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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-2364u
ROI
-8.6%
win rate
40%
bets
1849
drawdown
237.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-602u
period 6top-up-691u
period 5top-up-732u
period 4profit withdrawn+405u
period 3top-up-339u
period 2top-up-291u
period 1top-up-114u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale12942%-1006-16.6%100.4%Select
1% of bankroll184940%-1430-9%143.7%Select
Flat (10 units)184940%-1742-9.4%175.4%Select
2% of bankroll184940%-2364-8.6%237.3%Select
5% of bankroll184940%-3677-7.9%368.1%Select
10% of bankroll184940%-4936-9.1%493.6%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1849, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.578lost-8-1364
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.198lost-8-1356
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.678won+13-1348
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.418won+11-1361
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.218lost-8-1372
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.098won+9-1364
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.788lost-8-1373
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.018lost-8-1365
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.298won+10-1357
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.118lost-8-1367
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.908lost-8-1359
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.168lost-8-1351
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.048won+9-1342
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.118lost-8-1351
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.109lost-9-1342
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.269lost-9-1334
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.019lost-9-1325
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.699lost-9-1316
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.099lost-9-1307
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.689lost-9-1298
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.1810lost-10-1288
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4510lost-10-1279
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.0410lost-10-1269
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.0210won+10-1259
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.5410lost-10-1269
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.0610won+10-1259
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6110lost-10-1269
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1210won+20-1259
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.4010lost-10-1279
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.6410lost-10-1270
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4510won+14-1260
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.5210lost-10-1274
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.9010lost-10-1264
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.3110lost-10-1254
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.5410won+16-1243
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5510lost-10-1259
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.1410won+11-1248
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.0710lost-10-1260
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.1410lost-10-1250
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.0710won+11-1239
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.2410won+12-1250
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.2010lost-10-1263
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.1410lost-10-1252
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.1010won+11-1242
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.0210won+10-1253
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.8310lost-10-1263
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.3710lost-10-1253
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.1710won+12-1243
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.2510won+12-1255
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.4010lost-10-1267
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.1310lost-10-1257
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0911lost-11-1247
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.5111lost-11-1236
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.1011won+12-1225
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.4511lost-11-1237
10.10.26Sangal – PUREPURE2.2611lost-11-1226
10.10.26HOTU – fnaticfnatic2.0911won+12-1215
10.10.26Misa – AzuolasAzuolas2.3411lost-11-1227
10.10.26Mindfreak – AbyssalMindfreak2.5611lost-11-1216
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.7011lost-11-1205
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.