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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
+6779u
ROI
+9.6%
win rate
46%
bets
666
drawdown
41.6%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰
Stake size

10% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-979u
period 3top-up-553u
period 2top-up-716u
period 1profit withdrawn+9027u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll66646%+6779+9.6%41.6%Select
5% of bankroll66646%+1469+4.7%39%Select
2% of bankroll66646%+250+2%36.1%Select
1% of bankroll66646%+78+1.2%26%Select
Flat (10 units)66646%+35+0.5%28.6%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Martingale24950%-116-1%67.8%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 666, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26FaZe – VitalityVitality2.142won+27779
20.08.26B8 – SpiritB82.382lost-27777
20.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – benched godsbenched gods2.022won+27779
20.08.26Honvéd – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters2.162lost-27777
19.08.26GamerLegion – MOUZGamerLegion2.412lost-27779
19.08.26FURIA – AuroraFURIA2.022won+27781
19.08.26EAC – ColorColor2.012won+27779
19.08.26Permitta – Falcons ForceFalcons Force2.022won+27777
19.08.26G2 – AstralisAstralis2.062lost-27775
19.08.26Black Phoenix – Bushido WildcatsBlack Phoenix2.782won+37777
19.08.26Entropy – Fire FluxEntropy2.162lost-27774
19.08.26MOUZ NXT – SPARTAMOUZ NXT2.052lost-27776
19.08.26Bushido Wildcats – Endless JourneyEndless Journey2.732lost-27778
18.08.26Misa – Strael BoraMisa2.092won+27780
18.08.26Omega – EntropyEntropy2.682won+37778
18.08.26Entropy – PCIFICEntropy2.112lost-27775
18.08.26Leo – ex-RUSTECLeo2.012lost-27777
18.08.26Bushido Wildcats – MisaMisa3.502lost-27779
18.08.26WBT – Mai TaiMai Tai3.073lost-37782
18.08.26Omega – Fire FluxFire Flux2.292won+37785
18.08.26Metizport – DONSTUDONSTU2.133lost-37781
18.08.26Fortress – ex-MANAFortress2.033lost-37784
17.08.26Bushido Wildcats – PermittaPermitta2.773lost-37787
17.08.26Enjoy – HAVUHAVU2.663won+57790
17.08.26Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy2.863lost-37786
17.08.26Nexus – G2 AresG2 Ares2.053won+37789
17.08.26Atreides – ex-Sashi AcademyAtreides2.063lost-37786
16.08.26Lavked – INOX DivisionLavked2.703won+57789
16.08.26Legacy – MIBRLegacy2.022won+37784
16.08.26DragonClaw – ex-Zero TenacityDragonClaw2.163lost-37782
16.08.26Honvéd – mellrenHonvéd2.063lost-37785
16.08.26magic – 9zmagic2.033won+37788
16.08.26ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy2.642won+47785
16.08.26Bushido Wildcats – FortressFortress3.323lost-37781
16.08.26FORZE Reload – DONSTUDONSTU2.083lost-37784
16.08.26BERG – HAVUHAVU2.193won+37786
16.08.26Nexus – Bushido WildcatsNexus2.413lost-37783
16.08.26ROUNDS – VexarROUNDS2.203lost-37786
16.08.26paiN Academy – ALKApaiN Academy2.184lost-47789
15.08.26Spirit – BIGBIG2.074lost-47793
15.08.26eternal premium – Reviseeternal premium2.044lost-47797
15.08.26magic – 3DMAX3DMAX2.435lost-57801
15.08.26FURIA – 9zFURIA2.074won+57806
15.08.26Privateer – Phantom AcademyPrivateer2.025lost-57802
15.08.26Leo – MisaMisa2.284won+67806
15.08.26SINQU – BASEMENT BOYSSINQU2.115lost-57801
15.08.26Honvéd – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy2.334won+67806
15.08.26Atreides – LPHAtreides2.395lost-57800
15.08.26MOUZ NXT – ENCEMOUZ NXT2.164won+57805
15.08.26Misa – Mai TaiMai Tai2.075lost-57800
15.08.26METANOIA Wolves – MEIA NOITEMETANOIA Wolves2.524won+67805
15.08.26BESTIA – ALKAALKA2.045lost-57798
14.08.26Lavked – BASEMENT BOYSLavked2.434won+67803
14.08.26EAC – MisaMisa2.044lost-47797
14.08.26Mai Tai – UNiTYMai Tai2.345lost-57802
14.08.26The Last Resort – HonvédHonvéd2.104won+57807
14.08.26Inner Circle Academy – ex-Sashi AcademyInner Circle Academy2.205lost-57802
14.08.26EAC – benched godsEAC2.094won+57807
14.08.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetBoomNinjas in Pyjamas2.144won+57802
14.08.26Pugdesonesto – ALKAPugdesonesto2.094lost-47797
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.