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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1425u
ROI
-8.9%
win rate
40%
bets
1848
drawdown
142.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-367u
period 6top-up-324u
period 5top-up-474u
period 4profit withdrawn+90u
period 3top-up-176u
period 2top-up-146u
period 1top-up-28u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale2429%-945-66.9%94.9%Select
1% of bankroll184840%-1425-8.9%142.4%Select
Flat (10 units)184840%-1667-9%166.6%Select
2% of bankroll184840%-2459-8.8%245.6%Select
5% of bankroll184840%-4247-9.1%424.7%Select
10% of bankroll184840%-5676-11.1%567.6%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1848, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadBET-M2.136lost-6-425
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.986lost-6-418
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.577lost-7-412
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.197lost-7-405
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.676won+11-399
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.416won+9-410
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.216lost-6-419
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.096won+7-412
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.786lost-6-419
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.017lost-7-413
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.296won+8-406
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.116lost-6-414
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.907lost-7-408
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.047lost-7-401
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.047won+7-395
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.117lost-7-402
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.107lost-7-395
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.187lost-7-388
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.017lost-7-381
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.697lost-7-375
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.097lost-7-368
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.687lost-7-361
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.187won+8-354
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.457lost-7-362
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.077won+7-355
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.027won+7-362
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.557lost-7-369
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.067won+7-362
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.187lost-7-370
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.617lost-7-363
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.127won+15-356
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.407lost-7-370
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.647lost-7-363
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.207won+8-356
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.457won+10-365
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.527lost-7-375
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.907lost-7-368
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.317lost-7-361
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.547won+11-354
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.147won+8-364
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.147lost-7-372
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.077lost-7-365
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.207lost-7-358
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.077won+7-351
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.247won+9-359
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGKZG2.817lost-7-367
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.847lost-7-360
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.027won+7-353
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.837lost-7-360
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.377lost-7-353
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.177won+8-346
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.257won+9-354
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.407lost-7-363
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.137lost-7-356
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.097lost-7-349
10.10.26Alter Ego – Vitalem AeremVitalem Aerem2.277lost-7-342
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.457lost-7-335
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.107won+8-327
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.517lost-7-335
10.10.26HOTU – fnaticfnatic2.097won+8-328
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.