Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-5876u
ROI
-14.3%
win rate
40%
bets
1855
drawdown
587.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-995u
period 6top-up-1000u
period 5top-up-999u
period 4top-up-783u
period 3top-up-962u
period 2top-up-992u
period 1top-up-145u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 24 | 33% | -925 | -68.5% | 93.1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1855 | 40% | -1607 | -10.2% | 162.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1855 | 40% | -1842 | -9.9% | 186.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1855 | 40% | -2800 | -10.6% | 281.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1855 | 40% | -4765 | -11.8% | 477.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1855 | 40% | -5876 | -14.3% | 587.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1855, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | Banda Chuya | 2.57 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4876 |
| 14.10.26 | MARKandLARRY – Rooster | MARKandLARRY | 2.19 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4876 |
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | 9z | 2.67 | 0 | won | +1 | -4875 |
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | 6666 | 2.41 | 0 | won | +1 | -4876 |
| 14.10.26 | Gothic – Lavked | Lavked | 2.05 | 0 | won | +0 | -4877 |
| 14.10.26 | Zomblers – Overtake Sector | Zomblers | 2.21 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4877 |
| 14.10.26 | your end – SUKEBAN | your end | 2.09 | 0 | won | +0 | -4877 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.78 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4877 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | Grêmio | 2.01 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4877 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | Butterfly | 2.29 | 0 | won | +1 | -4876 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 0 | lost | -0 | -4877 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | 6666 | 2.90 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4876 |
| 13.10.26 | JiJieHao – BBL | BBL | 2.16 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4876 |
| 13.10.26 | Just Swing – Alter Ego | Just Swing | 2.30 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4875 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Illyrians | 2.04 | 1 | won | +1 | -4875 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4875 |
| 13.10.26 | Fruju – Rooster | Fruju | 2.10 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4875 |
| 13.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – LP | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.18 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4874 |
| 12.10.26 | 6666 – megoshort | megoshort | 2.01 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4873 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 2.69 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4872 |
| 12.10.26 | SAW Youngsters – Illyrians | SAW Youngsters | 2.09 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4871 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | Nordic Partners | 2.68 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4870 |
| 12.10.26 | PRIVATE – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 2.18 | 1 | won | +1 | -4869 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4870 |
| 12.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Just Swing | Just Swing | 2.04 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4869 |
| 12.10.26 | Fire Flux – mellren | mellren | 2.02 | 1 | won | +1 | -4867 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Betclic | 2.55 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4869 |
| 12.10.26 | Fruju – MARKandLARRY | MARKandLARRY | 2.06 | 1 | won | +1 | -4867 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | BORRACHEIROS | 2.09 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4869 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 1 | won | +2 | -4867 |
| 11.10.26 | DIVINITY – ex-RUSTEC | DIVINITY | 2.40 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4870 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | Lavked | 2.64 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4868 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 1 | won | +2 | -4867 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4869 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | Bebop | 2.90 | 2 | lost | -2 | -4867 |
| 11.10.26 | The KnockoutX – Alter Ego | The KnockoutX | 2.31 | 2 | lost | -2 | -4866 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Aurora | 2.54 | 1 | won | +2 | -4864 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.14 | 1 | won | +2 | -4866 |
| 11.10.26 | Abyssal – KZG | KZG | 2.07 | 1 | lost | -1 | -4868 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – FlyQuest | Ground Zero | 2.14 | 2 | lost | -2 | -4866 |
| 11.10.26 | Overtake Sector – Chicken Coop | Chicken Coop | 2.24 | 1 | won | +2 | -4865 |
| 11.10.26 | Wanted Goons – DETONATE | Wanted Goons | 2.25 | 2 | lost | -2 | -4867 |
| 11.10.26 | EMPIRE – regain | EMPIRE | 2.20 | 2 | lost | -2 | -4865 |
| 11.10.26 | FlyQuest – KZG | KZG | 2.81 | 2 | lost | -2 | -4863 |
| 11.10.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.84 | 2 | lost | -2 | -4861 |
| 11.10.26 | Procyon – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 2.10 | 2 | won | +2 | -4859 |
| 10.10.26 | Marsborne – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 2.02 | 2 | won | +2 | -4861 |
| 10.10.26 | Fathom – SportsBetExpert | Fathom | 2.83 | 2 | lost | -2 | -4863 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 2 | lost | -2 | -4861 |
| 10.10.26 | Holy Cannoli – Unreal Nightmare | Unreal Nightmare | 2.17 | 2 | won | +2 | -4859 |
| 10.10.26 | MOUZ – Spirit | MOUZ | 2.25 | 2 | won | +2 | -4861 |
| 10.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Iberian Soul | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 2 | lost | -2 | -4863 |
| 10.10.26 | Wildcard – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 2.13 | 2 | lost | -2 | -4861 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | Bebop | 2.09 | 2 | lost | -2 | -4859 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.10 | 2 | won | +2 | -4857 |
| 10.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Fortress | 2.45 | 2 | lost | -2 | -4859 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 3 | lost | -3 | -4857 |
| 10.10.26 | HOTU – fnatic | fnatic | 2.09 | 2 | won | +3 | -4854 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Iberian Soul | 4.01 | 2 | won | +6 | -4857 |
| 10.10.26 | mellren – Honvéd | Honvéd | 3.06 | 2 | lost | -2 | -4862 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.