.26LFO 10 – MAYBEMAYBE2.029lost-9685
07.10.26Leo – RyvexRyvex2.369lost-9694
07.10.26Falcons Force – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.119lost-9703
07.10.26OG – Falcons ForceFalcons Force2.389won+12712
07.10.26OG – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.329lost-9700
07.10.26PURE – SINQUSINQU2.459lost-9709
07.10.26Gothic – LPHGothic2.299won+12718
06.10.26Falcons – Natus VincereNatus Vincere2.659lost-9706
06.10.26G2 – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.489won+13715
05.10.26mellren – LPHLPH2.079lost-9702
05.10.26Galorys – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode2.059won+9711
04.10.26ex-RUSTEC – EnjoyEnjoy2.129lost-9702
04.10.26Banda Chuya – LavkedBanda Chuya2.019won+9711
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.