Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-300u
ROI
-35%
win rate
22%
bets
18
drawdown
50.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
5% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-6u
period 6top-up-103u
period 5top-up-98u
period 4top-up-98u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2profit withdrawn+4u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 18 | 22% | -55 | -30.7% | 10.8% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 18 | 22% | -56 | -31.6% | 10.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 18 | 22% | -115 | -32.4% | 21.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 18 | 22% | -300 | -35% | 50.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 18 | 22% | -639 | -39.3% | 94.8% | Select |
| Martingale | 18 | 22% | -932 | -39.2% | 175.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 18, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 45 | won | +95 | 700 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 41 | won | +85 | 605 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 43 | lost | -43 | 520 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 45 | lost | -45 | 563 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 48 | lost | -48 | 608 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 50 | lost | -50 | 656 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 47 | lost | -47 | 706 |
| 24.09.26 | Nemiga – Just Players | Just Players | 3.77 | 50 | lost | -50 | 753 |
| 22.09.26 | B8 – Luminosity | Luminosity | 3.03 | 45 | won | +92 | 803 |
| 11.09.26 | 1win – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 3.06 | 48 | lost | -48 | 711 |
| 01.09.26 | Permitta – Bushido Wildcats | Permitta | 3.27 | 50 | lost | -50 | 759 |
| 31.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Atreides | Atreides | 3.72 | 48 | lost | -48 | 809 |
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | 6666 | 3.24 | 50 | lost | -50 | 856 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 3.64 | 48 | lost | -48 | 906 |
| 28.07.26 | HTX – TDK | HTX | 3.23 | 50 | lost | -50 | 954 |
| 30.05.26 | INOX Division – aAa | aAa | 3.24 | 53 | lost | -53 | 1004 |
| 27.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – GameHunters | GameHunters | 3.25 | 48 | won | +107 | 1057 |
| 14.05.26 | FAVBET – Walczaki | FAVBET | 3.12 | 50 | lost | -50 | 950 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.