Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-44u
ROI
-54.9%
win rate
25%
bets
4
drawdown
6.8%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-44u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2profit withdrawn+0u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 4 | 25% | -4 | -9.8% | 2.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 4 | 25% | -4 | -10.9% | 3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 4 | 25% | -10 | -11.9% | 5.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 4 | 25% | -31 | -14.6% | 14.3% | Select |
| Martingale | 4 | 25% | -44 | -54.9% | 6.8% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 4 | 25% | -81 | -18.3% | 27.1% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.50 | 40 | lost | -40 | 956 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 3.01 | 20 | lost | -20 | 996 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic – Lilmix | Lilmix | 3.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1016 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | SINNERS | 3.61 | 10 | won | +26 | 1026 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.