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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1511u
ROI
-9.6%
win rate
40%
bets
1823
drawdown
151.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-328u
period 6top-up-194u
period 5top-up-428u
period 4top-up-29u
period 3top-up-264u
period 2top-up-268u
period 1profit withdrawn+2u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale2335%-915-69.3%92.2%Select
1% of bankroll182340%-1511-9.6%151.1%Select
Flat (10 units)182340%-1703-9.3%170.4%Select
2% of bankroll182340%-2682-9.9%268%Select
5% of bankroll182340%-4753-11.2%475.3%Select
10% of bankroll182340%-5847-13%584.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1823, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.987lost-7-511
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.577lost-7-504
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.427lost-7-497
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.197lost-7-490
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.677won+11-483
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.057won+7-494
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.417won+10-502
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.217lost-7-511
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.097won+7-504
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.787lost-7-512
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.017lost-7-505
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.297won+9-498
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.117lost-7-507
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.907lost-7-500
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.167lost-7-493
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.307lost-7-486
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.047won+7-479
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.117lost-7-486
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.107lost-7-479
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.187lost-7-472
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.017lost-7-465
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.697lost-7-458
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.097lost-7-450
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.687lost-7-443
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.187won+9-436
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.457lost-7-444
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.077won+8-437
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.027won+7-445
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.547lost-7-452
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.067won+8-445
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.617lost-7-452
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.127won+15-445
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.407lost-7-460
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.647lost-7-453
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.457won+11-446
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.527lost-7-456
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.907lost-7-449
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.317lost-7-442
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.547won+11-434
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.557lost-7-445
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.147won+8-438
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.077lost-7-446
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.148lost-8-439
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.208lost-8-431
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.247won+9-424
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.077won+8-433
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.147lost-7-441
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.107won+8-434
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.847lost-7-442
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.027won+8-434
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.837lost-7-442
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneElusive3.158lost-8-434
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.177won+9-427
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.257won+9-435
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.407lost-7-445
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.138lost-8-437
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.098lost-8-430
10.10.26Chinggis Warriors – THE UNITTHE UNIT2.398lost-8-422
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.108won+8-414
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.458lost-8-423
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.