Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-35u
ROI
-21.9%
win rate
25%
bets
16
drawdown
8.8%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
1% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+32u
period 6top-up-39u
period 5top-up-39u
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2profit withdrawn+12u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 16 | 25% | -35 | -21.9% | 8.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 16 | 25% | -35 | -22.1% | 8.9% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 16 | 25% | -68 | -21.7% | 17.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 16 | 25% | -162 | -21.1% | 40.4% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 16 | 25% | -304 | -20.7% | 73.6% | Select |
| Martingale | 9 | 11% | -1115 | -94.5% | 111.1% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 16, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | 965 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 10 | won | +21 | 944 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 923 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 933 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | BBL | 3.02 | 10 | won | +20 | 943 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 923 |
| 27.09.26 | Mai Tai – BIG Academy | Mai Tai | 3.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 933 |
| 24.09.26 | Nemiga – Just Players | Just Players | 3.77 | 10 | lost | -10 | 943 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | Fortress | 3.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 953 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | Luminosity | 3.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 963 |
| 26.08.26 | paiN Academy – Imperial | paiN Academy | 3.78 | 10 | lost | -10 | 973 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 3.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 983 |
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | 6666 | 3.24 | 10 | lost | -10 | 992 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 3.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1002 |
| 27.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – GameHunters | GameHunters | 3.25 | 10 | won | +22 | 1012 |
| 14.05.26 | FAVBET – Walczaki | FAVBET | 3.12 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.