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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-2426u
ROI
-8.5%
win rate
40%
bets
1859
drawdown
242.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-645u
period 6top-up-397u
period 5top-up-782u
period 4profit withdrawn+149u
period 3top-up-337u
period 2top-up-376u
period 1top-up-38u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale2532%-923-60.3%92.9%Select
1% of bankroll185940%-1414-8.7%141.4%Select
Flat (10 units)185940%-1686-9.1%168.6%Select
2% of bankroll185940%-2426-8.5%242.6%Select
5% of bankroll185940%-4217-8.7%421.7%Select
10% of bankroll185940%-5609-10.7%560.9%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1859, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10LFO 102.647lost-7-1426
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUfnatic2.037won+7-1419
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadBET-M2.137lost-7-1426
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.987lost-7-1419
14.10.26Lynn Vision – Alter EgoLynn Vision2.037won+7-1411
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.577lost-7-1419
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.198lost-8-1411
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.677won+12-1404
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.057won+8-1416
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.217lost-7-1423
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.097won+8-1416
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.787lost-7-1424
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.017lost-7-1417
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.297won+9-1409
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.117lost-7-1419
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.908lost-8-1411
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.048lost-8-1404
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.308lost-8-1396
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.048won+8-1388
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.118lost-8-1396
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.108lost-8-1388
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.188lost-8-1380
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.018lost-8-1372
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.699lost-9-1364
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.099lost-9-1355
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.689lost-9-1346
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.189won+10-1338
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.459lost-9-1348
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.079won+9-1339
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.028won+9-1348
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.559lost-9-1357
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.068won+9-1348
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.189lost-9-1357
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.099lost-9-1349
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.128won+18-1340
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.409lost-9-1358
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.208won+10-1349
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.458won+12-1359
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.528lost-8-1371
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.909lost-9-1363
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.319lost-9-1354
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.548won+13-1345
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.148won+9-1358
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.078lost-8-1368
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.149lost-9-1359
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.078won+9-1351
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.259lost-9-1360
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.209lost-9-1351
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGKZG2.819lost-9-1342
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.849lost-9-1333
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.029won+9-1324
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.839lost-9-1333
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.379lost-9-1324
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneElusive3.1510lost-10-1315
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.259won+12-1305
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.409lost-9-1317
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.4910lost-10-1308
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0910lost-10-1298
10.10.26Alter Ego – Vitalem AeremVitalem Aerem2.2710lost-10-1288
10.10.26Chinggis Warriors – THE UNITTHE UNIT2.3910lost-10-1278
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.