?

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-2769u
ROI
-10.1%
win rate
40%
bets
1854
drawdown
276.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-591u
period 6top-up-542u
period 5top-up-743u
period 4profit withdrawn+15u
period 3top-up-343u
period 2top-up-506u
period 1top-up-59u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale2429%-944-60.8%94.8%Select
1% of bankroll185440%-1602-10%160.2%Select
Flat (10 units)185440%-1866-10.1%186.6%Select
2% of bankroll185440%-2769-10.1%276.9%Selected
5% of bankroll185440%-4712-10.4%471.2%Select
10% of bankroll185440%-5944-11.7%594.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1854, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FURIA – BETBOOMBETBOOM2.048lost-8-1769
14.10.26FOKUS – YounglingsYounglings2.459lost-9-1760
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10LFO 102.649lost-9-1752
14.10.26Butterfly – Nuclear TigeRESButterfly2.299lost-9-1743
14.10.26Just Players – FOKUSFOKUS2.089won+9-1734
14.10.26G2 Ares – The Last ResortThe Last Resort2.029lost-9-1744
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.989lost-9-1735
14.10.26HOTU – AstralisAstralis2.359won+12-1726
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.579lost-9-1738
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.199lost-9-1729
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.679won+15-1719
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.059won+9-1734
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.219lost-9-1743
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.099won+9-1734
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.789lost-9-1744
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.019lost-9-1735
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.299won+11-1726
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.119lost-9-1737
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.909lost-9-1728
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.169lost-9-1719
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.049won+10-1710
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.119lost-9-1719
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.1010lost-10-1710
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.1810lost-10-1700
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.0110lost-10-1691
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.6910lost-10-1681
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.0910lost-10-1671
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.6811lost-11-1660
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.1810won+12-1650
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4511lost-11-1662
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.0710won+11-1651
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.0210won+10-1662
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.5410lost-10-1673
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.0610won+11-1662
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.0910lost-10-1673
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1210won+21-1663
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.4010lost-10-1684
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.6410lost-10-1674
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4510won+14-1663
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.5210lost-10-1678
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.9010lost-10-1668
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.3111lost-11-1657
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.5410won+16-1647
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5511lost-11-1663
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.1410won+12-1652
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.0710lost-10-1664
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.1411lost-11-1653
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.0710won+11-1642
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.2511lost-11-1654
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.2410won+13-1643
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGKZG2.8111lost-11-1656
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.0210won+11-1645
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.8311lost-11-1656
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.3711lost-11-1645
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.1711won+12-1634
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.2510won+13-1647
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.4011lost-11-1660
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.4911lost-11-1649
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0911lost-11-1638
10.10.26Chinggis Warriors – THE UNITTHE UNIT2.3911lost-11-1627
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.