Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
+52u
ROI
+0.8%
win rate
46%
bets
669
drawdown
22.2%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-122u
period 3profit withdrawn+134u
period 2top-up-10u
period 1profit withdrawn+51u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 270 | 47% | +333 | +2.6% | 60.5% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 669 | 46% | +75 | +1.1% | 22.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 669 | 46% | +56 | +0.4% | 39.4% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 669 | 46% | +52 | +0.8% | 22.2% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 669 | 46% | -240 | -0.8% | 76.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 669 | 46% | -1538 | -3.3% | 128.4% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 669, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 9 | won | +13 | 1052 |
| 20.08.26 | B8 – Spirit | B8 | 2.37 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1040 |
| 20.08.26 | OG – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.02 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1048 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – benched gods | benched gods | 2.02 | 9 | won | +9 | 1057 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons – The MongolZ | The MongolZ | 2.49 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1048 |
| 19.08.26 | GamerLegion – MOUZ | GamerLegion | 2.41 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1057 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 2.02 | 9 | won | +9 | 1066 |
| 19.08.26 | EAC – Color | Color | 2.01 | 9 | won | +9 | 1057 |
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Honvéd | 2.81 | 9 | won | +16 | 1048 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Lavked | 2.17 | 8 | won | +10 | 1033 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.17 | 8 | won | +10 | 1023 |
| 19.08.26 | Noir Verse – ENCE | Noir Verse | 2.20 | 8 | won | +10 | 1013 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – The Last Resort | Misa | 2.19 | 8 | lost | -8 | 1003 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 2.05 | 8 | lost | -8 | 1011 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Permitta | Permitta | 2.01 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1020 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.54 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1028 |
| 18.08.26 | Misa – Strael Bora | Misa | 2.09 | 9 | won | +9 | 1037 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – OG | OG | 2.06 | 8 | won | +9 | 1028 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – Permitta | Fortress | 2.43 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1019 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Vexar | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.01 | 8 | won | +9 | 1027 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 3.07 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1019 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.50 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1027 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | Fortress | 2.69 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1036 |
| 18.08.26 | Metizport – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.13 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1044 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 9 | won | +11 | 1053 |
| 18.08.26 | MASONIC – Bebop | Bebop | 2.08 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1042 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 9 | won | +12 | 1051 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1039 |
| 17.08.26 | mellren – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.15 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1047 |
| 17.08.26 | Noir Verse – ex-RUSTEC | Noir Verse | 2.19 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1056 |
| 17.08.26 | NEW VISION – Vexar | NEW VISION | 2.10 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1065 |
| 17.08.26 | benched gods – Phantom Academy | benched gods | 2.03 | 9 | won | +9 | 1074 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked – INOX Division | Lavked | 2.70 | 9 | won | +15 | 1065 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | EAC | 2.17 | 9 | won | +10 | 1050 |
| 16.08.26 | DragonClaw – ex-Zero Tenacity | DragonClaw | 2.15 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1040 |
| 16.08.26 | Keyd Stars – Imperial | Keyd Stars | 2.20 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1049 |
| 16.08.26 | Mai Tai – BERG | Mai Tai | 2.50 | 9 | won | +13 | 1057 |
| 16.08.26 | INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.21 | 9 | won | +10 | 1044 |
| 16.08.26 | MOUZ – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.21 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1034 |
| 16.08.26 | ENCE – WBT | ENCE | 2.13 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1043 |
| 16.08.26 | ROUNDS – Vexar | ROUNDS | 2.20 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1051 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Nexus | 2.41 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1060 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-MANA – ex-RUSTEC | ex-MANA | 2.35 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1069 |
| 16.08.26 | paiN Academy – ALKA | paiN Academy | 2.18 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1078 |
| 15.08.26 | Spirit – BIG | BIG | 2.07 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1087 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | Misa | 2.71 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1097 |
| 15.08.26 | magic – 3DMAX | 3DMAX | 2.49 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1106 |
| 15.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.14 | 9 | won | +11 | 1115 |
| 15.08.26 | SINQU – BASEMENT BOYS | SINQU | 2.11 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1105 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo – Misa | Misa | 2.28 | 9 | won | +12 | 1114 |
| 15.08.26 | ex-MANA – Misa | Misa | 2.03 | 9 | won | +9 | 1102 |
| 15.08.26 | Honvéd – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.33 | 9 | won | +12 | 1093 |
| 15.08.26 | Atreides – LPH | Atreides | 2.39 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1081 |
| 15.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – ENCE | MOUZ NXT | 2.15 | 9 | won | +10 | 1090 |
| 15.08.26 | Fire Flux – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.46 | 9 | won | +13 | 1079 |
| 15.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – MEIA NOITE | METANOIA Wolves | 2.48 | 9 | won | +13 | 1066 |
| 14.08.26 | Lavked – BASEMENT BOYS | Lavked | 2.43 | 9 | won | +12 | 1053 |
| 14.08.26 | PARIVISION – 100 Thieves | PARIVISION | 2.32 | 9 | won | +11 | 1041 |
| 14.08.26 | EAC – Misa | Misa | 2.04 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1030 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 2.67 | 9 | lost | -9 | 1038 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.