Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-54u
ROI
-0.8%
win rate
45%
bets
678
drawdown
27.4%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-246u
period 3profit withdrawn+175u
period 2top-up-94u
period 1profit withdrawn+111u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 260 | 47% | +11 | +0.1% | 69.9% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 678 | 45% | -54 | -0.8% | 27.4% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 678 | 45% | -74 | -1.1% | 30% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 678 | 45% | -79 | -0.6% | 42.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 678 | 45% | -142 | -0.5% | 75.3% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 678 | 45% | -908 | -2.1% | 106.3% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 678, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 7 | won | +11 | 946 |
| 20.08.26 | FaZe – Vitality | Vitality | 2.15 | 7 | won | +8 | 935 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – benched gods | benched gods | 2.02 | 7 | won | +7 | 927 |
| 20.08.26 | Honvéd – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.17 | 7 | lost | -7 | 919 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons – The MongolZ | The MongolZ | 2.49 | 7 | lost | -7 | 926 |
| 20.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Raccoons | Raccoons | 2.35 | 7 | lost | -7 | 934 |
| 19.08.26 | EAC – Color | Color | 2.01 | 7 | won | +7 | 941 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Black Phoenix | 2.78 | 7 | won | +13 | 934 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – EAC | Permitta | 2.09 | 7 | lost | -7 | 921 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Lavked | 2.17 | 7 | won | +8 | 928 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – The Last Resort | Misa | 2.19 | 7 | lost | -7 | 920 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 Ares – ex-Zero Tenacity | G2 Ares | 2.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | 927 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.54 | 7 | lost | -7 | 935 |
| 19.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Endless Journey | Endless Journey | 2.73 | 8 | lost | -8 | 942 |
| 18.08.26 | DONSTU – MOUZ NXT | DONSTU | 2.02 | 8 | lost | -8 | 950 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Entropy | 2.68 | 8 | won | +13 | 957 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 8 | lost | -8 | 945 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 8 | lost | -8 | 952 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Vexar | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.01 | 8 | won | +8 | 960 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 8 | won | +10 | 952 |
| 18.08.26 | Metizport – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.13 | 8 | lost | -8 | 943 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 7 | won | +11 | 950 |
| 18.08.26 | Bebop – benched gods | Bebop | 2.05 | 8 | lost | -8 | 940 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | HAVU | 2.66 | 7 | won | +12 | 947 |
| 17.08.26 | LPH – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.23 | 8 | lost | -8 | 935 |
| 17.08.26 | NEW VISION – Vexar | NEW VISION | 2.10 | 8 | lost | -8 | 942 |
| 17.08.26 | paiN Academy – QUINTESSÊNCIA | paiN Academy | 2.16 | 8 | lost | -8 | 950 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy – MIBR | Legacy | 2.02 | 8 | won | +8 | 958 |
| 16.08.26 | Keyd Stars – Imperial | Keyd Stars | 2.21 | 8 | lost | -8 | 950 |
| 16.08.26 | DragonClaw – ex-Zero Tenacity | DragonClaw | 2.15 | 8 | lost | -8 | 957 |
| 16.08.26 | Mai Tai – BERG | Mai Tai | 2.50 | 8 | won | +11 | 965 |
| 16.08.26 | INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.21 | 8 | won | +9 | 954 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.63 | 7 | won | +12 | 945 |
| 16.08.26 | FORZE Reload – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.08 | 7 | lost | -7 | 933 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.32 | 8 | lost | -8 | 940 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-MANA – ex-RUSTEC | ex-MANA | 2.35 | 8 | lost | -8 | 948 |
| 16.08.26 | ROUNDS – Vexar | ROUNDS | 2.20 | 8 | lost | -8 | 955 |
| 16.08.26 | paiN Academy – ALKA | paiN Academy | 2.18 | 8 | lost | -8 | 963 |
| 15.08.26 | Spirit – BIG | BIG | 2.07 | 8 | lost | -8 | 971 |
| 15.08.26 | Lavked – OG | Lavked | 2.08 | 8 | won | +8 | 979 |
| 15.08.26 | Privateer – Phantom Academy | Privateer | 2.03 | 8 | lost | -8 | 970 |
| 15.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.14 | 8 | won | +9 | 978 |
| 15.08.26 | SINQU – BASEMENT BOYS | SINQU | 2.11 | 8 | lost | -8 | 969 |
| 15.08.26 | Atreides – LPH | Atreides | 2.39 | 8 | lost | -8 | 977 |
| 15.08.26 | ex-MANA – Misa | Misa | 2.03 | 8 | won | +8 | 985 |
| 15.08.26 | Fire Flux – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.46 | 8 | won | +11 | 977 |
| 15.08.26 | BESTIA – ALKA | ALKA | 2.04 | 8 | lost | -8 | 966 |
| 14.08.26 | Lavked – BASEMENT BOYS | Lavked | 2.43 | 8 | won | +11 | 973 |
| 14.08.26 | PARIVISION – 100 Thieves | PARIVISION | 2.32 | 8 | won | +10 | 962 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 2.67 | 8 | lost | -8 | 952 |
| 14.08.26 | Leo – benched gods | benched gods | 2.06 | 8 | lost | -8 | 960 |
| 14.08.26 | FUT – MOUZ | FUT | 2.30 | 8 | won | +10 | 968 |
| 14.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – Lazer Cats | MOUZ NXT | 2.10 | 8 | won | +8 | 958 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Misa | 2.55 | 7 | won | +12 | 949 |
| 14.08.26 | NEW VISION – Arch | NEW VISION | 2.35 | 7 | won | +10 | 938 |
| 14.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – Enjoy | MOUZ NXT | 2.44 | 7 | lost | -7 | 928 |
| 14.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – paiN Academy | METANOIA Wolves | 2.36 | 8 | lost | -8 | 935 |
| 14.08.26 | Pugdesonesto – ALKA | Pugdesonesto | 2.09 | 8 | lost | -8 | 943 |
| 13.08.26 | Falcons – Astralis | Astralis | 2.44 | 8 | lost | -8 | 950 |
| 13.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 2.08 | 8 | lost | -8 | 958 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.