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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-5876u
ROI
-14.3%
win rate
40%
bets
1855
drawdown
587.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-995u
period 6top-up-1000u
period 5top-up-999u
period 4top-up-783u
period 3top-up-962u
period 2top-up-992u
period 1top-up-145u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale2433%-925-68.5%93.1%Select
1% of bankroll185540%-1607-10.2%162.1%Select
Flat (10 units)185540%-1842-9.9%186.4%Select
2% of bankroll185540%-2800-10.6%281.8%Select
5% of bankroll185540%-4765-11.8%477.5%Select
10% of bankroll185540%-5876-14.3%587.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1855, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.571lost-1-4876
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.191lost-1-4876
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.670won+1-4875
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.410won+1-4876
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.050won+0-4877
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.210lost-0-4877
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.090won+0-4877
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.780lost-0-4877
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.010lost-0-4877
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.290won+1-4876
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.110lost-0-4877
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.901lost-1-4876
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.161lost-1-4876
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.301lost-1-4875
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.041won+1-4875
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.111lost-1-4875
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.101lost-1-4875
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.181lost-1-4874
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.011lost-1-4873
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.691lost-1-4872
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.091lost-1-4871
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.681lost-1-4870
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.181won+1-4869
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.451lost-1-4870
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.041lost-1-4869
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.021won+1-4867
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.551lost-1-4869
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.061won+1-4867
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.091lost-1-4869
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.121won+2-4867
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.401lost-1-4870
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.641lost-1-4868
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.451won+2-4867
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.521lost-1-4869
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.902lost-2-4867
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.312lost-2-4866
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.541won+2-4864
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.141won+2-4866
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.071lost-1-4868
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.142lost-2-4866
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.241won+2-4865
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.252lost-2-4867
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.202lost-2-4865
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGKZG2.812lost-2-4863
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.842lost-2-4861
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.102won+2-4859
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.022won+2-4861
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.832lost-2-4863
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.372lost-2-4861
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.172won+2-4859
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.252won+2-4861
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.402lost-2-4863
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.132lost-2-4861
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.092lost-2-4859
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.102won+2-4857
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.452lost-2-4859
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.513lost-3-4857
10.10.26HOTU – fnaticfnatic2.092won+3-4854
10.10.26Iberian Soul – NemigaIberian Soul4.012won+6-4857
10.10.26mellren – HonvédHonvéd3.062lost-2-4862
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.