Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-4567u
ROI
-10.8%
win rate
41%
bets
901
drawdown
468%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-361u
period 6top-up-952u
period 5top-up-866u
period 4top-up-377u
period 3top-up-929u
period 2top-up-967u
period 1top-up-116u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 901 | 41% | -633 | -7.4% | 69.7% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 901 | 41% | -645 | -7.2% | 71.7% | Select |
| Martingale | 16 | 25% | -976 | -81.1% | 97.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 901 | 41% | -1236 | -7.7% | 134.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 901 | 41% | -2804 | -8.6% | 298.2% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 901 | 41% | -4567 | -10.8% | 468% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 901, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | Banda Chuya | 2.57 | 71 | lost | -71 | -3567 |
| 14.10.26 | Gothic – Lavked | Lavked | 2.05 | 64 | won | +68 | -3496 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | Grêmio | 2.01 | 71 | lost | -71 | -3564 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | Butterfly | 2.29 | 63 | won | +81 | -3493 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 70 | lost | -70 | -3574 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Illyrians | 2.04 | 64 | won | +66 | -3504 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 71 | lost | -71 | -3570 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | BORRACHEIROS | 2.09 | 79 | lost | -79 | -3499 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 65 | won | +137 | -3421 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | Lavked | 2.64 | 72 | lost | -72 | -3558 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 63 | won | +91 | -3486 |
| 11.10.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.84 | 70 | lost | -70 | -3577 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 78 | lost | -78 | -3507 |
| 10.10.26 | Wildcard – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 2.13 | 86 | lost | -86 | -3430 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | Bebop | 2.09 | 96 | lost | -96 | -3343 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.10 | 86 | won | +95 | -3247 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 96 | lost | -96 | -3342 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | madlikewizards | 2.70 | 107 | lost | -107 | -3246 |
| 10.10.26 | Club 333 – DETONATE | DETONATE | 2.01 | 97 | won | +98 | -3139 |
| 10.10.26 | regain – Villainous | Villainous | 2.26 | 108 | lost | -108 | -3238 |
| 10.10.26 | ALKA – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.27 | 96 | won | +121 | -3130 |
| 09.10.26 | Falcons – Spirit | Falcons | 2.29 | 106 | lost | -106 | -3251 |
| 09.10.26 | MOUZ NXT – Leo | MOUZ NXT | 2.61 | 91 | won | +147 | -3145 |
| 09.10.26 | FURIA – MOUZ | FURIA | 2.34 | 102 | lost | -102 | -3292 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | 6666 | 2.07 | 92 | won | +98 | -3191 |
| 09.10.26 | BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis Warriors | BORING PLAYERS | 2.13 | 102 | lost | -102 | -3289 |
| 09.10.26 | GamerLegion – SINNERS | GamerLegion | 2.24 | 91 | won | +112 | -3187 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | Acend | 2.70 | 101 | lost | -101 | -3299 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.89 | 85 | won | +160 | -3198 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Leo | 2.05 | 94 | lost | -94 | -3359 |
| 09.10.26 | New Legends – Wanted Goons | Wanted Goons | 2.35 | 83 | won | +112 | -3265 |
| 09.10.26 | LP – Turma do Pagode | LP | 2.29 | 74 | won | +95 | -3376 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Privateer | 3.78 | 82 | lost | -82 | -3471 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 74 | won | +79 | -3390 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Misa | Azuolas | 2.43 | 82 | lost | -82 | -3468 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | megoshort | 2.56 | 91 | lost | -91 | -3386 |
| 08.10.26 | Alter Ego – Kaleido | Kaleido | 2.20 | 81 | won | +98 | -3295 |
| 08.10.26 | Rare Atom – Just Swing | Just Swing | 2.37 | 72 | won | +98 | -3393 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | Privateer | 2.81 | 61 | won | +110 | -3491 |
| 08.10.26 | Enjoy – 6666 | 6666 | 2.50 | 53 | won | +79 | -3601 |
| 08.10.26 | OG – Sangal | OG | 2.24 | 59 | lost | -59 | -3680 |
| 08.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Fortress | 2.51 | 65 | lost | -65 | -3621 |
| 08.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Color | Nuclear TigeRES | 2.02 | 59 | won | +60 | -3556 |
| 08.10.26 | Wanted Goons – Iowa Stormboar | Wanted Goons | 2.93 | 66 | lost | -66 | -3617 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 73 | lost | -73 | -3551 |
| 08.10.26 | Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 2.69 | 81 | lost | -81 | -3478 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Famalicão | 2.55 | 90 | lost | -90 | -3397 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – SAW | SAW | 2.09 | 100 | lost | -100 | -3307 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 88 | won | +123 | -3207 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Privateer | 3.36 | 71 | won | +167 | -3330 |
| 07.10.26 | Revise – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 2.31 | 63 | won | +82 | -3497 |
| 07.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | Privateer | 2.97 | 70 | lost | -70 | -3580 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.29 | 62 | won | +79 | -3510 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | SINQU | 2.85 | 69 | lost | -69 | -3590 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | SINQU | 2.54 | 76 | lost | -76 | -3521 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.32 | 85 | lost | -85 | -3445 |
| 07.10.26 | PURE – SINQU | SINQU | 2.45 | 94 | lost | -94 | -3360 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | Gothic | 2.29 | 83 | won | +107 | -3266 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Natus Vincere | 2.65 | 93 | lost | -93 | -3374 |
| 06.10.26 | Spirit – 1win | 1win | 2.41 | 81 | won | +114 | -3281 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.