Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
+52u
ROI
+0.8%
win rate
46%
bets
674
drawdown
26.4%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-147u
period 3profit withdrawn+28u
period 2profit withdrawn+27u
period 1profit withdrawn+144u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 674 | 46% | +52 | +0.8% | 26.4% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 674 | 46% | +34 | +0.5% | 25.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 674 | 46% | +34 | +0.3% | 40.2% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 674 | 46% | -129 | -0.4% | 67.4% | Select |
| Martingale | 155 | 52% | -230 | -4.5% | 63% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 674 | 46% | -674 | -1.3% | 91.7% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 674, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 10 | won | +15 | 1052 |
| 20.08.26 | B8 – Spirit | B8 | 2.38 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1038 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – benched gods | benched gods | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1048 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons – The MongolZ | The MongolZ | 2.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1037 |
| 19.08.26 | GamerLegion – MOUZ | GamerLegion | 2.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1047 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1057 |
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Honvéd | 2.81 | 10 | won | +18 | 1047 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1029 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1019 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Lavked | 2.17 | 10 | won | +12 | 1029 |
| 19.08.26 | Entropy – Fire Flux | Entropy | 2.16 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1017 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1027 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.54 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1037 |
| 18.08.26 | Misa – Strael Bora | Misa | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 1047 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – OG | OG | 2.06 | 10 | won | +11 | 1036 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1026 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1036 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1046 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 3.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1056 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 10 | won | +13 | 1066 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 10 | won | +14 | 1053 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | HAVU | 2.66 | 10 | won | +17 | 1039 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Permitta | 2.77 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1022 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.86 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1032 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 10 | won | +10 | 1042 |
| 17.08.26 | Atreides – ex-Sashi Academy | Atreides | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1031 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked – INOX Division | Lavked | 2.70 | 10 | won | +17 | 1041 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy – MIBR | Legacy | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1024 |
| 16.08.26 | DragonClaw – ex-Zero Tenacity | DragonClaw | 2.16 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1014 |
| 16.08.26 | Honvéd – mellren | Honvéd | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1024 |
| 16.08.26 | magic – 9z | magic | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1034 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.64 | 10 | won | +16 | 1024 |
| 16.08.26 | FORZE Reload – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1008 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1018 |
| 16.08.26 | BERG – HAVU | HAVU | 2.19 | 10 | won | +12 | 1028 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Nexus | 2.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1016 |
| 16.08.26 | ROUNDS – Vexar | ROUNDS | 2.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1026 |
| 16.08.26 | paiN Academy – ALKA | paiN Academy | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1036 |
| 15.08.26 | Spirit – BIG | BIG | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1046 |
| 15.08.26 | Lavked – OG | Lavked | 2.08 | 10 | won | +11 | 1056 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | Misa | 2.71 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1045 |
| 15.08.26 | magic – 3DMAX | 3DMAX | 2.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1055 |
| 15.08.26 | FURIA – 9z | FURIA | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 1065 |
| 15.08.26 | Enjoy – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1054 |
| 15.08.26 | SINQU – BASEMENT BOYS | SINQU | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1064 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo – Misa | Misa | 2.28 | 10 | won | +13 | 1074 |
| 15.08.26 | Honvéd – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.33 | 10 | won | +13 | 1061 |
| 15.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – ENCE | MOUZ NXT | 2.16 | 10 | won | +12 | 1048 |
| 15.08.26 | Fire Flux – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.46 | 10 | won | +15 | 1036 |
| 15.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – MEIA NOITE | METANOIA Wolves | 2.52 | 10 | won | +15 | 1022 |
| 15.08.26 | BESTIA – ALKA | ALKA | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1007 |
| 14.08.26 | Lavked – BASEMENT BOYS | Lavked | 2.43 | 10 | won | +14 | 1017 |
| 14.08.26 | PARIVISION – 100 Thieves | PARIVISION | 2.32 | 10 | won | +13 | 1002 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 2.67 | 10 | lost | -10 | 989 |
| 14.08.26 | Mai Tai – UNiTY | Mai Tai | 2.34 | 10 | lost | -10 | 999 |
| 14.08.26 | The Last Resort – Honvéd | Honvéd | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 1009 |
| 14.08.26 | EAC – benched gods | EAC | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 998 |
| 14.08.26 | SINQU – Lavked | Lavked | 2.14 | 10 | won | +11 | 987 |
| 14.08.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetBoom | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.14 | 10 | won | +11 | 976 |
| 14.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – Enjoy | MOUZ NXT | 2.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 964 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.