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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1430u
ROI
-9%
win rate
40%
bets
1849
drawdown
143.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-360u
period 6top-up-424u
period 5top-up-471u
period 4profit withdrawn+206u
period 3top-up-177u
period 2top-up-145u
period 1top-up-58u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale12942%-1006-16.6%100.4%Select
1% of bankroll184940%-1430-9%143.7%Select
Flat (10 units)184940%-1742-9.4%175.4%Select
2% of bankroll184940%-2364-8.6%237.3%Select
5% of bankroll184940%-3677-7.9%368.1%Select
10% of bankroll184940%-4936-9.1%493.6%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1849, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.576lost-6-430
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.197lost-7-423
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.676won+11-417
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.416won+9-427
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.216lost-6-436
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.096won+7-430
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.786lost-6-437
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.016lost-6-430
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.296won+8-424
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.116lost-6-432
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.907lost-7-426
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.167lost-7-419
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.047won+7-413
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.117lost-7-419
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.107lost-7-413
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.267lost-7-406
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.017lost-7-400
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.697lost-7-393
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.097lost-7-386
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.687lost-7-379
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.187lost-7-372
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.457lost-7-365
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.047lost-7-358
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.027won+7-351
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.547lost-7-358
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.067won+8-351
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.617lost-7-358
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.127won+15-351
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.407lost-7-366
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.647lost-7-359
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.457won+10-352
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.527lost-7-362
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.907lost-7-355
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.317lost-7-348
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.547won+11-340
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.557lost-7-351
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.147won+8-344
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.077lost-7-352
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.147lost-7-345
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.077won+8-338
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.247won+9-346
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.207lost-7-354
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.147lost-7-347
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.107won+8-340
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.027won+7-348
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.837lost-7-355
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.377lost-7-348
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.177won+8-341
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.257won+9-349
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.407lost-7-358
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.137lost-7-351
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.097lost-7-344
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.517lost-7-336
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.107won+8-329
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.457lost-7-337
10.10.26Sangal – PUREPURE2.267lost-7-329
10.10.26HOTU – fnaticfnatic2.097won+8-322
10.10.26Misa – AzuolasAzuolas2.347lost-7-330
10.10.26Mindfreak – AbyssalMindfreak2.568lost-8-323
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.708lost-8-315
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.