Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-2364u
ROI
-8.6%
win rate
40%
bets
1849
drawdown
237.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-602u
period 6top-up-691u
period 5top-up-732u
period 4profit withdrawn+405u
period 3top-up-339u
period 2top-up-291u
period 1top-up-114u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 129 | 42% | -1006 | -16.6% | 100.4% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1849 | 40% | -1430 | -9% | 143.7% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1849 | 40% | -1742 | -9.4% | 175.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1849 | 40% | -2364 | -8.6% | 237.3% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1849 | 40% | -3677 | -7.9% | 368.1% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1849 | 40% | -4936 | -9.1% | 493.6% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1849, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | Banda Chuya | 2.57 | 8 | lost | -8 | -1364 |
| 14.10.26 | MARKandLARRY – Rooster | MARKandLARRY | 2.19 | 8 | lost | -8 | -1356 |
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | 9z | 2.67 | 8 | won | +13 | -1348 |
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | 6666 | 2.41 | 8 | won | +11 | -1361 |
| 14.10.26 | Zomblers – Overtake Sector | Zomblers | 2.21 | 8 | lost | -8 | -1372 |
| 14.10.26 | your end – SUKEBAN | your end | 2.09 | 8 | won | +9 | -1364 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.78 | 8 | lost | -8 | -1373 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | Grêmio | 2.01 | 8 | lost | -8 | -1365 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | Butterfly | 2.29 | 8 | won | +10 | -1357 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 8 | lost | -8 | -1367 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | 6666 | 2.90 | 8 | lost | -8 | -1359 |
| 13.10.26 | JiJieHao – BBL | BBL | 2.16 | 8 | lost | -8 | -1351 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Illyrians | 2.04 | 8 | won | +9 | -1342 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 8 | lost | -8 | -1351 |
| 13.10.26 | Fruju – Rooster | Fruju | 2.10 | 9 | lost | -9 | -1342 |
| 13.10.26 | Galorys – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 2.26 | 9 | lost | -9 | -1334 |
| 12.10.26 | 6666 – megoshort | megoshort | 2.01 | 9 | lost | -9 | -1325 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 2.69 | 9 | lost | -9 | -1316 |
| 12.10.26 | SAW Youngsters – Illyrians | SAW Youngsters | 2.09 | 9 | lost | -9 | -1307 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | Nordic Partners | 2.68 | 9 | lost | -9 | -1298 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – XI | XI | 3.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1288 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1279 |
| 12.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Just Swing | Just Swing | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1269 |
| 12.10.26 | Fire Flux – mellren | mellren | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | -1259 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Betclic | 2.54 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1269 |
| 12.10.26 | Fruju – MARKandLARRY | MARKandLARRY | 2.06 | 10 | won | +10 | -1259 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Yawara | 2.61 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1269 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 10 | won | +20 | -1259 |
| 11.10.26 | DIVINITY – ex-RUSTEC | DIVINITY | 2.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1279 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | Lavked | 2.64 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1270 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 10 | won | +14 | -1260 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1274 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | Bebop | 2.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1264 |
| 11.10.26 | The KnockoutX – Alter Ego | The KnockoutX | 2.31 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1254 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Aurora | 2.54 | 10 | won | +16 | -1243 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Misa | 2.55 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1259 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.14 | 10 | won | +11 | -1248 |
| 11.10.26 | Abyssal – KZG | KZG | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1260 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – FlyQuest | Ground Zero | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1250 |
| 11.10.26 | Zomblers – Iowa Stormboar | Zomblers | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | -1239 |
| 11.10.26 | Overtake Sector – Chicken Coop | Chicken Coop | 2.24 | 10 | won | +12 | -1250 |
| 11.10.26 | EMPIRE – regain | EMPIRE | 2.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1263 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1252 |
| 11.10.26 | Procyon – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | -1242 |
| 10.10.26 | Marsborne – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | -1253 |
| 10.10.26 | Fathom – SportsBetExpert | Fathom | 2.83 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1263 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1253 |
| 10.10.26 | Holy Cannoli – Unreal Nightmare | Unreal Nightmare | 2.17 | 10 | won | +12 | -1243 |
| 10.10.26 | MOUZ – Spirit | MOUZ | 2.25 | 10 | won | +12 | -1255 |
| 10.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Iberian Soul | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1267 |
| 10.10.26 | Wildcard – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | -1257 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | Bebop | 2.09 | 11 | lost | -11 | -1247 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 11 | lost | -11 | -1236 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.10 | 11 | won | +12 | -1225 |
| 10.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Fortress | 2.45 | 11 | lost | -11 | -1237 |
| 10.10.26 | Sangal – PURE | PURE | 2.26 | 11 | lost | -11 | -1226 |
| 10.10.26 | HOTU – fnatic | fnatic | 2.09 | 11 | won | +12 | -1215 |
| 10.10.26 | Misa – Azuolas | Azuolas | 2.34 | 11 | lost | -11 | -1227 |
| 10.10.26 | Mindfreak – Abyssal | Mindfreak | 2.56 | 11 | lost | -11 | -1216 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | madlikewizards | 2.70 | 11 | lost | -11 | -1205 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.