Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-1425u
ROI
-8.9%
win rate
40%
bets
1848
drawdown
142.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
1% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-367u
period 6top-up-324u
period 5top-up-474u
period 4profit withdrawn+90u
period 3top-up-176u
period 2top-up-146u
period 1top-up-28u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 24 | 29% | -945 | -66.9% | 94.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1848 | 40% | -1425 | -8.9% | 142.4% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1848 | 40% | -1667 | -9% | 166.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1848 | 40% | -2459 | -8.8% | 245.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1848 | 40% | -4247 | -9.1% | 424.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1848 | 40% | -5676 | -11.1% | 567.6% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1848, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | BET-M – FORZE Reload | BET-M | 2.13 | 6 | lost | -6 | -425 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 6 | lost | -6 | -418 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | Banda Chuya | 2.57 | 7 | lost | -7 | -412 |
| 14.10.26 | MARKandLARRY – Rooster | MARKandLARRY | 2.19 | 7 | lost | -7 | -405 |
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | 9z | 2.67 | 6 | won | +11 | -399 |
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | 6666 | 2.41 | 6 | won | +9 | -410 |
| 14.10.26 | Zomblers – Overtake Sector | Zomblers | 2.21 | 6 | lost | -6 | -419 |
| 14.10.26 | your end – SUKEBAN | your end | 2.09 | 6 | won | +7 | -412 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.78 | 6 | lost | -6 | -419 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | Grêmio | 2.01 | 7 | lost | -7 | -413 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | Butterfly | 2.29 | 6 | won | +8 | -406 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 6 | lost | -6 | -414 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | 6666 | 2.90 | 7 | lost | -7 | -408 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Liquid | Liquid | 2.04 | 7 | lost | -7 | -401 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Illyrians | 2.04 | 7 | won | +7 | -395 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 7 | lost | -7 | -402 |
| 13.10.26 | Fruju – Rooster | Fruju | 2.10 | 7 | lost | -7 | -395 |
| 13.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – LP | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.18 | 7 | lost | -7 | -388 |
| 12.10.26 | 6666 – megoshort | megoshort | 2.01 | 7 | lost | -7 | -381 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 2.69 | 7 | lost | -7 | -375 |
| 12.10.26 | SAW Youngsters – Illyrians | SAW Youngsters | 2.09 | 7 | lost | -7 | -368 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | Nordic Partners | 2.68 | 7 | lost | -7 | -361 |
| 12.10.26 | PRIVATE – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 2.18 | 7 | won | +8 | -354 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 7 | lost | -7 | -362 |
| 12.10.26 | Alter Ego – Chinggis Warriors | Alter Ego | 2.07 | 7 | won | +7 | -355 |
| 12.10.26 | Fire Flux – mellren | mellren | 2.02 | 7 | won | +7 | -362 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Betclic | 2.55 | 7 | lost | -7 | -369 |
| 12.10.26 | Fruju – MARKandLARRY | MARKandLARRY | 2.06 | 7 | won | +7 | -362 |
| 12.10.26 | DETONATE – Iowa Stormboar | DETONATE | 2.18 | 7 | lost | -7 | -370 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Yawara | 2.61 | 7 | lost | -7 | -363 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 7 | won | +15 | -356 |
| 11.10.26 | DIVINITY – ex-RUSTEC | DIVINITY | 2.40 | 7 | lost | -7 | -370 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | Lavked | 2.64 | 7 | lost | -7 | -363 |
| 11.10.26 | XI – ASTRAL | XI | 2.20 | 7 | won | +8 | -356 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 7 | won | +10 | -365 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 7 | lost | -7 | -375 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | Bebop | 2.90 | 7 | lost | -7 | -368 |
| 11.10.26 | The KnockoutX – Alter Ego | The KnockoutX | 2.31 | 7 | lost | -7 | -361 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Aurora | 2.54 | 7 | won | +11 | -354 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.14 | 7 | won | +8 | -364 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – FlyQuest | Ground Zero | 2.14 | 7 | lost | -7 | -372 |
| 11.10.26 | Abyssal – KZG | KZG | 2.07 | 7 | lost | -7 | -365 |
| 11.10.26 | EMPIRE – regain | EMPIRE | 2.20 | 7 | lost | -7 | -358 |
| 11.10.26 | Zomblers – Iowa Stormboar | Zomblers | 2.07 | 7 | won | +7 | -351 |
| 11.10.26 | Overtake Sector – Chicken Coop | Chicken Coop | 2.24 | 7 | won | +9 | -359 |
| 11.10.26 | FlyQuest – KZG | KZG | 2.81 | 7 | lost | -7 | -367 |
| 11.10.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.84 | 7 | lost | -7 | -360 |
| 10.10.26 | Marsborne – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 2.02 | 7 | won | +7 | -353 |
| 10.10.26 | Fathom – SportsBetExpert | Fathom | 2.83 | 7 | lost | -7 | -360 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 7 | lost | -7 | -353 |
| 10.10.26 | Holy Cannoli – Unreal Nightmare | Unreal Nightmare | 2.17 | 7 | won | +8 | -346 |
| 10.10.26 | MOUZ – Spirit | MOUZ | 2.25 | 7 | won | +9 | -354 |
| 10.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Iberian Soul | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 7 | lost | -7 | -363 |
| 10.10.26 | Wildcard – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 2.13 | 7 | lost | -7 | -356 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | Bebop | 2.09 | 7 | lost | -7 | -349 |
| 10.10.26 | Alter Ego – Vitalem Aerem | Vitalem Aerem | 2.27 | 7 | lost | -7 | -342 |
| 10.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Fortress | 2.45 | 7 | lost | -7 | -335 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.10 | 7 | won | +8 | -327 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 7 | lost | -7 | -335 |
| 10.10.26 | HOTU – fnatic | fnatic | 2.09 | 7 | won | +8 | -328 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.