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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-2006u
ROI
-5.9%
win rate
44%
bets
671
drawdown
166.2%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰
Stake size

10% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-995u
period 3top-up-274u
period 2top-up-765u
period 1profit withdrawn+28u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Martingale12549%-250-6.4%59.6%Select
1% of bankroll67144%-252-4%36.1%Select
Flat (10 units)67144%-298-4.4%41.6%Select
2% of bankroll67144%-440-3.8%56.8%Select
5% of bankroll67144%-918-3.9%94.5%Select
10% of bankroll67144%-2006-5.9%166.2%Selected
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 671, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26mellren – Bushido Wildcatsmellren2.460won+1-1006
20.08.26B8 – SpiritB82.371lost-1-1007
20.08.26OG – SPARTASPARTA2.021lost-1-1006
20.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – benched godsbenched gods2.021won+1-1006
19.08.26FURIA – AuroraFURIA2.020won+0-1006
19.08.26Drip Too Hard – HYPERSPIRITDrip Too Hard2.161lost-1-1007
19.08.26G2 – AstralisAstralis2.061lost-1-1006
19.08.26Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacityex-Zero Tenacity2.171won+1-1005
19.08.26Permitta – EACPermitta2.091lost-1-1006
19.08.26Noir Verse – ENCENoir Verse2.201won+1-1005
19.08.26MOUZ NXT – SPARTAMOUZ NXT2.051lost-1-1006
19.08.26HYPERSPIRIT – PermittaPermitta2.011lost-1-1005
19.08.26G2 Ares – ex-Zero TenacityG2 Ares2.001lost-1-1005
19.08.26GenOne – UNiTYUNiTY2.541lost-1-1004
18.08.26EAC – OGOG2.061won+1-1003
18.08.26DONSTU – MOUZ NXTDONSTU2.021lost-1-1004
18.08.26Omega – EntropyEntropy2.681won+1-1003
18.08.26Entropy – PCIFICEntropy2.111lost-1-1004
18.08.26Leo – ex-RUSTECLeo2.011lost-1-1004
18.08.26Color – MisaMisa2.061lost-1-1003
18.08.26EAC – FortressFortress2.691lost-1-1002
18.08.26Omega – Fire FluxFire Flux2.291won+1-1001
18.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTECex-Zero Tenacity2.411won+1-1002
18.08.26MASONIC – BebopBebop2.011lost-1-1003
18.08.26ENCE – Mai TaiMai Tai2.461lost-1-1002
17.08.26Bushido Wildcats – PermittaPermitta2.771lost-1-1001
17.08.26Nexus – G2 AresG2 Ares2.051won+1-1000
17.08.26Noir Verse – ex-RUSTECNoir Verse2.191lost-1-1001
17.08.26ex-RUSTEC – DragonClawDragonClaw2.721lost-1-1000
16.08.26EAC – BASEMENT BOYSEAC2.171won+1-999
16.08.26eternal premium – Phantom Academyeternal premium2.031lost-1-1000
16.08.26Rune Eaters – DNKDNK2.191lost-1-999
16.08.26INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYSBASEMENT BOYS2.211won+1-998
16.08.26MOUZ – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.211lost-1-999
16.08.26ENCE – WBTENCE2.132lost-2-998
16.08.26FORZE Reload – DONSTUDONSTU2.082lost-2-996
16.08.26Bushido Wildcats – FortressFortress3.322lost-2-994
16.08.26Nexus – Bushido WildcatsNexus2.412lost-2-993
16.08.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA WolvesMETANOIA Wolves2.622lost-2-991
15.08.26INOX Division – MisaMisa2.713lost-3-988
15.08.26eternal premium – Reviseeternal premium2.043lost-3-986
15.08.26FURIA – 9zFURIA2.043won+3-983
15.08.26Enjoy – UNiTYUNiTY2.293lost-3-985
15.08.26ex-Sashi Academy – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters2.143won+3-983
15.08.26SINQU – BASEMENT BOYSSINQU2.113lost-3-986
15.08.26Leo – MisaMisa2.283won+3-983
15.08.26Honvéd – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy2.332won+3-986
15.08.26ex-MANA – MisaMisa2.032won+2-989
15.08.26METANOIA Wolves – MEIA NOITEMETANOIA Wolves2.522won+3-991
15.08.26BESTIA – ALKAALKA2.042lost-2-994
14.08.26Lavked – BASEMENT BOYSLavked2.432won+2-992
14.08.26INOX Division – MOUZ NXTMOUZ NXT2.672lost-2-994
14.08.26EAC – MisaMisa2.042lost-2-992
14.08.26Privateer – Fire FluxPrivateer2.232lost-2-990
14.08.26Mai Tai – UNiTYMai Tai2.343lost-3-988
14.08.26EAC – benched godsEAC2.092won+3-985
14.08.26MOUZ NXT – Lazer CatsMOUZ NXT2.102won+2-988
14.08.26SINQU – LavkedLavked2.142won+2-990
14.08.26Misa – LeoMisa2.552won+3-992
14.08.26INOX Division – ex-MANAex-MANA2.612lost-2-995
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.