Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-252u
ROI
-4%
win rate
44%
bets
671
drawdown
36.1%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-344u
period 3profit withdrawn+101u
period 2top-up-64u
period 1profit withdrawn+55u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 125 | 49% | -250 | -6.4% | 59.6% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 671 | 44% | -252 | -4% | 36.1% | Selected |
| Flat (10 units) | 671 | 44% | -298 | -4.4% | 41.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 671 | 44% | -440 | -3.8% | 56.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 671 | 44% | -918 | -3.9% | 94.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 671 | 44% | -2006 | -5.9% | 166.2% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 671, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 6 | won | +9 | 748 |
| 20.08.26 | B8 – Spirit | B8 | 2.37 | 7 | lost | -7 | 739 |
| 20.08.26 | OG – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.02 | 7 | lost | -7 | 745 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – benched gods | benched gods | 2.02 | 7 | won | +7 | 752 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 2.02 | 6 | won | +7 | 745 |
| 19.08.26 | Drip Too Hard – HYPERSPIRIT | Drip Too Hard | 2.16 | 7 | lost | -7 | 738 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 7 | lost | -7 | 745 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.17 | 7 | won | +8 | 751 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – EAC | Permitta | 2.09 | 7 | lost | -7 | 744 |
| 19.08.26 | Noir Verse – ENCE | Noir Verse | 2.20 | 7 | won | +8 | 750 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 2.05 | 7 | lost | -7 | 743 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Permitta | Permitta | 2.01 | 7 | lost | -7 | 749 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 Ares – ex-Zero Tenacity | G2 Ares | 2.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | 756 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.54 | 7 | lost | -7 | 762 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – OG | OG | 2.06 | 7 | won | +7 | 769 |
| 18.08.26 | DONSTU – MOUZ NXT | DONSTU | 2.02 | 7 | lost | -7 | 762 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Entropy | 2.68 | 7 | won | +11 | 769 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 7 | lost | -7 | 758 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 7 | lost | -7 | 764 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 7 | lost | -7 | 771 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | Fortress | 2.69 | 7 | lost | -7 | 778 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 7 | won | +9 | 785 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 7 | won | +10 | 776 |
| 18.08.26 | MASONIC – Bebop | Bebop | 2.01 | 7 | lost | -7 | 767 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 7 | lost | -7 | 773 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Permitta | 2.77 | 7 | lost | -7 | 780 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 7 | won | +7 | 787 |
| 17.08.26 | Noir Verse – ex-RUSTEC | Noir Verse | 2.19 | 7 | lost | -7 | 780 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | DragonClaw | 2.72 | 7 | lost | -7 | 787 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | EAC | 2.17 | 7 | won | +8 | 794 |
| 16.08.26 | eternal premium – Phantom Academy | eternal premium | 2.03 | 7 | lost | -7 | 786 |
| 16.08.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.19 | 7 | lost | -7 | 793 |
| 16.08.26 | INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.21 | 7 | won | +8 | 800 |
| 16.08.26 | MOUZ – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.21 | 7 | lost | -7 | 792 |
| 16.08.26 | ENCE – WBT | ENCE | 2.13 | 7 | lost | -7 | 799 |
| 16.08.26 | FORZE Reload – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.08 | 7 | lost | -7 | 806 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.32 | 7 | lost | -7 | 813 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Nexus | 2.41 | 7 | lost | -7 | 820 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 2.62 | 7 | lost | -7 | 828 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | Misa | 2.71 | 8 | lost | -8 | 835 |
| 15.08.26 | eternal premium – Revise | eternal premium | 2.04 | 8 | lost | -8 | 843 |
| 15.08.26 | FURIA – 9z | FURIA | 2.04 | 8 | won | +8 | 850 |
| 15.08.26 | Enjoy – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.29 | 8 | lost | -8 | 842 |
| 15.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.14 | 7 | won | +9 | 850 |
| 15.08.26 | SINQU – BASEMENT BOYS | SINQU | 2.11 | 8 | lost | -8 | 841 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo – Misa | Misa | 2.28 | 7 | won | +10 | 849 |
| 15.08.26 | Honvéd – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.33 | 7 | won | +10 | 839 |
| 15.08.26 | ex-MANA – Misa | Misa | 2.03 | 7 | won | +8 | 830 |
| 15.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – MEIA NOITE | METANOIA Wolves | 2.52 | 7 | won | +11 | 822 |
| 15.08.26 | BESTIA – ALKA | ALKA | 2.04 | 7 | lost | -7 | 811 |
| 14.08.26 | Lavked – BASEMENT BOYS | Lavked | 2.43 | 7 | won | +10 | 818 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 2.67 | 7 | lost | -7 | 808 |
| 14.08.26 | EAC – Misa | Misa | 2.04 | 7 | lost | -7 | 815 |
| 14.08.26 | Privateer – Fire Flux | Privateer | 2.23 | 7 | lost | -7 | 823 |
| 14.08.26 | Mai Tai – UNiTY | Mai Tai | 2.34 | 7 | lost | -7 | 830 |
| 14.08.26 | EAC – benched gods | EAC | 2.09 | 7 | won | +8 | 837 |
| 14.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – Lazer Cats | MOUZ NXT | 2.10 | 7 | won | +8 | 829 |
| 14.08.26 | SINQU – Lavked | Lavked | 2.14 | 7 | won | +8 | 821 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Misa | 2.55 | 7 | won | +11 | 813 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.61 | 7 | lost | -7 | 802 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.