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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1361u
ROI
-8.5%
win rate
40%
bets
1843
drawdown
136%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-400u
period 6top-up-227u
period 5top-up-474u
period 4profit withdrawn+90u
period 3top-up-176u
period 2top-up-146u
period 1top-up-28u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale2429%-945-66.9%94.9%Select
1% of bankroll184340%-1361-8.5%136%Selected
Flat (10 units)184340%-1587-8.6%158.6%Select
2% of bankroll184340%-2367-8.5%236.4%Select
5% of bankroll184340%-4198-9.1%419.8%Select
10% of bankroll184340%-5675-11.1%567.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1843, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadBET-M2.136lost-6-361
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.986lost-6-355
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.576lost-6-349
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.426lost-6-342
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.196lost-6-336
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.676won+10-330
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.416won+9-340
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.216lost-6-349
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.096won+7-343
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.786lost-6-349
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.016lost-6-343
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.296won+8-337
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.116lost-6-345
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.906lost-6-339
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.166lost-6-332
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.046won+7-326
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.116lost-6-332
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.106lost-6-326
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.186lost-6-320
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.017lost-7-313
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.697lost-7-307
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.097lost-7-300
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.687lost-7-293
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.187won+8-287
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.457lost-7-295
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.077won+7-288
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.027won+7-295
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.557lost-7-302
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.067won+7-295
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.617lost-7-302
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.127won+14-295
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.407lost-7-309
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.207won+8-303
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.456won+9-310
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.526lost-6-320
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.907lost-7-313
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.317lost-7-307
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.547won+10-300
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.557lost-7-310
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.147won+7-303
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.147lost-7-311
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.077lost-7-304
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.207lost-7-298
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.077won+7-291
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.247won+8-298
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGKZG2.817lost-7-306
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.107won+7-300
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.026won+7-307
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.837lost-7-313
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.176won+8-307
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.377lost-7-314
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.256won+8-308
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.407lost-7-316
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.497lost-7-309
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.097lost-7-303
10.10.26Chinggis Warriors – THE UNITTHE UNIT2.397lost-7-296
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.517lost-7-289
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.457lost-7-283
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.107won+7-276
10.10.26HOTU – fnaticfnatic2.097won+7-283
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.