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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-5990u
ROI
-14.6%
win rate
40%
bets
1850
drawdown
599%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-999u
period 6top-up-994u
period 5top-up-1000u
period 4top-up-671u
period 3top-up-942u
period 2top-up-950u
period 1top-up-433u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale2425%-944-60.8%94.8%Select
1% of bankroll185040%-1413-8.9%141.3%Select
Flat (10 units)185040%-1651-8.9%165.2%Select
2% of bankroll185040%-2465-9.1%246.5%Select
5% of bankroll185040%-4457-10.5%445.7%Select
10% of bankroll185040%-5990-14.6%599%Selected
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1850, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FURIA – BETBOOMBETBOOM2.040lost-0-4990
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUfnatic2.030won+0-4990
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.980lost-0-4990
14.10.26Lynn Vision – Alter EgoLynn Vision2.030won+0-4990
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.570lost-0-4990
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.420lost-0-4990
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.190lost-0-4990
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.670won+0-4989
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.050won+0-4990
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.210lost-0-4990
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.090won+0-4990
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.780lost-0-4990
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.010lost-0-4990
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.290won+0-4989
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.110lost-0-4990
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.900lost-0-4989
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.160lost-0-4989
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.300lost-0-4989
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.040won+0-4989
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.110lost-0-4989
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.100lost-0-4989
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.260lost-0-4989
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.010lost-0-4989
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.690lost-0-4988
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.090lost-0-4988
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.680lost-0-4988
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.180lost-0-4988
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.450lost-0-4987
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.040lost-0-4987
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.020won+0-4987
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.550lost-0-4987
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.040lost-0-4986
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.091lost-1-4986
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.120won+1-4986
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.400lost-0-4986
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.641lost-1-4986
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.450won+1-4985
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.521lost-1-4986
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.901lost-1-4986
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.311lost-1-4985
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.541won+1-4984
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.140won+1-4985
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.071lost-1-4986
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.141lost-1-4985
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.201lost-1-4985
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.251lost-1-4984
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.241won+1-4983
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.141lost-1-4984
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.101won+1-4983
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.021won+1-4984
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.831lost-1-4985
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.171won+1-4984
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneElusive3.151lost-1-4985
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.251won+1-4984
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.401lost-1-4985
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.131lost-1-4984
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.091lost-1-4983
10.10.26Alter Ego – Vitalem AeremVitalem Aerem2.271lost-1-4983
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.101won+1-4982
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.451lost-1-4983
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.