Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-155u
ROI
-54.6%
win rate
14%
bets
29
drawdown
18.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
1% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-39u
period 6top-up-31u
period 5top-up-39u
period 4top-up-10u
period 3top-up-49u
period 2profit withdrawn+12u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 29 | 14% | -155 | -54.6% | 18.5% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 29 | 14% | -156 | -53.9% | 18.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 29 | 14% | -308 | -55.2% | 36.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 29 | 14% | -753 | -57.1% | 84% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 29 | 14% | -1435 | -60.2% | 149.7% | Select |
| Martingale | 10 | 10% | -1595 | -96.1% | 157.5% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 29, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 9 | won | +20 | 845 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 825 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | BERG | 3.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 834 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | ShindeN | 3.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 844 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 854 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Anteiku | 3.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 863 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 873 |
| 29.09.26 | Nemesis – DARKWALL | DARKWALL | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 883 |
| 27.09.26 | Imperial – paiN | paiN | 3.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 893 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 903 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | Permitta | 3.14 | 10 | won | +21 | 913 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Young27 | 3.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 892 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.87 | 10 | won | +28 | 902 |
| 11.09.26 | 1win – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 3.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 874 |
| 08.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Privateer | Privateer | 3.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 884 |
| 05.09.26 | Peladona – Imperial | Peladona | 3.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 894 |
| 01.09.26 | Permitta – Bushido Wildcats | Permitta | 3.27 | 10 | lost | -10 | 904 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 3.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 914 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 3.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 924 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 3.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 933 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic – Lilmix | Lilmix | 3.39 | 10 | lost | -10 | 943 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | BET-M | 3.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 953 |
| 24.06.26 | LP – Vasco | Vasco | 3.61 | 10 | lost | -10 | 963 |
| 24.06.26 | EAC – Walczaki | EAC | 3.33 | 10 | lost | -10 | 973 |
| 18.06.26 | TDK – Ursa | Ursa | 3.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 983 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | SPARTA | 3.17 | 10 | lost | -10 | 992 |
| 06.06.26 | G2 Ares – aAa | aAa | 3.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1002 |
| 27.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – GameHunters | GameHunters | 3.25 | 10 | won | +22 | 1012 |
| 14.05.26 | FAVBET – Walczaki | FAVBET | 3.12 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.