Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
+252u
ROI
+61.5%
win rate
50%
bets
4
drawdown
13.2%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
💰
Stake size
10% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-190u
period 3profit withdrawn+442u
period 2profit withdrawn+0u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 4 | 50% | +252 | +61.5% | 13.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 4 | 50% | +114 | +56.1% | 8.1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 4 | 50% | +42 | +52.7% | 3.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 4 | 50% | +21 | +51.6% | 1.9% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 4 | 50% | +20 | +50.5% | 1.9% | Select |
| Martingale | 4 | 50% | +10 | +20.4% | 2.9% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.50 | 90 | lost | -90 | 1252 |
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | 6666 | 3.20 | 100 | lost | -100 | 1342 |
| 25.07.26 | HOTU – Astralis | Astralis | 3.02 | 120 | won | +242 | 1442 |
| 18.07.26 | PsychoFace – QUAZAR | PsychoFace | 3.00 | 100 | won | +200 | 1200 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.