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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-809u
ROI
-5%
win rate
42%
bets
898
drawdown
86%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-127u
period 6top-up-364u
period 5top-up-244u
period 4profit withdrawn+408u
period 3top-up-322u
period 2top-up-82u
period 1top-up-78u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale44143%+1445+6.5%68.6%Select
1% of bankroll89842%-418-4.9%46.9%Select
Flat (10 units)89842%-426-4.7%48.4%Select
2% of bankroll89842%-809-5%86%Select
5% of bankroll89842%-1721-5.1%165.6%Select
10% of bankroll89842%-2565-5.2%248.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 898, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.5718lost-18191
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0118lost-18209
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2918won+23227
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1118lost-18205
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0418won+18223
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6118lost-18204
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1217won+37222
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4517won+24186
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5517lost-17161
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.3718lost-18178
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.1318lost-18196
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0918lost-18214
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.5119lost-19232
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.4519lost-19251
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.7019lost-19270
10.10.26Ground Zero – KZGKZG2.3820lost-20289
10.10.26regain – VillainousVillainous2.2620lost-20309
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritFalcons2.2921lost-21329
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZFURIA2.3421lost-21350
09.10.26WBT Academy – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters2.4720won+30371
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsBORING PLAYERS2.1321lost-21341
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSGamerLegion2.2420won+25362
09.10.26HOTU – AcendAcend2.7021lost-21337
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyAzuolas2.8920won+38357
09.10.26mellren – BebopBebop3.0819won+40319
09.10.26MEIA NOITE – QUINTESSÊNCIAMEIA NOITE2.1819won+22280
08.10.26Lilmix – Fire FluxLilmix4.1019lost-19257
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0719won+20277
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4319lost-19257
08.10.26Rare Atom – Just SwingJust Swing2.3719won+26276
08.10.26Legion – NasLegion2.2919lost-19250
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.8118won+33269
08.10.26Azuolas – Noir VerseAzuolas2.5319lost-19236
08.10.26G2 Ares – RBLSG2 Ares2.0518won+19255
08.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.5119lost-19235
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorNuclear TigeRES2.0218won+19254
08.10.26Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.6919lost-19235
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Starsex-Keyd Stars2.0418won+19254
07.10.26SAW – RBLSRBLS2.2518won+22235
07.10.26Sangal – SAWSAW2.0918lost-18213
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECIberian Soul2.4018won+25231
07.10.26Just Players – HYPERSPIRITHYPERSPIRIT2.4018lost-18206
07.10.26Ryvex – mellrenRyvex2.5418lost-18224
07.10.26Chinggis Warriors – Vitalem AeremVitalem Aerem2.2419lost-19243
07.10.26Falcons Force – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.1119lost-19262
07.10.26OG – Falcons ForceFalcons Force2.3819won+26281
07.10.26OG – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.3219lost-19255
07.10.26Gothic – LPHGothic2.2919won+24274
06.10.26Falcons – Natus VincereNatus Vincere2.6519lost-19250
06.10.26Spirit – 1win1win2.4118won+26269
05.10.26Leo – ex-Zero TenacityLeo2.4918won+27243
05.10.26Galorys – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode2.0518won+18216
04.10.26ex-RUSTEC – EnjoyEnjoy2.1218lost-18198
04.10.26Banda Chuya – LavkedBanda Chuya2.0118won+18216
04.10.26SAW – NTNT2.3617won+23198
04.10.26FORZE Reload – Spirit AcademySpirit Academy2.0517won+18175
04.10.26Falcons – AuroraAurora2.1517lost-17157
04.10.26MASONIC – Phantom AcademyMASONIC2.1117won+19174
03.10.26Aurora – 9z9z2.2717lost-17156
03.10.26NT – Lazer CatsNT2.1517won+19173
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.