Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-4795u
ROI
-13.2%
win rate
41%
bets
898
drawdown
479.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-839u
period 6top-up-876u
period 5top-up-944u
period 4top-up-94u
period 3top-up-944u
period 2top-up-755u
period 1top-up-344u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 506 | 41% | +1152 | +4.5% | 59.3% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 898 | 41% | -593 | -7.1% | 60.3% | Selected |
| Flat (10 units) | 898 | 41% | -593 | -6.6% | 61% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 898 | 41% | -1180 | -7.5% | 119.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 898 | 41% | -2818 | -9.3% | 283.3% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 898 | 41% | -4795 | -13.2% | 479.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 898, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | FURIA – BETBOOM | BETBOOM | 2.04 | 18 | lost | -18 | -3795 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – HOTU | fnatic | 2.03 | 16 | won | +17 | -3778 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 18 | lost | -18 | -3794 |
| 14.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Alter Ego | Lynn Vision | 2.03 | 16 | won | +17 | -3776 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | Banda Chuya | 2.57 | 18 | lost | -18 | -3793 |
| 14.10.26 | Astralis – Sashi | Sashi | 2.42 | 20 | lost | -20 | -3775 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | Grêmio | 2.01 | 22 | lost | -22 | -3755 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | Butterfly | 2.29 | 20 | won | +26 | -3732 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 22 | lost | -22 | -3758 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Illyrians | 2.04 | 20 | won | +21 | -3736 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 22 | lost | -22 | -3756 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 25 | lost | -25 | -3734 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | BORRACHEIROS | 2.09 | 27 | lost | -27 | -3710 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 23 | won | +48 | -3682 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 20 | won | +29 | -3730 |
| 11.10.26 | Procyon – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 2.10 | 18 | won | +20 | -3759 |
| 10.10.26 | Holy Cannoli – Unreal Nightmare | Unreal Nightmare | 2.17 | 16 | won | +19 | -3778 |
| 10.10.26 | Wildcard – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 2.13 | 18 | lost | -18 | -3797 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | Bebop | 2.09 | 20 | lost | -20 | -3779 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.10 | 18 | won | +19 | -3760 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 20 | lost | -20 | -3779 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | madlikewizards | 2.70 | 22 | lost | -22 | -3759 |
| 10.10.26 | Ground Zero – KZG | KZG | 2.38 | 24 | lost | -24 | -3738 |
| 10.10.26 | regain – Villainous | Villainous | 2.26 | 27 | lost | -27 | -3713 |
| 10.10.26 | Isurus – Procyon | Isurus | 2.08 | 30 | lost | -30 | -3686 |
| 09.10.26 | Falcons – Spirit | Falcons | 2.29 | 33 | lost | -33 | -3656 |
| 09.10.26 | FURIA – MOUZ | FURIA | 2.34 | 37 | lost | -37 | -3623 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | 6666 | 2.07 | 34 | won | +36 | -3586 |
| 09.10.26 | BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis Warriors | BORING PLAYERS | 2.13 | 37 | lost | -37 | -3621 |
| 09.10.26 | GamerLegion – SINNERS | GamerLegion | 2.24 | 33 | won | +41 | -3584 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | Acend | 2.70 | 37 | lost | -37 | -3625 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 30 | won | +63 | -3588 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Leo | 2.05 | 34 | lost | -34 | -3652 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Privateer | 3.78 | 38 | lost | -38 | -3618 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 34 | won | +36 | -3580 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | megoshort | 2.56 | 38 | lost | -38 | -3617 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Misa | Azuolas | 2.43 | 42 | lost | -42 | -3579 |
| 08.10.26 | Rare Atom – Just Swing | Just Swing | 2.37 | 37 | won | +51 | -3537 |
| 08.10.26 | Legion – Nas | Legion | 2.29 | 41 | lost | -41 | -3587 |
| 08.10.26 | Alter Ego – Kaleido | Kaleido | 2.20 | 37 | won | +44 | -3546 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Noir Verse | Azuolas | 2.53 | 41 | lost | -41 | -3590 |
| 08.10.26 | G2 Ares – RBLS | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 37 | won | +39 | -3550 |
| 08.10.26 | Acend – ex-Zero Tenacity | Acend | 2.52 | 32 | won | +49 | -3588 |
| 08.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Color | Nuclear TigeRES | 2.02 | 29 | won | +30 | -3637 |
| 08.10.26 | Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 2.69 | 32 | lost | -32 | -3667 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 36 | lost | -36 | -3634 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Famalicão | 2.55 | 40 | lost | -40 | -3598 |
| 07.10.26 | RBLS – Famalicão | Famalicão | 2.40 | 44 | lost | -44 | -3559 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 39 | won | +54 | -3514 |
| 07.10.26 | MAYBE – ENCE | MAYBE | 2.35 | 43 | lost | -43 | -3569 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | BERG | 3.08 | 48 | lost | -48 | -3526 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.59 | 38 | won | +99 | -3478 |
| 07.10.26 | THE UNIT – XDM | XDM | 2.00 | 42 | lost | -42 | -3576 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.11 | 47 | lost | -47 | -3534 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.38 | 41 | won | +57 | -3487 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.32 | 46 | lost | -46 | -3544 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | Gothic | 2.29 | 41 | won | +52 | -3498 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Natus Vincere | 2.65 | 45 | lost | -45 | -3551 |
| 06.10.26 | Spirit – 1win | 1win | 2.41 | 40 | won | +56 | -3505 |
| 05.10.26 | M80 – TYLOO | M80 | 2.28 | 35 | won | +45 | -3561 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.