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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-816u
ROI
-10%
win rate
40%
bets
883
drawdown
85.2%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-137u
period 6top-up-210u
period 5top-up-305u
period 4profit withdrawn+192u
period 3top-up-210u
period 2top-up-107u
period 1top-up-39u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll88340%-816-10%85.2%Select
Flat (10 units)88340%-905-10.2%94.7%Select
Martingale11040%-1013-16%100.7%Select
2% of bankroll88340%-1466-9.7%152.3%Select
5% of bankroll88340%-2599-8.8%267.3%Select
10% of bankroll88340%-3106-7.6%269.1%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 883, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.059won+9184
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.019lost-9175
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.299won+11183
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.119lost-9172
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.049won+9181
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.119lost-9172
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.619lost-9181
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.129won+18189
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.208won+10171
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.458won+12161
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.558lost-8149
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.108won+9158
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneElusive3.158lost-8148
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.498lost-8157
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.099lost-9165
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.519lost-9174
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.109won+9182
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.709lost-9173
10.10.26Ground Zero – KZGKZG2.389lost-9182
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEDETONATE2.019won+9190
10.10.26Isurus – ProcyonIsurus2.089lost-9182
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.279won+11190
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritFalcons2.299lost-9179
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoMOUZ NXT2.619won+14188
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZFURIA2.349lost-9174
09.10.26Acend – NexusAcend2.019lost-9183
09.10.26Saint Sinners – MOUZ NXTMOUZ NXT2.139lost-9192
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSGamerLegion2.249won+11200
09.10.26HOTU – AcendAcend2.709lost-9190
09.10.26mellren – BebopBebop3.089won+18198
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoLeo2.059lost-9181
09.10.26Grêmio – YawaraGrêmio2.059lost-9189
08.10.26Lilmix – Fire FluxLilmix4.109lost-9198
08.10.26Leo – PrivateerPrivateer3.789lost-9207
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.079won+9216
08.10.26EAC – PUREEAC2.129lost-9206
08.10.26Rare Atom – Just SwingJust Swing2.379won+12215
08.10.26Legion – NasLegion2.299lost-9203
08.10.26Enjoy – 666666662.509won+13212
08.10.26OG – SangalOG2.249lost-9199
08.10.26Banda Chuya – IllyriansBanda Chuya2.199lost-9208
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorNuclear TigeRES2.029won+9217
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Starsex-Keyd Stars2.049won+9208
08.10.26Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.699lost-9199
07.10.26Sangal – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior2.819won+16207
07.10.26RBLS – FamalicãoFamalicão2.409lost-9192
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECIberian Soul2.409won+12200
07.10.26Just Players – HYPERSPIRITHYPERSPIRIT2.409lost-9188
07.10.26The KnockoutX – The HunsThe KnockoutX2.119won+10197
07.10.26OG – SINQUSINQU2.859lost-9188
07.10.26G2 Ares – SINQUSINQU2.549lost-9196
07.10.26PURE – SINQUSINQU2.459lost-9205
07.10.26OG – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.329lost-9214
07.10.26benched gods – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya2.199lost-9223
06.10.26Falcons – Natus VincereNatus Vincere2.659lost-9232
06.10.26G2 – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.489won+13241
05.10.26Leo – ex-Zero TenacityLeo2.499won+13228
05.10.26Galorys – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode2.059won+9215
04.10.26ex-RUSTEC – EnjoyEnjoy2.129lost-9205
04.10.26Banda Chuya – LavkedBanda Chuya2.019won+9214
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.