Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-5990u
ROI
-14.6%
win rate
40%
bets
1850
drawdown
599%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-999u
period 6top-up-994u
period 5top-up-1000u
period 4top-up-671u
period 3top-up-942u
period 2top-up-950u
period 1top-up-433u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 24 | 25% | -944 | -60.8% | 94.8% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1850 | 40% | -1413 | -8.9% | 141.3% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1850 | 40% | -1651 | -8.9% | 165.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1850 | 40% | -2465 | -9.1% | 246.5% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1850 | 40% | -4457 | -10.5% | 445.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1850 | 40% | -5990 | -14.6% | 599% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1850, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | FURIA – BETBOOM | BETBOOM | 2.04 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4990 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – HOTU | fnatic | 2.03 | 0 | won | +0 | -4990 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4990 |
| 14.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Alter Ego | Lynn Vision | 2.03 | 0 | won | +0 | -4990 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | Banda Chuya | 2.57 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4990 |
| 14.10.26 | Astralis – Sashi | Sashi | 2.42 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4990 |
| 14.10.26 | MARKandLARRY – Rooster | MARKandLARRY | 2.19 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4990 |
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | 9z | 2.67 | 0 | won | +0 | -4989 |
| 14.10.26 | Gothic – Lavked | Lavked | 2.05 | 0 | won | +0 | -4990 |
| 14.10.26 | Zomblers – Overtake Sector | Zomblers | 2.21 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4990 |
| 14.10.26 | your end – SUKEBAN | your end | 2.09 | 0 | won | +0 | -4990 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.78 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4990 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | Grêmio | 2.01 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4990 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | Butterfly | 2.29 | 0 | won | +0 | -4989 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4990 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | 6666 | 2.90 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4989 |
| 13.10.26 | JiJieHao – BBL | BBL | 2.16 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4989 |
| 13.10.26 | Just Swing – Alter Ego | Just Swing | 2.30 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4989 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Illyrians | 2.04 | 0 | won | +0 | -4989 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4989 |
| 13.10.26 | Fruju – Rooster | Fruju | 2.10 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4989 |
| 13.10.26 | Galorys – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 2.26 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4989 |
| 12.10.26 | 6666 – megoshort | megoshort | 2.01 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4989 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 2.69 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4988 |
| 12.10.26 | SAW Youngsters – Illyrians | SAW Youngsters | 2.09 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4988 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | Nordic Partners | 2.68 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4988 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – XI | XI | 3.18 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4988 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4987 |
| 12.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Just Swing | Just Swing | 2.04 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4987 |
| 12.10.26 | Fire Flux – mellren | mellren | 2.02 | 0 | won | +0 | -4987 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Betclic | 2.55 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4987 |
| 12.10.26 | Rooster – LFO 8 | LFO 8 | 2.04 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4986 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | BORRACHEIROS | 2.09 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4986 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 0 | won | +1 | -4986 |
| 11.10.26 | DIVINITY – ex-RUSTEC | DIVINITY | 2.40 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4986 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | Lavked | 2.64 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4986 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 0 | won | +1 | -4985 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4986 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | Bebop | 2.90 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4986 |
| 11.10.26 | The KnockoutX – Alter Ego | The KnockoutX | 2.31 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4985 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Aurora | 2.54 | 1 | won | +1 | -4984 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.14 | 0 | won | +1 | -4985 |
| 11.10.26 | Abyssal – KZG | KZG | 2.07 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4986 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – FlyQuest | Ground Zero | 2.14 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4985 |
| 11.10.26 | EMPIRE – regain | EMPIRE | 2.20 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4985 |
| 11.10.26 | Wanted Goons – DETONATE | Wanted Goons | 2.25 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4984 |
| 11.10.26 | Overtake Sector – Chicken Coop | Chicken Coop | 2.24 | 1 | won | +1 | -4983 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.14 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4984 |
| 11.10.26 | Procyon – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 2.10 | 1 | won | +1 | -4983 |
| 10.10.26 | Marsborne – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 2.02 | 1 | won | +1 | -4984 |
| 10.10.26 | Fathom – SportsBetExpert | Fathom | 2.83 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4985 |
| 10.10.26 | Holy Cannoli – Unreal Nightmare | Unreal Nightmare | 2.17 | 1 | won | +1 | -4984 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Elusive | 3.15 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4985 |
| 10.10.26 | MOUZ – Spirit | MOUZ | 2.25 | 1 | won | +1 | -4984 |
| 10.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Iberian Soul | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4985 |
| 10.10.26 | Wildcard – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 2.13 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4984 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | Bebop | 2.09 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4983 |
| 10.10.26 | Alter Ego – Vitalem Aerem | Vitalem Aerem | 2.27 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4983 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.10 | 1 | won | +1 | -4982 |
| 10.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Fortress | 2.45 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4983 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.