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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1714u
ROI
-11.2%
win rate
39%
bets
1834
drawdown
171.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-444u
period 6top-up-284u
period 5top-up-551u
period 4profit withdrawn+140u
period 3top-up-304u
period 2top-up-214u
period 1top-up-58u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale2322%-1219-55.6%121.9%Select
1% of bankroll183439%-1714-11.2%171.4%Select
Flat (10 units)183439%-2136-11.6%213.6%Select
2% of bankroll183439%-2812-10.9%281.2%Select
5% of bankroll183439%-4389-10.9%438.9%Select
10% of bankroll183439%-5600-13.4%560%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1834, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.426lost-6-714
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.196lost-6-708
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.056won+6-702
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.216lost-6-708
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.096won+6-703
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.786lost-6-709
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.016lost-6-703
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.296won+7-697
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.116lost-6-705
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.906lost-6-699
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.046lost-6-693
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.046won+6-687
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.116lost-6-693
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.106lost-6-688
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.186lost-6-682
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.016lost-6-676
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.696lost-6-670
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.096lost-6-664
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.686lost-6-658
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.186won+7-651
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.456lost-6-659
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.046lost-6-652
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.026won+6-646
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.546lost-6-653
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.046lost-6-646
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.616lost-6-640
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.126won+13-634
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.406lost-6-647
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.206won+7-641
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.456won+9-648
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.526lost-6-657
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.906lost-6-651
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.316lost-6-644
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.546won+10-638
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.556lost-6-648
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.146won+7-641
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.076lost-6-648
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.146lost-6-642
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.206lost-6-636
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.246won+8-629
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.256lost-6-637
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.146lost-6-631
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.106won+7-624
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.026won+6-632
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.836lost-6-638
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneElusive3.156lost-6-632
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.377lost-7-625
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.256won+8-619
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.406lost-6-627
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.497lost-7-620
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.097lost-7-614
10.10.26Alter Ego – Vitalem AeremVitalem Aerem2.277lost-7-607
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.517lost-7-600
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.457lost-7-594
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.107won+7-587
10.10.26Sangal – PUREPURE2.267lost-7-594
10.10.26Iberian Soul – NemigaIberian Soul4.017won+20-587
10.10.26Misa – AzuolasAzuolas2.347lost-7-607
10.10.26Mindfreak – AbyssalMindfreak2.567lost-7-601
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.707lost-7-594
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.